人才结构系统分析的目标规划方法

本文把马尔可夫过程和目标规划结合起来,提出人才结构系统分析的单项控制和多项控制,并在单项控制模型的基础上发展成了多项控制模型,加强了模型的可信度和通用性。     

军民融合产业内涵及范畴

发展军民融合产业是各级政府落实军民融合发展国家战略的重要抓手之一。针对军民融合产业界定不清等问题,从理论研究和实践工作层面梳理既有观点及演变趋势,形成对军民融合产业的客观认识。在此基础上,剖析军民融合产业的属性特征,从指导实践工作角度出发提出三种界定军民融合产业范畴及相关统计工作的合理化思路,并提出建立两级联动工作机制、开展国家工业基础中国防科研生产能力普查工作、试点开展军民融合产业分类标准及指标体系建设工作、加强军民融合产业统计数据质量监测等政策建议。     

Inventory management with advance capacity information

An important aspect of supply chain management is dealing with demand and supply uncertainty. The uncertainty of future supply can be reduced if a company is able to obtain advance capacity information (ACI) about future supply/production capacity availability from its supplier. We address a periodic‐review inventory system under stochastic demand and stochastic limited supply, for which ACI is available. We show that the optimal ordering policy is a state‐dependent base‐stock policy characterized by a base‐stock level that is a function of ACI. We establish a link with inventory models that use advance demand information (ADI) by developing a capacitated inventory system with ADI, and we show that equivalence can only be set under a very specific and restrictive assumption, implying that ADI insights will not necessarily hold in the ACI environment. Our numerical results reveal several managerial insights. In particular, we show that ACI is most beneficial when there is sufficient flexibility to react to anticipated demand and supply capacity mismatches. Further, most of the benefits can be achieved with only limited future visibility. We also show that the system parameters affecting the value of ACI interact in a complex way and therefore need to be considered in an integrated manner. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

复杂环境下基于多目标粒子群的DWA路径规划算法

针对机器人在障碍物分布密集的复杂环境中运行时,动态窗口法(dynamic window approach,DWA)易出现避障失败或规划不合理的情况,提出一种基于多目标粒子群优化算法(multi-objective particle swarm optimization,MOPSO)的改进DWA规划算法。在建立多障碍物环境覆盖模型的基础上,提出一种障碍物密集度的判断方法;优化DWA算法中的子评价函数;利用改进的MOPSO算法实现DWA权重系数的动态调整,将权重系数的自适应变化问题转化为多目标优化问题;根据路径规划的要求将安全距离和速度作为优化目标,并使用改进的MOPSO算法对相应的多目标优化模型进行优化求解。仿真结果表明,该算法使机器人有效地通过障碍〖BHDWG8,WK10YQ,DK1*2,WK1*2D〗〖XCLXY.TIF;%129%129〗听语音 聊科研与作者互动 物密集区的同时兼顾了运行的安全性和速度,具有更好的路径规划效果。     

舰载对陆巡航导弹规划航路点间距离的计算分析

针对舰载对陆巡航导弹在实际飞行中,其航迹需要参考近似大地线的航线,在充分考虑导弹由海对陆的航路规划过程基础上,提出了易于编程、精度有所改进的空间两点间大地距离的计算方法.该方法在考虑高程的地球椭球模型参数的求取基础上,利用Bowring反解公式重新推导了顾及高程的空间航路点间的计算公式.相关算例表明,该方法提高了导弹规...     

基于CPN建模的行动方案开发与分析系统设计

协助和支持军事计划人员制订和分析作战计划的建模与仿真能力是军方的现行需求,而行动方案的开发与分析则是作战计划建模与仿真的重点。针对作战计划过程期间开发的军事任务的排序与调度问题,设计了一个行动方案开发与分析系统,系统采用客户机-服务器体系结构,运用基于有色Petri网建模的军事计划领域的概念表示法,并使用状态空间分析技术完成军事任务的自动化排序与调度。军事计划人员通过图形用户界面使用系统,在面对紧急突发事件时,可以快速及时地开发出适当可行的COA,并对COA进行逻辑可行性分析。     

防空导弹兵力规划模型

借助兵力交换的思想,从宏观层次上研究不同类型的防空导弹火力单元对空中目标的优化分配问题;分析在最优目标分配策略下区域防空中各类型防空导弹火力单元的火力分配问题,并建立了递阶优化的求解模型.该模型可为区域防空部署的决策与分析提供科学依据.     

国外任务规划系统的发展

在分析任务规划系统对现代空对地信息化作战重要性和必要性的基础上,详细阐述了国外具有代表性的先进任务规划系统的发展现状和程度,重点论述和剖析了以美国空军任务规划系统为代表的典型任务规划系统的体系结构、功能以及关键技术,旨在为我国空军、海军航空兵和陆军航空兵发展任务规划系统提供借鉴和参考.     

基于Multi-Agent的武器装备虚拟维修训练系统

提出了一种基于Multi-Agent的虚拟维修训练系统(VMTS)结构框架,整个系统分别由主控Agent、仿真Agent、和接口Agent3个具有交互作用的Agent组成,从而将虚拟维修训练系统的开发转化为一个多Agent系统的设计与开发.基于多Agent的框架结构可实现受训者的智能模型及虚拟训练场景中虚拟物体的行为模型,从而可以提高VMTS的健壮性和可重用性.基于Agent的概念模型实现了Agent之间的交互和协作,并介绍了主控Agent和仿真Agent的具体实现方法.     

Dynamic order acceptance and capacity planning on a single bottleneck resource

We present a tactical decision model for order acceptance and capacity planning that maximizes the expected profits from accepted orders, allowing for aggregate regular as well as nonregular capacity. The stream of incoming order arrivals is the main source of uncertainty in dynamic order acceptance and the company only has forecasts of the main properties of the future incoming projects. Project proposals arrive sequentially with deterministic interarrival times and a decision on order acceptance and capacity planning needs to be made each time a proposal arrives and its project characteristics are revealed. We apply stochastic dynamic programming to determine a profit threshold for the accept/reject decision as well as to deterministically allocate a single bottleneck resource to the accepted projects, both with an eye on maximizing the expected revenues within the problem horizon. We derive a number of managerial insights based on an analysis of the influence of project and environmental characteristics on optimal project selection and aggregate capacity usage. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007