基于灰色神经网络的装甲部队油料消耗预测

油料消耗量的精确预测直接影响装甲部队后勤保障能力的提升,而传统预测模型精度不高,应用范围也有一定的局限,难以满足信息化战争精确保障的需要。提出一种装甲部队油料消耗预测的组合模型,对历史油料消耗数据和油耗影响因素进行统计分析,求出各影响因素与油耗量的关联度作为权重系数;通过改进GM(1,1)模型预测某部队下一次军事行动的油耗量;用GM(1,1)模型的预测值、加权后的各影响因素值和油耗实际值训练网络,对下一次想定的军事行动油耗量进行预测。通过平均相对误差计算表明,组合预测模型比单一的GM(1,1)模型预测精度高,能够较好地指导部队进行下一步的油料供管工作。     

REFASHIONING AUSTRALIA'S NUCLEAR BARGAIN?

This article explores the challenges that Australia faces in reconciling its commitments to nonproliferation and uranium exports during a time when the international nuclear nonproliferation regime is under major stress and the world uranium market is bullish. The “grand bargain” that has framed Australian participation in the nonproliferation regime and the nuclear fuel market since the 1970s was only tenable in an era of stagnant uranium demand and a stable nuclear balance. However, contemporary nuclear proliferation dynamics and the revival of interest in nuclear energy have accentuated the incompatibility between Australia's commitment to nonproliferation and the desire to profit from uranium exports. The contemporary international strategic environment, international nonproliferation regime, and nuclear energy market are characterized by developments that not only undermine the basis of Australia's grand bargain, but also present challenges and opportunities for the refashioning of Australian policy.     

Does Intent equal Capability? Al-Qaeda and Weapons of Mass Destruction

The prospect of terrorists deploying weapons of mass destruction (WMD) is often referred to as the foremost danger to American national security. This danger has become more realistic because of al-Qaeda's expanding global network and the expressed willingness to kill thousands of civilians. In the past four years, numerous media reports have documented the group's ongoing quest for WMD capabilities; many reports have detailed al-Qaeda members’ attempts to manufacture or obtain certain chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) agents to use in WMD against targets in the West and the Middle East. Yet the question remains: Does al-Qaeda's current WMD capability match its actual intent? While most studies of the group have focused on its explicit desire for WMD, allegations of CBRN acquisition, and the killing potential of specific CBRN agents, few open-source studies have closely examined the evolution of al-Qaeda's consideration of WMD and, most notably, the merit of actual CBRN production instructions as depicted and disseminated in the group's own literature and manuals. The following report will examine the history of al-Qaeda's interest in CBRN agents, the evolution of the network's attitude toward these weapons, and the internal debate within the organization concerning acquisition and use of WMD. More so, the following research will assess the validity of actual CBRN production instructions and capabilities as displayed and disseminated in al-Qaeda's own literature and websites.     

弹药洞库有害气体分布规律研究

以计算流体力学（CFD）为理论基础,应用GAMBIT软件对洞库内的有害气体进行几何模型构建和网络划分,用FLUENT软件对所建模型中有害气体的扩散和分布规律进行模拟分析,并对单一释放源条件下扩散规律进行比较,分析弹药堆垛对气体扩散的影响．通过对洞库内有害气体的整体分布规律的研究,找到了库房内有害气体浓度最高的位置．最后,通过实验对仿真结果进行验证．     

UN-Consistent: A Comparison of Australia's Military Interventions in Somalia and Rwanda

This article seeks to compare Australia's involvement in two key 1990s peace missions: those to Somalia in 1992–93 and Rwanda in 1994–95. While there are many similarities between the two missions in terms of time, scale and theatre, the differences are more important. Both missions are usually recalled as failures despite the Australian troops having been extremely successful in their roles during both deployments. Moreover the experiences with intervention in Africa seem to have forever blighted Australian participation in peace missions on that continent.     

气体炮法测评抗冲元件的动态特性

提出了一种测评抗冲元件动态特性的方法.通过气体炮发射的炮弹撞击砧块,使之获得一定的初速度,再利用砧块的惯性对抗冲元件施加冲击载荷.使用激光位移传感器和测力钢块分别测量力和位移,解决了特殊情况下数据测量的问题.     

针栓喷管技术在固体姿轨控系统中的应用研究

论述了针栓喷管技术在固体姿轨控系统中的应用,研究了针栓喷管的技术途径,防热材料选择,针栓驱动方案选择,针栓结构设计,以及多喷管系统的推力管理方案.并对在不同压强和针栓位置情况下的内流场数值模拟,最后提出针栓喷管在姿轨控系统中应用的关键技术和发展方向.     

无管网七氟丙烷灭火系统在小面积精密仪器场所的运用

小面积精密仪器场所由于其精密性和重要性,适于设置气体灭火系统。通过分析比较各种气体灭火剂、有管网和无管网气体自动灭火系统的优缺点及其性价比,得出无管网柜式七氟丙烷灭火系统是小面积精密仪器场所最合适的灭火系统。     

基于台架试验的节油驾驶操作研究

在发动机台架上,通过控制发动机冷却水温度、油门开度、负荷、运转时间等模拟车辆起动、怠速、预热、起步、工作水温等5种工况,对节油驾驶操作进行研究.结果表明:车辆怠速超过1 min时,应熄火;车辆预热可采用中低转速,但严禁乱轰油门;车辆起动后,经短时间预热即可起步,低速低负荷运行至冷却水温度达到发动机正常工作温度;正常行驶...     

无灰型柴油添加剂的灰模式关联决策

由于无灰型柴油添加剂不存在二次污染问题,将是节能降污柴油添加剂发展的趋势,但是无灰型添加剂的加入可能会改变燃油多项理化指标和发动机台架评定结果,采用灰模式关联决策在众多添加剂中确定最优无灰型添加剂是一种较为科学的方法.通过对含有无灰型柴油添加剂油样的各项理化指标测试、模拟评价测试和发动机台架试验结果进行灰模式关联决策,...