Properties of a mean residual life function arising from renewal theory

The present article discusses the properties of the mean residual life function in a renewal process. We examine the relationship this function has with the failure rate function and the conventional mean, variance and coefficient of variation of residual life. We also discuss some monotonicity properties of the mean residual life function. A partial order based on the renewal mean residual function is introduced along with its interrelationship with some existing stochastic orders. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Warranty claims modeling

A company wishes to estimate or predict its financial exposure in a reporting period of length T (typically one quarter) because of warranty claims. We propose a fairly general random measure model which allows computation of the Laplace transform of the total claim made against the company in the reporting interval due to warranty claims. When specialized to a Poisson process of both sales and warranty claims, statistical estimation of relevant quantities is possible. The methodology is illustrated by analyzing automobile sales and warranty claims data from a large car manufacturer for a single car model and model year. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

机动目标一维距离像RAT法线性化补偿

研究了机动目标宽带线性调频脉冲回波全去斜率信号模型,根据速度和加速度的调频频谱展宽特点,提出了机动目标宽带一维距离像线性化调频回波模型,给出了Radon模糊图转换(RAT)法线性参数估计与运动补偿方法,并进一步分析了测速和测距误差.仿真实验验证了RAT法一维距离像线性化参数估计与补偿,表明该方法很好地解决了运动参数未知情况下机动目标的一维距离像频谱展宽问题.     

基于分数阶傅立叶变换的ARM检测技术

分数阶傅立叶变换(FRFT)是傅立叶变换的广义形式,对线性调频(LFM)信号具有很好的能量积累作用.针对反辐射导弹(ARM)雷达回波信号的线性调频特性,提出了一种基于FRFT的反辐射导弹检测方法,并根据ARM信号的调频特性将FRFF局域化,缩小了峰值搜索区域,提高了检测效率.仿真实验表明该方法能够在高斯、非高斯分布杂波环境下有效地检测ARM信号.     

量子雷达及其目标探测性能综述

量子技术与传统技术相结合以提升经典系统性能是近年来电子信息、计算机技术等众多科学领域研究热点。由于隐身和电子对抗技术的进步和日益成熟,雷达作为一类典型的电子信息系统,其目标探测受到了越来越多的挑战。从雷达目标探测角度出发,介绍了量子雷达的基本概念与分类、若干实现模型,重点剖析、归纳了量子纠缠等量子效应增强雷达目标探测性能的物理机理与研究现状,指出了量子雷达研究和实现中的关键技术与研究方向。     

基于几何法和信息融合的2D雷达目标高度估计

在由 2 D雷达组成的雷达网中 ,首先用几何方法得到了 2个目标高度估计值 ,然后利用信息融合思想 ,在最小均方误差估计准则下得到了目标高度估计融合值及其方差表示。仿真计算表明 ,基于融合方法得到的高度估计较之只用几何方法得到的高度估计 ,性能得到了明显的提高。     

可供实用的舰船风浪中摇荡时历预报的模式

舰船在风浪中摇荡时历的极短期预报 ,具有多方面的实用价值 .现有的各种预报方法中 ,以卷积法和时间序列法中的ARMA模型较为常用 ,但如何测量艏前波是上述方法实施的前提条件 ,则未能解决 .文中提出的在舰船舯部装塔克测波仪 ,将所测波形时历转换为艏前任意点波形时历的方法 ,可解决上述矛盾 .再采用ARMA建模、依AIC法则估计模型阶数的预报方式 ,即可用于实船进行摇荡时历短期预报     

最小交互熵谱估计在反坦克导弹系统仿真模型验证中的应用

针对反坦克导弹系统动态过程仿真的输出具有短时序、低信噪比的特点 ,研究了应用最小交互熵谱估计验证导弹系统仿真模型有效性的方法 ,并结合某型号滚转稳定的反坦克导弹系统的仿真数据和理论计算数据给出了最小交互熵谱估计的应用结果。     

材料随机梁的有限元分析

提出一种以柔度为基础的具有随机刚度弯曲梁的有限元公式。在计算过程中 ,用与刚度均值有关的内力近似表示未知内力值。通过蒙特卡罗模拟可示出刚度的一维可靠性密度函数和相关函数 ,可用来估算柔度的均值和协方差函数。最后根据新的公式计算出随机梁的均值和协方差。