现行火灾事故调查制度应用分析及完善路径探讨

《火灾事故调查规定》是规范火灾事故调查,保障公安机关消防机构依法履行职责,保护火灾当事人合法权益的基本规章。结合《火灾事故调查规定》的应用实践,阐述了新修订的《火灾事故调查规定》一些制度设计对火灾事故调查工作的影响,分析了其适用中存在的问题,提出了解决这些问题的对策,有助于进一步完善火灾事故调查制度。     

石化企业火灾事故原因调查方法和技术研究

根据石油化工企业生产特点,阐述了石油化工企业火灾现场特点、火灾事故调查的重点内容、调查采取的方法和技术以及事故调查当中的注意事项,为开展好石油化工企业火灾调查工作提供参考。     

Optimal sample size allocation for tests with multiple levels of stress with extreme value regression

In this article, we discuss the optimal allocation problem in a multiple stress levels life‐testing experiment when an extreme value regression model is used for statistical analysis. We derive the maximum likelihood estimators, the Fisher information, and the asymptotic variance–covariance matrix of the maximum likelihood estimators. Three optimality criteria are defined and the optimal allocation of units for two‐ and k‐stress level situations are determined. We demonstrate the efficiency of the optimal allocation of units in a multiple stress levels life‐testing experiment by using real experimental situations discussed earlier by McCool and Nelson and Meeker. Monte Carlo simulations are used to show that the optimality results hold for small sample sizes as well. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Quantifying the performance effects of idle time utilization in multiserver systems

In many practical multiserver queueing systems, servers not only serve randomly arriving customers but also work on the secondary jobs with infinite backlog during their idle time. In this paper, we propose a c‐server model with a two‐threshold policy, denoted by (e d), to evaluate the performance of this class of systems. With such a policy, when the number of idle servers has reached d (<c), then e (<d) idle agents will process secondary jobs. These e servers keep working on the secondary jobs until they find waiting customers exist in the system at a secondary job completion instant. Using the matrix analytic method, we obtain the stationary performance measures for evaluating different (e, d) policies. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007.     

雷达PPI光栅扫描显示系统设计与实现

介绍一种基于微机的雷达PPI光栅扫描显示系统的设计与实现。研究了坐标快速转换、数据实时采集等关键技术,提出了优化查表法坐标转换方法以及回波数据的实时采集方案,很好满足了PPI光栅扫描显示系统中高速率、低存储量以及实时性的要求。研究成果已成功应用于某型号雷达PPI显示系统中。     

Constrained minimax optimization of continuous search efforts for the detection of a stationary target

Analytical resolution of search theory problems, as formalized by B.O. Koopman, may be applied with some model extension to various resource management issues. However, a fundamental prerequisite is the knowledge of the prior target density. Though this assumption has the definite advantage of simplicity, its drawback is clearly that target reactivity is not taken into account. As a preliminary step towards reactive target study stands the problem of resource planning under a min–max game context. This paper is related to Nakai's work about the game planning of resources for the detection of a stationary target. However, this initial problem is extended by adding new and more general constraints, allowing a more realistic modeling of the target and searcher behaviors. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Probabilistic solution and bounds for serial inventory systems with discounted and average costs

We consider the infinite horizon serial inventory system with both average cost and discounted cost criteria. The optimal echelon base‐stock levels are obtained in terms of only probability distributions of leadtime demands. This analysis yields a novel approach for developing bounds and heuristics for optimal inventory control polices. In addition to deriving the known bounds in literature, we develop several new upper bounds for both average cost and discounted cost models. Numerical studies show that the bounds and heuristic are very close to optimal.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

机电系统故障—时间应力的关联分析技术研究

时间应力测量装置技术是一种测量和存储各种应力数据以及对这些数据进行挖掘与分析的技术。简要介绍了时间应力的基本概念及其研究应用的发展历程。在此基础上,提出了基于故障模式、影响及应力分析(FMESA)的时间应力与机电系统故障的定性关联分析方法和基于多元logistic回归的定量关联分析方法。最后,以某型航空地平仪为对象进行了案例研究。案例分析结果表明,文中提出的时间应力与机电系统故障的关联分析方法能分析出影响系统性能的关键应力因素,为机电系统的故障诊断及故障预测提供基础。     

用毁伤概率指标优化二点源诱饵系统布阵

两点源诱偏系统是应用有源干扰的方式,利用反辐射导弹(ARM)本身的缺陷来对反辐射导弹的导引头进行干扰,从而达到保护主战雷达目的的一种有源干扰系统。主要从反辐射导弹的基本原理和有源诱偏的概念入手,对两点源诱偏系统进行理论推导、数学建模、布站设想,后引入毁伤概率指标对各种布站方式进行分类、仿真,对每一种仿真结果进行分析、评估,再把各种分析结果加以比较,从中找出最佳的布站方式。最后利用以上的分析结果,得出几点有用的结论。     

基于EMP环境下的导弹作战防护对策分析

EMP武器以其极强的破坏性在现代战争中展现出了显著的作战效能。为了提高EMP环境下导弹作战防护能力,简单分析了EMP的产生过程,阐述了EMP武器在作战运用中的干扰、软(硬)杀伤的作用机理,研究了EMP环境对导弹及测试设备、指挥系统、计算机系统的影响,提出了导弹作战中对EMP的防护应采取设置法拉第笼、可靠接地、滤波等防护对策。