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A framework involving independent competing risks permits observing failures due to a specific cause and failures due to a competing cause, which constitute survival times from the cause of primary interest. Is observing more failures more informative than observing survivals? Intuitively, due to the definitiveness of failures, the answer seems to be the former. However, it has been shown before that this intuition holds when estimating the mean but not the failure rate of the exponential model with a gamma prior distribution for the failure rate. In this article, we address this question at a more general level. We show that for a certain class of distributions failures can be more informative than survivals for prediction of life length and vice versa for some others. We also show that for a large class of lifetime models, failure is less informative than survival for estimating the proportional hazards parameter with gamma, Jeffreys, and uniform priors. We further show that, for this class of lifetime models, on average, failure is more informative than survival for parameter estimation and for prediction. These results imply that the inferential purpose and properties of the lifetime distribution are germane for conducting life tests. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013 相似文献
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采用循环追踪算法解决编队航天器交会控制问题。建立并推导了线性循环追踪算法和非线性循环追踪算法数学模型,提出了绕飞平面采用循环追踪控制,绕飞平面法向采用比例微分进行振动抑制的编队交会控制律。基于脉冲推力方式,对绕飞平面分别采用线性和非线性循环追踪的三航天器编队交会控制问题进行了仿真分析。仿真结果表明,提出的基于循环追踪的控制方式可满足编队航天器交会控制要求,航天器按顺时针运行轨迹交会于初始位置决定的参考中心,三航天器间相对距离、相对运动速度变化趋势基本一致,速度增量消耗较小,为航天器编队构形控制研究提供有益参考。 相似文献
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基于矢量运算的舰空弹对抗反舰弹脱靶量分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
脱靶量是舰空导弹重要的作战性能指标,针对某型导弹,从攻防对抗的机理出发,采用矢量运算概念描述舰空导弹对抗反舰导弹的脱靶量。结合矢量运算法则,建立舰空导弹拦截矢量模型、反舰导弹机动矢量模型,同时考虑了导引头噪声和舵系统的过载限制,提出了一种制导盲区脱靶量的解算方法。然后针对不同运动特性的目标、不同干扰强度进行仿真计算。仿真结果表明,目标运动特性和导引头干扰误差等因素对脱靶量大小影响显著,为评价舰空导弹作战效能和有针对性的采取拦截措施提供了技术参考。 相似文献
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针对便携式红外寻的防空导弹瞄准点与理想命中点不重合的矛盾,提出导弹超前修正导引规律的末端修正方法,导出其数学模型和控制系统实现方法。仿真表明,简化后的导弹超前修正导引规律能够达到理想的前向偏移目的,且具有目标自适应导引(TAG)的特性。超前修正导引规律是对经典比例导引规律的修正和提升,更好地满足了便携式红外寻的防空导弹的性能指标和命中精度要求。 相似文献
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Gustavo Bergantiños Jose María Chamorro Leticia Lorenzo Silvia Lorenzo‐Freire 《海军后勤学研究》2018,65(1):66-77
Multi‐issue allocation situations study problems where an estate must be divided among a group of agents. The claim of each agent is a vector specifying the amount claimed by each agent on each issue. We present a two‐stage rule. First, we divide the estate among the issues following the constrained equal awards rule. Second, the amount assigned to each issue is divided among the agents in proportion to their demands on this issue. We apply the rule to two real‐world problems: the distribution of natural resources between countries and the distribution of budget for education and research between universities. 相似文献
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针对常用比例导弹导引律制导命中率低的问题,分析了比例导引律、偏置比例导引律、修正比例导引律的制导性能,提出了一种基于扩展比例导引律的制导模型,经仿真表明,该导引律具有目标垂直和水平机动跟踪能力,提升了反导作战的机动能力和效率。 相似文献
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Jorge Navarro 《海军后勤学研究》2007,54(8):820-828
We study tail hazard rate ordering properties of coherent systems using the representation of the distribution of a coherent system as a mixture of the distributions of the series systems obtained from its path sets. Also some ordering properties are obtained for order statistics which, in this context, represent the lifetimes of k‐out‐of‐n systems. We pay special attention to systems with components satisfying the proportional hazard rate model or with exponential, Weibull and Pareto type II distributions. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007 相似文献
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介绍了高速磁浮列车气隙磁场测量系统研制中的几项关键技术,提出了三维磁敏传感器的设计方法和基于霍尔元件的电压比磁场测量法,并设计了传感器的高精度运动控制系统。所研制的系统具有较高的测磁精度和定位精度,实现了高速磁浮列车气隙磁场的自动测量。 相似文献