导弹系统安全性分析中的引发事件鉴别方法

引发事件鉴别是基于事故机理安全性分析的首要任务。鉴别结果是否全面、完整直接影响最终分析结果的有效性。导弹系统安全风险涉及面广、影响因素多,需要系统的可操作方法来指导引发事件的鉴别工作。针对导弹工作特点,提出考虑导弹任务剖面,运用主逻辑图对导弹进行系统性的层次化描述,对引发事件进行整理和归纳。将危险与可操作性分析引入导弹系统安全性分析中进行引发事件鉴别,结合故障模式影响分析,支持对单一故障类和参数异常类引发事件的鉴别。结果表明,所提框架为解决导弹系统安全性分析中引发事件鉴别的系统性完整性提供了可行的思路。     

天基预警系统多体制传感器综合调度方法

为提高天基预警系统对多目标的跟踪能力,提出扫描传感器纬度区间扫描模式和凝视传感器目标群跟踪模式,并基于此种模式设计基于聚类的扫描传感器纬度区间扫描调度方法和凝视相机目标群跟踪调度方法。由于诸多传感器的工作模式、探测频率、测量误差、视场模型均不相同,推导不同探测频率、视线误差的多传感器联合观测跟踪的克拉美-罗下界计算公式。综合运用以上方法,建立多体制传感器综合调度优化方法。仿真试验表明,该方法比传统工作模式下的系统对多目标具有更高的跟踪精度。     

加肋圆柱壳结构的FE-IE算法网格尺度划分原则

为了研究结构有限元耦合流体无限元算法的网格尺度划分原则,提出有限元-无限元算法中结构湿表面的网格尺度划分原则。数值计算结果表明,对加肋圆柱壳而言,在保证一个肋骨间距至少有2个有限元单元的前提下,将结构主振型弯曲波波长作为有限元-无限元算法中结构湿表面网格尺度划分的参考标准是可行的,即保证一个主振型分量波长内至少有6个有限元单元。提出以结构主振型分量的弯曲波波长(而不是最短的结构波长)作为有限元-无限元算法中网格尺度划分的参考标准,所得结论对于有限元-无限元算法中结构湿表面的网格划分以及控制内域流体有限元数量均具有十分重要的参考意义。     

基于SPRT的组合导航故障检测与隔离互辅算法

针对SPRT(序贯概率比检验)算法无法准确判断缓变故障结束时间的问题,提出了一种故障检测与隔离互辅算法。采用SPRT算法对滤波残差进行故障检测,确认故障后隔离故障观测量,重新建立卡尔曼滤波观测方程并完成量测更新,将隔离后的滤波结果作为下一时刻的滤波初值辅助故障检测。仿真结果表明,该方法能准确定位故障观测量并判断出故障的结束时间,提高了系统可靠性。     

Transit vessel scheduling

A transit vessel traffic scheduling algorithm has been developed to limit the negative effects on cargo volume throughput in two‐way waterways where separation distances between transiting vessels must be maintained and passage restrictions may hold. It runs in time that is polynomial in the number of ships involved in the computation and finds schedules which increase the utilization of waterways. Three examples illustrate its use. The first example is situated in the Sunda Strait where the algorithm is used to enhance the safety of merchant shipping against a terrorist threat. It illustrates important features of the algorithm and demonstrates how it can be used with cross traffic. The second example is situated in the Strait of Istanbul and offers a comparison between the developed algorithm and the transit vessel scheduling algorithm of Ulusçu et al., J Navig 62 (2009), 59–77. This was done using a plausible model of the Strait of Istanbul. The third and last example shows how the algorithm can be used to schedule transit vessel traffic in two‐way waterways with junctions. This feature is especially useful in congested waters with a high risk of collisions like the Inland Sea of Japan. An extreme test case proves that the developed algorithm is a practical algorithm ready for such use. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 225–248, 2017     

Performance analysis of the cultural and creative industry: a network‐based approach

The cultural and creative industries (CCIs) in Taiwan have gradually contributed to the national economy under the impetus of government policies. We employ a two‐stage data envelopment analysis model with an additive efficiency decomposition approach to measure the profitability and marketability of 22 Taiwanese cultural and creative companies. Furthermore, we employ the network‐based ranking approach to identify benchmark inputs/outputs, and the strengths and weakness of each company. Our empirical results show that the profitability of the cultural and creative companies is better than their marketability. Companies in the industries of publishing, creative life, popular music, and cultural content averagely perform better than those in the other three types of CCIs in terms of profitability. Companies in the creative life industry are on average more efficient than those in the other five types of CCIs in terms of marketability. The profitability/marketability matrix of cultural and creative companies is also presented.     

Two‐agent scheduling on a single sequential and compatible batching machine

We study two‐agent scheduling on a single sequential and compatible batching machine in which jobs in each batch are processed sequentially and compatibility means that jobs of distinct agents can be processed in a common batch. A fixed setup time is required before each batch is started. Each agent seeks to optimize some scheduling criterion that depends on the completion times of its own jobs only. We consider several scheduling problems arising from different combinations of some regular scheduling criteria, including the maximum cost (embracing lateness and makespan as its special cases), the total completion time, and the (weighted) number of tardy jobs. Our goal is to find an optimal schedule that minimizes the objective value of one agent, subject to an upper bound on the objective value of the other agent. For each problem under consideration, we provide either a polynomial‐time or a pseudo‐polynomial‐time algorithm to solve it. We also devise a fully polynomial‐time approximation scheme when both agents’ scheduling criteria are the weighted number of tardy jobs.     

改进的导弹半实物仿真跟踪微分器设计

为了抑制三轴转台输出信号存在相位延迟和噪声对导弹半实物仿真系统性能的影响,研究并设计了一种改进的跟踪微分器进行相位补偿和滤波。基于传统跟踪微分器的工作原理,设计三轴转台输出信号跟踪的基本结构,分析其在输入信号存在噪声时,由于经过传统的跟踪微分器获取微分信号使得噪声强度放大,致使跟踪信号存在振荡的现象。在此基础上,提出一种将微分跟踪器产生的微分信号再串联一个跟踪微分器的相位超前补偿器设计方法,以滤除由于输入信号噪声引起的信号污染,进而消除输出信号的振荡问题。以某导弹半实物仿真系统三轴转台输出信号存在相位延迟和噪声的现象为算例,通过与超前校正方法对比研究,进行了系统仿真验证。仿真结果表明,改进相位超前补偿器能有效地提取姿态角速度信号,具有良好的滤波和相位超前补偿性能,进而证明了其在导弹半实物仿真试验应用的正确性和有效性。     

禁忌单亲遗传算法的某指挥控制舱协同任务规划

指挥控制舱是武器系统中指挥控制的功能核心,通过多人协同交互完成指控任务。为提高人员协同效率和操控效率。建立了以完成所有任务的时间最短为目标函数的多人协同任务规划模型。在求解模型时,采用禁忌单亲遗传混合优化算法,通过无性繁殖的方法,减少了在子代中产生无效染色体的情况,提升了算法的效率,通过禁忌算法有效避免陷入局部极小值。通过实例分析,算法使总任务执行时间减少了12豫。本模型以及求解算法在解决指挥控制舱多人协同任务规划时具有可行性,对指挥控制舱任务流程设计具有一定参考价值。     

Performances of the defense industrial base in France: the role of small and medium enterprises

This paper employs an economic and statistical approach to get an overview of the defense industrial base (DIB) in France. It allows us to identify its main characteristics and to measure the role of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). An original data-set was built, thanks to the information from the Ministry of Defense (MOD), the French Customs Central and National Administration, the Organization for Joint Armament Cooperation (OCCAR), the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and all the most relevant organizations specialized in the development, production or maintenance, repair, and overhaul of military goods in France. Overall, the DIB turns out as being composed of about 1800 enterprises in France (subcontractors included), of which three-third are SMEs. Along with high market concentration ratios, these enterprises are characterized by a significant military/civil duality, high labor productivity rates, and intensity in Research and Development.