Optimal inventory control policy for periodic‐review inventory systems with inventory‐level‐dependent demand

We consider a setting in which inventory plays both promotional and service roles; that is, higher inventories not only improve service levels but also stimulate demand by serving as a promotional tool (e.g., as the result of advertising effect by the enhanced product visibility). Specifically, we study the periodic‐review inventory systems in which the demand in each period is uncertain but increases with the inventory level. We investigate the multiperiod model with normal and expediting orders in each period, that is, any shortage will be met through emergency replenishment. Such a model takes the lost sales model as a special case. For the cases without and with fixed order costs, the optimal inventory replenishment policy is shown to be of the base‐stock type and of the (s,S) type, respectively. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

Partial equilibrium in risk‐based production decisions

Characteristically, a small subset of operational problems admit risk neutrality when contingent claims methodology were used in their analysis. That is, for the majority of manufacturing and production problems, operating cash flows are not directly linked to prices of traded assets. However, to the extent that correlations can be estimated, the methodology's applicability to a broader set of operational problems is supported. Our article addresses this issue with the objective of extending the use of contingent claims techniques to a larger set of operational problems. In broad terms, this objective entails a partial equilibrium approach to the problem of valuing uncertain cash flows. To this end, we assume risk aversion and cast our approach within Merton's intertemporal capital asset pricing model. In this context, we formulate a “generic” production valuation model that is framed as an exercise in stochastic optimal control. The model is versatile in its characterization and can easily be adapted to accommodate a wide‐ranging set of risk‐based operational problems where the underlying sources of uncertainty are not traded. To obtain results, the model is recast as a stochastic dynamic program to be solved numerically. The article addresses a number of fundamental issues in the analysis risk based decision problems in operations. First, in the approach provided, decisions are analyzed under a properly defined risk structure. Second, the process of analysis leads to suitably adjusted probability distributions through which, appropriately discounted expectations are derived. Third, through consolidating existing concepts into a standard and adaptable framework, we extend the applicability of contingent claims methodology to a broader set of operational problems. The approach is advantageous as it obviates the need for exogenously specifying utility functions or discount rates.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

军用飞机综合效能/费用评估方法

军用飞机的效能与费用是两个相互制约的因素,对两者进行科学合理的综合评估,对于军用飞机的发展和使用有着很重要的意义。在分析综合效能/费用的基本评估指标基础上,提出了在军用飞机全寿命周期综合效能/费用评估指标,重点对作战使用阶段的最佳效能/费用进行评估分析,最后给出结论。     

组网雷达的改进粒子滤波算法

针对现代战争中有源雷达容易受到干扰和反辐射导弹的摧毁,以及无源雷达隐蔽性高,只能测量方位角度,测量精度小等特点,提出利用集中式有源雷达系统与无源雷达系统协同组网对目标进行跟踪。但是在实际环境中,噪声属性以及有源雷达,无源雷达接收信号的特点决定了组网雷达需要应用非线性滤波技术对信号进行处理。传统的非线性技术包括卡尔曼滤波、扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)或无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF)等方法。非线性近似过程带来的误差相对较大,而且均要求观测噪声和过程噪声为独立或相关的高斯白噪声。而粒子滤波避免了传统非线性滤波方法的缺陷,但是存在粒子退化,于是用EKF和UKF在每一时刻更新粒子,用更新的粒子及其协方差构造重要性函数,然后重采样。仿真实验表明这两种改进粒子滤波方法有很好的效果。     

Influence of magnetically constricted arc traverse speed (MCATS) on tensile properties and microstructural characteristics of welded Inconel 718 alloy sheets

The magnetically constricted arc technique was implemented to mitigate the heat input related metal-lurgical problems in Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (GTAW) of Inconel 718 alloy particularly Nb segregation and subsequent laves phase evolution in fusion zone. This paper reports the direct effect of magnetically constricted arc traverse speed (MCATS) on bead profile, tensile properties and microstructural evolution of Inconel 718 alloy sheets joined by Gas Tungsten Constricted Arc Welding (GTCAW) process. The mechanism amenable for the microstructural modification and corresponding influence on the tensile properties of joints is investigated both in qualitative and quantitative manner related to the mechanics of arc constriction and pulsing. It is correlated to the solidification conditions during welding. The relationship between MCATS and Arc Constriction Current (ACC) was derived. Its interaction effect on the magnetic arc constriction and joint performance was analysed. Results showed that the joints fabricated using CATS of 70 mm/min exhibited superior tensile properties (98.39% of base metal strength with 31.50% elongation). It is attributed to the grain refinement in fusion zone microstructure leading to the evolution of finer, discrete laves phase in interdendritic areas.     

基于北斗信号的降雨信息监测方法

为充分挖掘北斗信号大数据资源的应用价值,拓展其在大气海洋领域的应用方向,重点从理论上研究了利用北斗信号的极化相移监测降雨信息问题。结合北斗信号的频率和极化特征,从极化相移的定义出发,分析了北斗信号经过雨区和降雨粒子相互作用的微物理过程,建立了极化相移与降雨强度之间的数学模型;利用数值模拟方法对该数学模型进行分析得出,北斗信号极化相移对降雨强度具有敏感性,这说明了北斗信号监测降雨强度的可行性;还系统研究了雨滴谱分布、雨区路径长度和卫星仰角等关键因素对极化相移的影响,为后续开展实验验证提出了合理化建议。     

长期贮存的固体发动机药柱脱粘界面裂纹分析

为了分析长期贮存的固体导弹发动机药柱脱粘层界面裂纹在燃气内压和轴向过载联合作用下的扩展情况,建立了发动机药柱在包覆层与推进剂之间脱粘的三维有限元计算模型,并于脱粘界面的裂纹尖端设置三维奇异裂纹元,模拟脱粘界面裂纹扩展。在包覆层与推进剂之间设置不同深度脱粘,计算了在燃气内压和轴向过载联合作用下不同贮存期、不同深度的界面裂纹尖端的应力强度因子,得到了界面裂纹应力强度因子随贮存时间、脱粘深度的变化规律,对长期贮存的固体发动机脱粘界面裂纹的扩展进行了分析。     

从LPS馏分出发合成先驱体聚碳硅烷

采用将液态聚硅烷(LPS)蒸馏分级的方法,从各个馏分出发合成制备了先驱体聚碳硅烷(PCS)。运用GPC等分析测试手段考察比较了各个馏分的差异对在相同条件下所合成聚碳硅烷的分子量及其分子量分布特性的影响。研究表明:在同等条件下,采用以LPS蒸馏分级的方法再从各个馏分出发合成制备先驱体聚碳硅烷的总平均收率比未从经分级处理的LPS出发合成先驱体PCS的收率高35%左右;从200℃以下馏分出发可以合成制备超高分子量的先驱体PCS。     

聚碳硅烷的高温高压合成与减压蒸馏

采用高温高压法合成了聚碳硅烷(PCS),通过改变合成条件与减压蒸馏温度的方法对PCS分子量及其分布进行调控。研究表明,改变PCS的反应温度、反应时间,可以基本控制PCS的分子量及其分布范围。随着反应温度的提高,反应时间的延长,PCS的分子量逐渐增大,分子量分布变宽。当合成温度高于450℃,反应时间大于6h时,或温度高于460℃,反应时间大于4h时,PCS中出现高分子量部分。随着反应条件的强化,高分子量部分逐渐增加,甚至出现超高分子量部分。提高减压蒸馏温度,可以有效降低PCS的低分子含量,提高分子量,降低分散系数。减压蒸馏温度每提高50℃,PCS的低分子含量约降低8%,重均分子量约提高1000,分散系数平均降低约0.3。     

SEA的侦察与监测系统效能分析

侦察与监测系统已成为现代C3I系统的重要组成部分,其效能评估既有C3I系统的一般性又有自身的特殊性。首先在一般系统效能含义上定义了侦察与监测系统的系统效能,比较了几种典型的C3I系统评估方法。在此基础上,将SEA方法应用于分析侦察与监测系统效能,并将情报信息量作为效能度量的指标。最后给出了分析计算过程和仿真结果。