消防应急照明和疏散指示标志设置常见问题分析

消防应急照明与疏散指示标志的作用是保证火灾时仍需坚持工作场所的工作照度和安全通道的疏散照度,正确引导火灾场所的人员安全疏散到安全地带,是保障消防作业和安全疏散必不可少的重要设施。消防应急照明和疏散指示标志的设置应既符合消防要求又要行之有效,但在实际工作中经常出现设置上的疏漏和错误,下面就一些常见的问题进行列举分析。     

某型火炮制退机节制环磨损故障分析与处理

制退机的性能好坏直接关系到火炮作战效能的发挥。针对目前装备保障方式大多停留在维修层面而理论研究不够深入的实际,对节制环磨损故障的机理进行分析。以某型火炮短节制杆式制退复进机为对象,利用MATLAB数值计算平台,编程仿真节制环磨损故障对后坐的影响。同时探讨了故障后对火炮的处理方案。研究表明,节制环磨损对后坐诸元都将产生不同影响,针对影响的程度可制定相应的故障处理方案。仿真模拟和方案探讨对装备保障工作具有参考意义。     

消防部队化学事故应急救援预案的制定与演习

阐述公安消防部队制定化学事故应急救援预案的程序、方法、步骤及制定预案时应考虑的各种因素;并对化学事故应急预案在不同条件下实施演习的程序、方法及演习过程中应注意的问题提出看法.     

运载器牵制释放结构动力响应数值模拟方法研究

将运载器牵制释放垂直发射的过程依次分为静态、牵制、释放三个阶段.利用MSC.Patran/Nastran的场功能和分组分析功能,将前一个阶段的计算结果场向后一个阶段的初始条件场传递,提出了一种分析运载器牵制释放全过程结构动力响应的分阶段计算新方法.解决了牵制释放过程中由于出现运载器-发射台分离面给结构动力响应计算带来的困难.采用该方法计算了几个运载器牵制释放的算例,分析了牵制阶段牵制力的变化、释放阶段运载器结构动力响应的特点、不同释放时间对结构动力响应的影响.算例表明:该方法实施简便、精度较高,还可拓展用于不同时刻释放、释放不同步、施加缓释力等条件下运载器结构动力响应的分析,为牵制释放系统的研制提供参考.     

Socioeconomic impact of conflict: state of emergency ruling in Turkey

Uprising tensions during 2010 in eastern and southeastern regions of Turkey provoked arguments about the necessity for a State of Emergency (SOE; ‘Ola?anüstü Hal’ in Turkish) declaration in those regions, with a belief of enduring political sustainability. The discussion is inflamed by a speech of the Nationalist Movement Party’s leader about the suggestion to announce a SOE ruling after the death of 24 Turkish soldiers in Hakkari (a city in the southeast of Turkey) in an attack of the PKK (Kurdistan Workers’ Party) on the 19 October 2011. Although a new announcement of SOE did not take place, the discussion itself induced the idea behind this paper which is to provide a quantitative analysis of the SOE in Turkey. In fact, the SOE ruling is not a new concept for Turkey and it has been implemented in 13 cities in the eastern and southeastern regions from 1987 to 2002. Although there have been many discussions about the costs of these 15 years of the SOE ruling in terms of military expenditure and, thus, on the national budget, there is a lack of quantitative analytical examination of the economic and social costs of it. Difference-in-differences analysis reveals negative spillover impacts of the SOE, especially on the forced migration, unemployment, and educational investments. The results also show that SOE ruling is an important factor for the underdevelopment of the eastern and southeastern regions in Turkey and, thus, a new SOE will bring enormous inequalities, both economically and socially, and an intensification of the ethnic tensions in Turkey.     

当前应急救援体系短板探析

结合典型应急救援实战案例,明确当前影响应急救援体系效率的关键因素,通过对应急救援作战效能的分析,寻找应急救援体系的短板环节,并提出了以消防部队为核心枢纽提高应急救援能力的有效途径。     

输电塔-线体系在断线作用下的动力响应

架空送电线路设计技术规程给出了断线情况下导地线静态平衡后的张力系数，该系数没有考虑塔-线体系的动态冲击效应。以晋东南-南阳-荆门1000kV输电线路沿山头汉江大跨越工程为参考，利用两基三线模型分析了断线工况下大跨越输电塔的动力响应。数值模拟分析表明，断线荷载对输电塔的冲击作用显著，应力放大系数γ达到1．42—1．94。该结论可以为输电线路相关规范的制定提供参考，也为类似塔-线结构体系的动力计算提供借鉴。     

一类具Holling-Ⅲ类功能性反应的食物有限捕食-被捕食模型的极限环

研究一类具Holling-Ⅲ类功能性反应的食物有限捕食-被捕食模型的动力学性态。应用微分方程定性理论，证明当正平衡点不稳定时该模型存在唯一稳定的极限环。     

冲击波和高速破片联合作用下固支方板毁伤效应数值模拟

为探讨固支方形钢板结构在空爆冲击波和高速破片联合作用下的动态响应过程及变形破坏模式,利用有限元分析软件ANSYS/LS-DYNA,开展了空爆冲击波和高速破片对固支方板的联合作用数值模拟计算,阐述了固支方板在联合载荷作用下动态响应过程的2个阶段,以及在不同爆距下的变形破坏模式和特点。结果表明,随着爆距增加,在破片密集作用区内,钢板的破坏模式存在从集团冲塞破口到部分穿孔边界撕裂联通,再到无穿孔边界撕裂现象的转换。     

Does military spending promote social welfare? A comparative analysis of the BRICS and G7 countries

Whether military spending is capable of promoting social welfare is currently a controversial issue. The aim of this paper is to investigate how military spending affects the input and output of social welfare (i.e. social welfare expenditures and social welfare index). A panel cointegration analysis and an impulse response function are conducted with multi-country panel data, over two time periods, 1998–2011 and 1993–2007. In addition, to extend a comparative analysis over different economies, BRICS (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and G7 (i.e. the US, Japan, Germany, the UK, France, Italy, Canada) countries are selected as representatives of emerging economies and developed countries, respectively. The empirical results show that military spending enhances social welfare expenditures in developed countries, while the effect is ambiguous in emerging economies. Also, military spending is capable of promoting the social welfare index based on the FMOLS estimation. The comparative analyses indicate that unlike in the G7, the effect of the growth of military spending on the growth of social welfare expenditures is negative and shorter in the BRICS.