基于灰色神经网络的装甲部队油料消耗预测

油料消耗量的精确预测直接影响装甲部队后勤保障能力的提升,而传统预测模型精度不高,应用范围也有一定的局限,难以满足信息化战争精确保障的需要。提出一种装甲部队油料消耗预测的组合模型,对历史油料消耗数据和油耗影响因素进行统计分析,求出各影响因素与油耗量的关联度作为权重系数;通过改进GM(1,1)模型预测某部队下一次军事行动的油耗量;用GM(1,1)模型的预测值、加权后的各影响因素值和油耗实际值训练网络,对下一次想定的军事行动油耗量进行预测。通过平均相对误差计算表明,组合预测模型比单一的GM(1,1)模型预测精度高,能够较好地指导部队进行下一步的油料供管工作。     

Is Russia a revisionist military power in the Arctic?

In contrast with a widespread perception of Russia as an expansionist power in the Arctic, this article argues that Moscow does not seek military superiority in the region. Rather, Moscow's military strategies in the Arctic pursue three major goals: first, to demonstrate and ascertain Russia's sovereignty over its exclusive economic zone and continental shelf in the region; second, to protect its economic interests in the High North; and third, to demonstrate that Russia retains its great power status and still has world-class military capabilities. The Russian military modernization programs are quite modest and aim at upgrading the Russian armed forces in the High North rather than providing them with additional offensive capabilities or provoking a regional arms race. The Russian ambitions in the Arctic may be high, but they are not necessarily implying the intentions and proper capabilities to confront other regional players by military means. On the contrary, Moscow opts for soft rather than hard power strategy in the Arctic.     

Russian military reform: institutional,political and security implications

This critical comment examines the incentives, major priorities, difficulties and first results of the Russian military reform that is being implemented since 2008. The authors conclude that despite numerous drawbacks and barriers to the reformist efforts certain successes can be identified. Particularly, there is a clear shift from the old-fashioned, Soviet-type army to a more compact, mobile, better equipped and combat-ready armed forces that are capable to cope with today's challenges to Russian national security.     

关于提高部队党建水平的思考

新形势下,必须大力加强思想建设、组织建设、作风建设、制度建设和反腐倡廉建设,不断提高部队党的建设科学化水平,有效防范精神懈怠、能力不足、脱离群众、消极腐败“四大危险”.     

Local defence forces and counterinsurgency in Afghanistan: learning from the CIA's Village Defense Program in South Vietnam

Some scholars would have us believe that the distinctions between military and policing roles, methods and objectives have become increasingly blurred by the security demands of a post-Cold War and post-11 September global and domestic order. This article explores the current state of the police–military divide through a conceptual and case study analysis. It concludes that, in this case, there is some conflation occurring at a macro-level as international and domestic affairs have become increasingly indistinct, but the article also demonstrates that the actual ethos and practice of these agencies still differs strongly. Most importantly, the article argues that this distinction is in fact a very useful one in planning for future peace support operations     

消防部队实施区域灭火救援的思考

随着新《中华人民共和国消防法》颁布实施,公安消防部队除了承担防火、灭火工作之外,还承担着重大灾害事故和其他以抢救人员生命为主的应急救援工作。我国边疆地域面积辽阔,一些县市面积很大,消防队伍力量薄弱,造成灭火救援力量不能及时的到达现场,不能最大限度的发挥公安消防部队的职能作用。结合解放军在作战时划分战区的考虑,从消防部队灭火救援工作的实际出发,对今后我国消防部队灭火救援工作提出了一些新思路、新方法。以期有效的利用我国目前的消防资源,最大限度减少火灾损失,发挥最大的能力,保障人民群众的生命安全。     

消防部队财务规范化建设之我见

规范的财务管理是后勤保障工作的核心,为加强消防部队财务规范化建设,要紧紧围绕“决策科学、运行规范、管理创新、控制严格、监督到位”这一目标,创新管财理念,加强制度建设,健全工作机制,严格监督检查。     

红色资源在公安现役部队理想信念教育中的运用

在思想观念日益多样化的今天,充分运用红色资源是深化公安现役部队理想信念教育的新途径。通过对红色资源在部队理想信念教育中优势、问题及原因的分析,对如何有效运用红色资源开展公安现役部队的理想信念教育进行了简要阐述。     

边境地区群体性械斗事件的特点成因及对策

当前,我国正处于人民内部矛盾凸显期,各种社会矛盾和社会热点问题不断增多,由此引发的各类群体性械斗事件成为影响社会主义和谐社会建设的一个突出问题。因此,必须加强对群体性械斗事件特点、成因及处置方法研究,切实提高公安边防机关预防和处置能力。     

重点目标防空作战中多预警机协同探测空域配置

针对重点目标防空作战中预警机空域配置问题,构建了多预警机阵位选择和架数优化配置模型.通过分析重点目标预警线划分,确定预警机防空作战具体任务,从而构建其阵位选择量化模型,并以此为基础,提出了一种在确保自身安全且充分发挥预警机固有探测威力前提下的多预警机并立航线和串接航线空域配置量化模型.实例运算结果表明,该模型能够对比分...