边防部队保密工作之我见

保密工作是边防部队机关工作的重要内容之一。做好新形势下的保密工作，应从“窃密与反窃密”、“密与非密界定”入手，以信息安全为重点，在加强涉密计算机系统保密管理、提高保密人员素质、加大保密工作投入等方面切实做好边防部队保密工作。     

基于运载能力评估的固体运载火箭推力向量控制方案比较

从对运载能力影响角度开展固体运载火箭发动机推力向量控制系统比较分析研究。设计了三种采用不同发动机推力向量控制系统的多级固体运载火箭方案,将增广乘子法与共轭方向法相结合,对固体运载火箭上升段弹道进行了优化设计,给出运载能力评估结果。研究表明,起飞质量均为50 000kg,目标轨道均为300km太阳同步轨道时,采用栅格舵和侧喷流作为推力向量控制系统方案,比采用燃气舵和侧喷流作为推力向量控制系统方案,运载能力提高70kg,比各级固体发动机全部采用摆动喷管控制方案,运载能力提高115kg,为固体运载火箭总体方案论证提供理论依据。     

当前城中村消防安全问题分析及对策探讨

随着城镇化的快速发展,“城中村”火灾多发,形势严峻.对现阶段“城中村”的火灾特点进行了分析,结合工作实际,提出并分析了“城中村”存在的消防安全问题,就如何提升“城中村”抗御火灾能力提出了防火对策.     

Effects of module number and firing condition on charge thermal safety in gun chamber

Thermal safety of modular charge which is fed into and retained in the chamber after gun fires consecutively is first investigated with cook-off method.A two-dimensional cook-off model of modular charge in gun chamber is established and the cook-off process of modular charge in gun chamber is numerically simulated.Then the effects of module number and firing condition on charge thermal safety are evaluated by researching the cook-off response characteristics of modules.The results show that,under conditions of different module numbers the cook-off responses all occur on the module closest to the boundary of missile,and the single-base propellants located at the inner surface of cartridge ignite first.When the number of loaded module changes from 1 to 6,the cook-off response temperatures vary little,only in a small range of 478.1 K-482.4 K.The cook-off response times decrease logarithmically in the range of 211.2 s-166.7 s with the increasing length of residual air gap in gun chamber.The simulation results are well matched with the experimental data.Furthermore,different firing conditions have great influence on the cook-off response time,minor influence on the initial response position and little in-fluence on the response temperature.Under the three conditions of consecutive 32 launches with 5 rounds/min,43 launches with 1 round/min,and 41 launches with different firing frequencies,the cook-off response temperatures are 479.2 K,481.1 K and 479.9 K respectively and the response times are 709.2 s,211.2 s and 214.4 s respectively.The response position is near the middle area of the inner cartridge surface in the former condition and near the right area in the latter two conditions.     

Establishment,simulation and verification of firepower safety control model

On a narrow warship platform, the coordinated use of shipborne weapon systems may cause firepower conflicts, which seriously endangers the ship safety. Meanwhile, with directed-energy weapons mounted on ships, firepower conflicts between weapons become a “high probability event”. Aiming at the problem of firepower safety control, based on the research about the collision probability model of air crafts and space targets and according to the cone of fire model of conventional weapons and directed-energy weapons, this paper solved the firepower conflict probabilities between conventional weapons as well as between conventional weapons and directed-energy weapons respectively using the methods of probability theory, and established the firepower safety control model. Then the calculation of firepower conflict probability was carried out using the dimensionality reduction method based on the equivalent conversion of polar coordinates and the power series method based on Laplace transform. The simulation results revealed that the proposed model and calculation methods are effective and reliable, which can provide theoretical basis and technical support for resolution of firepower conflicts between weapons.     

基于装备损伤概率的舰艇动力系统安全性分析

考虑舰艇损害管制过程中人员因素对系统的影响,运用马尔科夫链对人员操作引起的舰艇动力系统损伤概率进行修正,根据修正后的毁伤概率,建立概率危险性评估模型,引入危险度指标,对动力系统在遭受武器攻击情况下的危险度进行了计算,并依据计算结果对系统安全度进行评定。     

舰船拖带安全评估的故障树方法

提出了一种从故障树分析的角度进行舰船拖带安全评估的方法。采用专家评估和模糊集理论相结合的原理得到故障树中基本事件发生的模糊概率,然后进行故障树定性和定量分析。该方法能合理和有效地预测作业系统的安全性及其薄弱环节。以断缆事件分析为例,对该安全评估方法做了概要阐述。     

火灾安全评价方法研究

火灾安全评价是利用系统工程的方法对拟建或已有工程、系统可能存在的危险性及可能产生的后果进行综合评价和预测,并根据可能导致的火灾事故风险的大小,提出相应的安全对策措施,以达到工程、系统安全的过程。主要论述了火灾安全评价的目的、火灾安全评价的意义、火灾安全评价的一般程序、火灾安全评价方法选择、火灾安全评价方法的比较及火灾安全评价方法在消防中应用。     

潜艇正横发射诱饵安全性的建模与仿真

正横布置的潜艇发射装置在发射鱼雷诱饵时,有可能与发射艇的尾部相碰撞,分析了诱饵在发射管内的运动,建立了诱饵发射后在脱离发射管阶段及在初始弹道阶段的弹道数学模型,并以建立的数学模型为基础进行了仿真.仿真结果分析了不安全的内因,提出了为了保证诱饵发射的安全,应合理确定发射时的艇速、诱饵出管速度、合理选择舵角和操舵方式等影响因素.     

论城市公共安全管理网络平台的建设

针对城市的快速发展,各种突发性自然灾害或人为破坏事件增多,在充分分析城市公共安全管理现状的基础上,提出了城市公共安全管理网络平台建设,并对其总体结构,各自功能,技术、政策支持及运行模式进行了深入论述。