导弹系统安全性分析中的引发事件鉴别方法

引发事件鉴别是基于事故机理安全性分析的首要任务。鉴别结果是否全面、完整直接影响最终分析结果的有效性。导弹系统安全风险涉及面广、影响因素多,需要系统的可操作方法来指导引发事件的鉴别工作。针对导弹工作特点,提出考虑导弹任务剖面,运用主逻辑图对导弹进行系统性的层次化描述,对引发事件进行整理和归纳。将危险与可操作性分析引入导弹系统安全性分析中进行引发事件鉴别,结合故障模式影响分析,支持对单一故障类和参数异常类引发事件的鉴别。结果表明,所提框架为解决导弹系统安全性分析中引发事件鉴别的系统性完整性提供了可行的思路。     

抗电磁干扰高分子材料的研究与应用

通过对电磁波干扰的现象分析,阐述了屏蔽作用原理及屏蔽方法,研究了表面导电材料和导电复合材料等抗电磁干扰高分子材料的性能、工艺及其屏蔽效果,并对它们的应用与发展前景进行了讨论。     

高能离子在材料中输运的蒙特卡罗模拟

利用蒙特卡罗方法对高能离子在材料中的输运进行了计算机模拟研究 ,入射高能离子与靶材料的作用近似为核散射和电子作用两个独立的部分 ,核散射能量损失采用经典两体碰撞近似 ,通过对碰撞参数的随机抽样得到散射角 ,电子能量损失高能时采用Bethe-Bloch公式 ,低能时采用Lindhard -Scharff公式 ,中能时采用插值公式。最后对高能铁离子入射于铝、硅材料的输运进行了模拟计算 ,给出了模拟结果并进行了分析。     

影响电流变效应的因素

根据国内外研究的现状 ,分析综述了影响电流变效应 (ER效应 )的因素     

Efficient budget allocation strategies for elementary effects method in stochastic simulation

This paper focuses on extending the Morris' elementary effects method (MM) for sensitivity analysis/factor screening originated in the context of deterministic computer experiments to the stochastic simulation setting. Given a fixed simulation budget to expend, the main objective is to provide efficient and accurate estimates of main and interaction (or nonlinear) effects coined by the standard MM for characterizing the importance of each factor, despite the impact of simulation errors. Taking into account both the factor/input sampling uncertainty rooted in MM and the random errors inherent in a stochastic simulation, we develop efficient budget allocation strategies for implementing MM in this new context. Under each strategy proposed, we derive its corresponding optimal budget partition and optimal budget allocation rules. Numerical results corroborate the practical effectiveness of the proposed budget allocation strategies.     

《现代教育技术》课程多元评价的实践探索

以往的《现代教育技术》课程教学效果评价存在诸多问题,本文针对《现代教育技术》课程特点,结合本校实际情况制定教学效果多元评价方案,并在教学中进行实践探索,结果表明教学效果多元评价方案能客观评价学生的学习绩效,充分调动学生的学习兴趣,提高学生的教育技术应用能力。     

A LONG‐RUN ANALYSIS OF DEFENCE SPENDING IN THE NATO COUNTRIES (1960–99)

This paper analyses the long‐run demand for defence output through a homogeneous treatment of 15 NATO member countries between 1960 and 1999. We carry out a progressive study of the interactions between either defence spending or defence burden and their main determinants: income, external threat and allied military spending. To that end, we use time‐series analysis with endogenously determined structural breaks. We further consider individual country functions related to one another through a common correlated effects method, in order to take into account explicitly the connections between members of an alliance.     

马格努斯效应对旋转弹自动驾驶仪影响的研究

为了分析马格努斯力矩对单通道旋转弹自动驾驶仪的影响,在准弹体系下建立了旋转弹加速度反馈自动驾驶仪模型.观察了不同马格努斯力矩对自动驾驶仪的影响,并与速率陀螺反馈自动驾驶仪进行了对比.仿真结果表明了该建模分析方法的正确性,并证明了加速度反馈相对速率反馈能够有效降低马格努斯力矩对旋转导弹的干扰作用.     

The mechanism of liquid dispersing from a cylinder driven by central dynamic shock loading

A systematic investigation on the mechanism of dynamic liquid dispersing process via theoretical and experimental approach is presented. The experiments include weak and strong constrained scenarios using the high-speed camera technique and the flash X-ray radiography technique. Based on dynamic analysis, one-dimensional characteristics analysis and some numerical simulations on the propagating processes of blast waves before the container shell rupturing, further and detailed analyses of the experimental results are presented. The effects of the liquid viscosity on the dynamic dispersing flow are also analyzed, and the spall fracture mechanism is explored. Thus, the dominating forces determining the dispersing liquid flow are revealed, that is, the stretching and shearing action due to the interaction of two reflecting rarefaction waves in opposite propagating directions. The influence of container shell strength on the dispersing liquid flow is also investigated, and the characters of cavitation layered in liquid before shell rupturing are uncovered. Results revealed that different shell material results in different cavitating layers. Then the different cavitating layers drive the different dynamic liquid dispersing process coming into being. The metastable liquid states caused by pressure drop and cavi-tation generation are discussed.     

SAR抗干扰措施及效果度量研究

SAR作为一种军用雷达,其电子对抗与反对抗是永恒的主题。分析了SAR针对有源噪声干扰可采取的一系列抗干扰技术措施(ECCM),同时研究了ECCM后的效果度量,最后介绍了一种新的度量方法——干扰等功率曲线,将SAR抗干扰效果定量、直观地表现出来。