Country survey VIII: Federal republic of Yugoslavia

This survey article focuses on defence economics issues and provides data and analysis on the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia's (FRY) defence policy, defence spending, the size of its armed forces, its defence industries and the cost of the civil war. The main section is devoted to the period from 1990 to the present and deals with the following aspects: the situation after the break‐up of the former Yugoslavia, general economic data; the cost of the civil war, the defence budget; the armed forces; the manufacture of armaments and the structure of the defence industry.     

The future of European defence policy: An economic perspective

European defence policy has been dominated by politics. This paper shows how economic principles can be used to derive guidelines for the formulation of European defence policy. The inefficiencies of the EU's existing defence arrangements are identified. It is shown that there is scope for efficiency improvements in the EU's Armed Forces and its defence industries.     

Colombia: Changing strategy amidst the struggle

From 1965 to the present, Colombia has been confronted by the insurgency of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). The threat reached a new level in 1996 with the advent of mobile warfare, whereby large units sought to neutralize the military in an effort to seize power and institute a Marxist-Leninist regime. Unlike Vietnam, what followed was a regaining of the strategic initiative by the government and a decimation of the insurgent threat. This was accomplished with US assistance but from first to last was driven by Colombian leadership and strategy. The strategy which led to this signal change, ‘Democratic Security’, unfolded under the leadership of President Álvaro Uribe. It was a civil–military partnership, which sought to expand the writ of Colombian democracy to all elements of society. Securing the population provided the shield behind which economic, social, and political life could occur as driven by the will of the people. It was the agreement upon legitimacy as the strategic goal and reform as the route to that goal which allowed the Colombians and the Americans to work so well together.     

Lessons learnt? Cultural transfer and revolutionary wars, 1775–1831

Did participants in small wars in the period 1775–1831 learn from previous or contemporary examples? While this is difficult to prove for participants who left no written records, there is considerable evidence in existing publications by practitioners that they did indeed draw out lessons from recent insurgencies, either from their own experience or from events elsewhere which they studied from afar, especially the Spanish Guerrilla, which had already become legendary. Most authors showed an interest in how to stage insurgencies rather than in how to quell them. Even then, transfer did not come in a package of tactics-cum-values, but in each case in different configurations.     

基于弹迹跟踪预测的舰艇定位方法

舰艇采用实测舰位法对岸上不可见目标进行远程攻击时,在已获取目标地理信息的情况下,我舰定位误差往往成为影响打击精度的关键因素。针对惯性导航长时间工作产生积累误差,以及卫星导航在战时易受干扰等情况,提出利用对单发弹丸的跟踪与预测,结合提取的岸上目标绝对定位数据和弹丸落点的偏差信息,反向推算发射舰相对岸上目标的位置,可较为精确地修正我舰的绝对定位数据,为后续射击提供修正手段。该方法减少了战时舰炮武器系统对导航的依赖,仅靠对单发弹丸跟踪和预测,即可提高后续对岸射击的精度。     

军用红外目标探测的特点、发展和应用前景

论述了中波红外探测器和长波红外探测器的特点、发展以及ＦＬＩＲ（前视红外雷达） 成像系统用于探测地面目标、ＩＲＳＴ（红外搜索和跟踪） 点源探测系统用于探测空中目标和红外成像导引头的应用前景、发展趋势。     

舰船水下静态电场深度换算的格林函数法

为从有限深度、有限范围内的舰船水下静态电场数据获知实际舰船更大深度上的场分布特征,在对深海环境中舰船静态电场满足的拉普拉斯方程进行求解的基础上,提出静态电场深度换算的格林函数法,推导出了换算公式的边界积分表达式,给出了实际应用中换算公式的近似计算方法。以舰船静态电场的基本模拟体——单个水平电偶极子的场为例,采用数值仿真的方法对换算公式进行了验证,并对近似计算方法进行了讨论。研究结果表明:该方法可直接通过对测量平面上离散场量进行二重求和来实现静态电场的各类深度换算;与文献中已有的换算方法相比,其换算过程更为快捷。     

可控电磁引信的设计及其与坦克磁场相互作用的数值分析

以磁引信炸雷探测并攻击坦克等铁磁目标为应用背景,在对坦克磁场特征进行分析的基础上,设计了一种针对目标磁信号强弱可以灵活调控灵敏度的磁引信,分析该引信的可控载流线圈与坦克磁场的相互作用,计算出引信线圈在坦克磁场中所受到的偏转力矩,并对该力矩在三维空间中的分布情况进行了模拟,根据数值计算结果提出了提高探测灵敏度的基本方案,为后续试验研制该类新型磁引信及“磁隐身”坦克提供参考。     

战场C4ISR中的体系成熟度生长模型

本文比较了体系和一般复杂巨系统概念之间的差异,提出了一个用来刻画和分析战场C4ISR领域体系的成熟度生长模型,指出一体化是体系生长过程达到的一种较高级的状态。并结合美军的区域防空体系发展,讨论了C4ISR中体系认知和研制中容易犯的错误,揭示其体系成长和发展规律,指出企图通过某个独立系统构建来操控一个体系,不符合体系发展规律,类似的努力也注定不会成功。     

Markovian approximation for manufacturing systems of unreliable machines in tandem

This paper studies production planning of manufacturing systems of unreliable machines in tandem. The manufacturing system considered here produces one type of product. The demand is assumed to be a Poisson process and the processing time for one unit of product in each machine is exponentially distributed. A broken machine is subject to a sequence of repairing processes. The up time and the repairing time in each phase are assumed to be exponentially distributed. We study the manufacturing system by considering each machine as an individual system with stochastic supply and demand. The Markov Modulated Poisson Process (MMPP) is applied to model the process of supply. Numerical examples are given to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed method. We employ (s, S) policy as production control. Fast algorithms are presented to solve the average running costs of the machine system for a given (s, S) policy and hence the approximated optimal (s, S) policy. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 65–78, 2001