弹炮结合防空武器系统火力分配模型

火力分配是弹炮结合武器系统射击指挥中的重要环节。论文针对弹炮结合武器系统中防空导弹分系统和高炮分系统战术技术性能与作战特点,在具体分析火力分配考虑的主要因素——防空导弹分系统和高炮分系统的杀伤区与毁伤概率的基础上,确立了相应的火力优化分配原则,构建了实用的临近航路和过航点处火力分配模型,通过仿真表明该模型实时性好,能满足实际应用需要,对进一步研究提供了有益的参考。     

炮兵火力毁伤指标体系研究与应用

依据评定射击效率原理,采用弹药消耗量的简化计算公式,根据等效思想和逐步逼近思想,建立了目标、毁伤程度和弹药向标准体系的换算关系;在此基础上,通过改造计算火炮射击效能的基本公式,得出了不同火炮间的换算关系。从而确立了炮兵火力毁伤指标体系和标准化换算的方法,为在战役层次上把握炮兵的作战运用提供了科学的途径。     

拦截TBM发射区的确定方法初探

在讨论拦截TBM杀伤区的基础上 ,应用TBM的运动方程 ,给出了确定低层反导防御系统拦截TBM时发射区的方法 ,对研究反导防御作战理论有一定的参考作用 ,同时 ,为指挥员选择最佳发射时机和发射方式提供了重要的理论依据。     

The snowball phenomenon: the US Marine Corps,military mythology and the spread of hybrid warfare theory

ABSTRACT

This article reviews the book by Ofer Fridman and seeks to situate the strategic debate on hybrid war in the context of debate on the US involvement in Iraq. It points to intellectuals from the Marine Corps having a significant role in the initial development of the hybrid warfare concept at a time of some reservation in US military circles over COIN strategy as this was set out in the field manual FM3-24. Thereafter, the hybrid war concept rapidly spread and became a conceptual device used to explain Russian strategic intentions in the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine in 2014.     

城市区域消防安全评估方法研究

城市区域消防安全评估是科学有效地进行城市消防规划、部署和消防法规的制定的重要依据 ,对于城市建设和社会经济的协调发展具有保证和促进作用。根据《中华人民共和国消防法》及《机关、团体、企业、事业单位消防安全管理规定》(6 1号令 )对消防管理对象的界定标准 ,提出两种不同的分类方法 ,确定了城市区域消防安全体系的组成要素 ,采用层次分析法确定了各要素的权重 ,应用多层次多目标系统模糊优选理论 ,建立了城市区域消防安全评价模型 ,对城市区域消防安全评估进行了方法研究和具体计算 ,并应用所设计的模型对北京市宣武区的区域消防安全状况进行了两种方法的分析评估。计算结果证明了方法的有效性 ,用两种不同的分类方法所做出的结果 ,显示了不同分类的一致性。     

电视制导无人攻击机垂直命中目标毁伤概率分析

综合考虑电视指令制导无人攻击机的攻击作战过程,将其末制导设定为满足落角约束的目标跟踪问题,设计了一种基于自动驾驶仪能保持无人攻击机垂直命中目标末制导律,并提出了一种电视制导无人攻击机垂直命中目标的毁伤概率的计算方法.通过仿真计算.结果比较符合实际,为提高和评估无人攻击机的作战效能.提供了简单有效的方法.     

Hybrid War and Its Countermeasures: A Critique of the Literature

This article examines critically the literature of hybrid war and evaluates the countermeasures often proposed. It explains the concept of hybrid warfare and its varied interpretations, illustrating how it is a manifestation of current anxieties in armed conflict. The selection of the literature is based on works that are referenced, that offer a scientific approach, and which review either the phenomenon of hybrid warfare or its countermeasures empirically. Unscientific works have been omitted. The analysis of the literature presented here shows that the antidotes to ‘hybridity’ lie not in the operational or tactical sphere but in strategic and political domains.     

非均匀焊接接头的力学建模与断裂分析

建立了非均匀焊接接头"4区连接"的新模型,并利用积分变换-奇异积分方程的方法,研究了焊缝区的反平面断裂问题。数值计算表明:增大界面区的刚度或者适当地增大焊缝区、热影响区和界面区的宽度都有利于降低焊缝区裂纹的应力强度因子;相对于高匹配情形而言,低匹配焊接接头焊缝区的抗断裂能力明显较高。     

鱼雷攻击占位相关参数计算

讨论了鱼雷攻击占位机动过程中,最小占位速度和最短占位时间的计算问题,采用数值计算分析方法,得出了各种不同敌我初始态势和相对运动速度下对应最短占位时间的占位点的分布规律,推导出最小占位速度和最短占位时间的计算公式。     

Violence in context: Mapping the strategies and operational art of irregular warfare

The malaise that the United States, and the West, have experienced in recent campaigns stems in large part from unclear thinking about war, its political essence, and the strategies needed to join the two. Instead, analysis and response are predicated on entrenched theoretical concepts with limited practical utility. The inadequacy of understanding has spawned new, and not so new, terms to capture unanticipated trends, starting with the re-discovery of “insurgency” and “counterinsurgency” and leading to discussion of “hybrid threats” and “gray-zone” operations. New terminology can help, but the change must go deeper. Challenging analytical orthodoxy, this article sets out a unifying approach for the study of political violence, or more accurately: violent politics. It provides a conceptual foundation that helps to make sense of recent shifts in warfare. In effect, it offers sorely needed theoretical insights into the nature of strategy and guides the process of responding to nontraditional threats.