防空作战风险决策分析

防空作战决策活动具有极强的风险性。以决策者面对风险的态度为突破点,通过建立效用曲线并在最大效用原则下对有关决策问题进行优化,在一定程度上可大大降低决策方案的风险性。同时对于防空体系设计也具有一定的参考价值。     

基于模糊理论和频谱分析的电力电子设备的故障诊断

将模糊理论和频谱分析引入电力电子电路故障诊断之中.对关键点的电压信号进行数据采集, 然后对此信号进行频谱分析,得到被诊断元件不同故障时关键点的频谱特征.通过确定各待诊断元件的故障隶属度,确定故障元件.故障诊断实例和仿真结果表明,本方法是可行的.     

宽带目标回波模型的物理解释及小波变换表示

在点目标回波模型基础上,通过对理想运动体目标的分析,引入了距离-速度联合分布密度和时延-时间伸缩联合分布密度函数的概念,详细推导了延展目标的宽带回波模型,解释了各密度函数和宽带扩展函数的物理意义及相互关系,最后给出了宽带回波模型的小波变换表示方法.     

重视教学评价的形成性功能

从军队院校开展本科教学工作评价的实际出发,提出要重视教育评价的形成性功能.在教育教学的实践中落实本科教学工作评价标准,用本科教学工作评价标准指导日常教育训练工作.     

武器装备军事需求论证的地位与作用

介绍了武器装备军事需求论证的概念,从武器装备发展的基本规律出发,对武器装备军事需求论证在武器装备论证中的地位与作用进行了全面分析,突出了武器装备军事需求论证在武器装备建设中的重要地位,强调了武器装备军事需求论证的“牵引”作用。     

Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions with interval censored samples

This article studies the problem of designing Bayesian sampling plans (BSP) with interval censored samples. First, an algorithm for deriving the conventional BSP is proposed. The BSP is shown to possess some monotonicity. Based on the BSP and using the property of monotonicity, a new sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure is proposed. The resulting curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) can reduce the duration time of life test experiment, and it is optimal in the sense that its associated Bayes risk is smaller than the Bayes risk of the BSP if the cost of the duration time of life test experiment is considered. A numerical example to compute the Bayes risks of BSP and CBSP and related quantities is given. Also, a Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to illustrate the performance of the CBSP compared with the BSP. The simulation results demonstrate that our proposed CBSP has better performance because it has smaller risk. The CBSP is recommended. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 604–616, 2015     

三维移动脉动源格林函数的对称性及其应用

为进一步提高三维有航速船舶耐波性预报的计算效率,将对称性引入到移动脉动源格林函数法的速度势求解之中,提出了基于格林函数对称性的水动力快速求解措施。从源点对场点的对称特性出发,推导获得了调和函数的法向偏导数在船体对称线元和面元处的积分对称关系式,开展了对称性在简化边界元积分方程系数矩阵中的应用,进而构建了高效求解三维船舶耐波性能的理论计算方法。数值结果及算例分析表明:水动力计算中移动脉动源格林函数的对称性有利于降低计算量和减少系统内存,且适用于有航速船舶在波浪中的波浪干扰力、运动响应和自由面波形的数值模拟,可拓展至两船水动力干扰及复杂船型的频域水动力分析计算之中。     

Optimal FCFS allocation rules for periodic‐review assemble‐to‐order systems

In Assemble‐To‐Order (ATO) systems, situations may arise in which customer demand must be backlogged due to a shortage of some components, leaving available stock of other components unused. Such unused component stock is called remnant stock. Remnant stock is a consequence of both component ordering decisions and decisions regarding allocation of components to end‐product demand. In this article, we examine periodic‐review ATO systems under linear holding and backlogging costs with a component installation stock policy and a First‐Come‐First‐Served (FCFS) allocation policy. We show that the FCFS allocation policy decouples the problem of optimal component allocation over time into deterministic period‐by‐period optimal component allocation problems. We denote the optimal allocation of components to end‐product demand as multimatching. We solve the multi‐matching problem by an iterative algorithm. In addition, an approximation scheme for the joint replenishment and allocation optimization problem with both upper and lower bounds is proposed. Numerical experiments for base‐stock component replenishment policies show that under optimal base‐stock policies and optimal allocation, remnant stock holding costs must be taken into account. Finally, joint optimization incorporating optimal FCFS component allocation is valuable because it provides a benchmark against which heuristic methods can be compared. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 158–169, 2015     

序降应力加速寿命试验(下)——优化设计篇

如何设计试验方案使试验评估结果更准确、试验代价更小,是序降应力加速寿命试验应用中面临的一个重要问题。以试验评估精度和试验代价共同需求为背景,建立一类新的基于加权系数的优化目标函数。为解决仿真优化设计过程中的计算量问题,在深入分析目标函数性质基础上,提出一种新的优化设计法——正交搜索法。与优化设计过程的全局搜索法不同,该方法能够逐次缩小目标函数值,快速逼近最优试验方案。最后通过仿真算例验证了新方法的正确性和高效性。     

一种钢管焊接结构焊接节点损伤识别的新方法

采用端部半刚性连接梁单元模型进行模拟焊接节点的损伤,并基于应变模态理论,提出了一种焊接节点损伤识别两步法。第一步,先整体测量结构的位移模态并推导出应变模态,然后采用改进后的目标函数,通过信赖域优化算法对损伤节点位置进行准确判定;第二步,采用提出的杆端应变模态变化比指标,实现焊接节点损伤程度的精确识别。经工程实例的数值仿真及试验分析,验证了该方法的有效性及优越性,为解决这类大型焊接结构焊接节点的损伤识别问题提供了新思路。