大功率IGBT器件及其组合多时间尺度动力学表征研究综述

在提出电力电子器件及其组合多时间尺度动力学表征需求的前提下,以目前常用的全控型电力电子器件——绝缘栅双极晶体管(Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor,IGBT)为例,系统分析并归纳了目前在IGBT及其组合多时间尺度动力学表征研究方面的进展和成果,包括作为基础的大功率IGBT及其组合多时间尺度电热瞬态建模方法、基于模型的大功率IGBT模块失效量化表征方法以及用于辅助分析的IGBT组合多速率仿真方法。此外,介绍了基于IGBT多时间尺度模型的装置应用设计案例。从建模方法、可靠性评估、仿真手段以及应用设计四个方面系统全面地阐述了大功率IGBT及其组合多时间尺度的动力学表征方法,可为电力电子混杂系统的精确设计提供电力电子器件层面的理论和技术支撑。     

多通道舰空导弹武器系统反导决策模型研究

当前水面舰艇面临着严重的反舰导弹威胁,特别是在饱和攻击的条件下,常规的单通道舰空导弹系统已经不能满足作战的需要。多通道舰空导弹武器系统具有同时引导多枚导弹拦截多批目标的能力,可以充分发挥系统的能力,相应的反导决策在防空作战中起到重要作用,反导决策的正确性和合理性直接影响防空作战效果。在对反导决策过程和制约因素进行分析的基础上,通过0-1决策模型,得到了舰空导弹武器反导的优化决策模型,较好地满足了使用多通道舰空导弹系统对多目标打击决策的合理性和有效性。     

Replicated batch means for steady‐state simulations

This paper studies a new steady‐state simulation output analysis method called replicated batch means in which a small number of replications are conducted and the observations in these replications are grouped into batches. This paper also introduces and compares methods for selecting the initial state of each replication. More specifically, we show that confidence intervals constructed by the replicated batch means method are valid for large batch sizes and derive expressions for the expected values and variances of the steady‐state mean and variance estimators for stationary processes and large sample sizes. We then use these expressions, analytical examples, and numerical experiments to compare the replicated batch means method with the standard batch means and multiple replications methods. The numerical results, which are obtained from an AR(1) process and a small, nearly‐decomposable Markov chain, show that the multiple replications method often gives confidence intervals with poorer coverage than the standard and replicated batch means methods and that the replicated batch means method, implemented with good choices of initialization method and number of replications, provides confidence interval coverages that range from being comparable with to being noticeably better than coverages obtained by the standard batch means method. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

近程反导中拦阻射击模式和多重命中体制研究

在近程反导中,片面强调提高高炮随动系统的跟踪瞄准速度,已经不现实,通过对拦阻射击模式的研究,探讨了采用多重命中体制弥补随动系统缺陷的可行性。     

Optimization and mediated bartering models for ground delay programs

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the airline community within the United States have adopted a new paradigm for air traffic flow management, called Collaborative Decision Making (CDM). A principal goal of CDM is shared decision‐making responsibility between the FAA and airlines, so as to increase airline control over decisions that involve economic tradeoffs. So far, CDM has primarily led to enhancements in the implementation of Ground Delay Programs, by changing procedures for allocating slots to airlines and exchanging slots between airlines. In this paper, we discuss how these procedures may be formalized through appropriately defined optimization models. In addition, we describe how inter‐airline slot exchanges may be viewed as a bartering process, in which each “round” of bartering requires the solution of an optimization problem. We compare the resulting optimization problem with the current procedure for exchanging slots and discuss possibilities for increased decision‐making capabilities by the airlines. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

面向决策的一体化建模方法及其在兵力筹划中的应用

在对军事决策问题的主要特点进行分析的基础上,提出从军事概念模型到数学模型再到定性推理模型的一体化建模思想.以空军航空兵遂行直接航空火力支援任务为想定背景,根据EATI模板,利用基于UML的Rose工具依次对想定任务的实体、任务、交互等进行分析;对于兵力筹划中的结构化问题建立了机会约束多目标规划数学模型;对于非结构化问题则构造了推理机,推理机体现了定量与定性相结合的决策分析思想.最后,以一个实例验证文章思路的可行性.     

新型多目标遗传算法及其在导弹射击效能优化中的应用

多目标规划是一类重要的优化模型,有着广泛的实际应用,但其求解至今仍是运筹学的一个难点.针对一般约束多目标优化问题,在设计了新的适应度函数和选择算子的基础上,提出一种新型多目标遗传算法.将其应用于导弹对集群目标射击效能优化问题,验证了算法的有效性.     

预防性维修工作组合优化

针对单部件的维修间隔期无法反映系统的维修最佳间隔期这一问题,对装备各部件在各修理级别上的预防性维修任务组合情况进行探索。通过建立费用模型、可用度和风险模型作为决策模型,用以组合某一修理级别各部件的维修工作,得出系统预防性维修间隔期,并结合部队实际优化从系统的角度优化等级维修中的维修工作间隔期,为确定大中小修工作提供科学、合理的理论指导。该算法在区分各修理级别的维修能力的基础上,能较好地对各修理级别的维修工作组合情况进行了优化,实例验证了模型的实用性和有效性。     

GPS接收信号中线性扫频干扰的抑制

研究了阵列接收的GPS接收信号中线性扫频(LFM)干扰的抑制问题。LFM信号瞬时频率的估计是抑制干扰的关键,而要准确估计信号瞬时频率,必须抑制接收信号时频分布中交叉项干扰。本文对接收信号矢量进行白化,得到信号矢量白化后的空时频分布(STFD)矩阵。文中推出一个与传统方法获得的判决变量不同的判决变量,用该判决变量可以更加清晰地选出LFM信号在时频分布中的自项。根据时频脊点的分布估计LFM信号频率参数以及信号瞬时频率,之后即可根据瞬时频率构建陷波器滤除干扰。仿真表明该方法能够将受交叉项严重干扰的接收信号时频分布映射为清晰的接收信号自项的时频分布,在数据快拍数满足一定要求时可以很好地抑制掉LFM干扰。     

战时装备维修保障资源优化模型

维修资源在抢修过程中的分配决定了抢修活动的平均处理时间和等待时间,针对抢修实施时维修资源的分配,研究资源的优化配置使抢修时间最小的问题.在抢修过程中使抢修时间最小的目标和约束条件下,提出了资源配置优化的排队模型,并结合遗传算法给出了求解最优配置模型的方法,通过实例分析说明了模型和方法的应用情况.资源配置优化模型和算法已成功应用于集群装备保障决策系统的开发.