The logistic–exponential survival distribution

For various parameter combinations, the logistic–exponential survival distribution belongs to four common classes of survival distributions: increasing failure rate, decreasing failure rate, bathtub‐shaped failure rate, and upside‐down bathtub‐shaped failure rate. Graphical comparison of this new distribution with other common survival distributions is seen in a plot of the skewness versus the coefficient of variation. The distribution can be used as a survival model or as a device to determine the distribution class from which a particular data set is drawn. As the three‐parameter version is less mathematically tractable, our major results concern the two‐parameter version. Boundaries for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters are derived in this article. Also, a fixed‐point method to find the maximum likelihood estimators for complete and censored data sets has been developed. The two‐parameter and the three‐parameter versions of the logistic–exponential distribution are applied to two real‐life data sets. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于频谱分析的飞行模拟器飞行性能验证

介绍频谱分析用于仿真系统模型验证的原理和方法,提出一种应用频谱分析进行飞行模拟器飞行性能验证的方案。结合飞行试验和仿真模型的输出数据,分别采用窗谱估计和最大熵谱估计方法对某型飞行模拟器的飞行性能进行验证,并对验证结果进行分析。结果表明,频谱分析法用于飞行模拟器飞行性能的验证是有效的,可为其他训练模拟器的性能验证提供参考。     

准静态受遮蔽的Rician衰落信道中空时格码的性能上界

针对准静态受遮蔽的 Rician 衰落信道,在收端已知信道状态信息的条件下,文中分析了空时格码的性能.推导了码字差相关阵为对角阵的空时格码系统的成对差错概率的确切表达式,得到了相应空时格码在准静态受遮蔽的 Rician 衰落信道中的性能上界。仿真结果表明,在遮蔽不太严重的信道中,文中得到的 union 界与相应编码系统的实际性能有很好的近似度。     

气动式振动台气锤产生激励信号的机理及其性能研究

建立了阶梯式活塞气锤的力学模型,揭示了该类气锤产生碰撞信号的机理,针对两种不同型号的气锤,结合大量工程实验仿真生成了不同气压作用下两种气锤产生的激励信号,以激励信号的低频能量为气锤的性能指标,进一步评价了两种气锤的性能优劣.研究结果表明:大气锤的性能明显优于小气锤的性能.     

Network reliability assessment in a random environment

In this paper we consider networks that consist of components operating under a randomly changing common environment. Our work is motivated by power system networks that are subject to fluctuating weather conditions over time that affect the performance of the network. We develop a general setup for any network that is subject to such environment and present results for network reliability assessment under two repair scenarios. We also present Bayesian analysis of network failure data and illustrate how reliability predictions can be obtained for the network. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 574–591, 2003     

固定翼反潜巡逻机作战效能评估

运用改进的Topsis评估模型对反潜巡逻机的作战效能进行评估,主要是对指标权重的计算方法进行改进:综合考虑客观熵权和专家主观权重得到综合权重,通过客观的熵权信息来调整主观权重的偏差,使得反潜巡逻机作战效能的评价结果更为合理。实例分析表明,该方法能够主客观相结合,简单有效,具有一定的推广应用价值。     

浅析小型史馆建筑内部展示造型与多媒体表现

作为现代展览展示建筑的一个发展分支，小型史馆就是一部精练的“物化”历史，表达出一个丰富而统一的信息传播展示空间。小型史馆的设计往往在有限的空间内，充分体现出观演类建筑的主要特点，其内部的展示造型设计和多媒体表现手段起到了重要的作用。主要从小型史馆建设出发，对其内部展示造型设计与多媒体表现手段进行分析与探讨，阐述了它们的设计手法及达到的视觉创意效果。     

弹药储存可靠性设计对策研究

从我军弹药储存可靠性设计现状出发，在深入分析某型弹药失效机理基础上，总结出了我军弹药产品储存性方面存在的质量问题；提出了弹药全系统相容的研究理念和储存性设计中的复合防护设计概念，并对如何提高弹药储存性能提出了建议。     

Two‐stage component test plans for testing the reliability of a series system

A system reliability is often evaluated by individual tests of components that constitute the system. These component test plans have advantages over complete system based tests in terms of time and cost. In this paper, we consider the series system with n components, where the lifetime of the i‐th component follows exponential distribution with parameter λ_i. Assuming test costs for the components are different, we develop an efficient algorithm to design a two‐stage component test plan that satisfies the usual probability requirements on the system reliability and in addition minimizes the maximum expected cost. For the case of prior information in the form of upper bounds on λ_i's, we use the genetic algorithm to solve the associated optimization problems which are otherwise difficult to solve using mathematical programming techniques. The two‐stage component test plans are cost effective compared to single‐stage plans developed by Rajgopal and Mazumdar. We demonstrate through several numerical examples that our approach has the potential to reduce the overall testing costs significantly. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 49: 95–116, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.1051     

装备维修中备件需求率的预计方法

通过研究装备维修过程中器件的固有可靠性和维修性,着重分析了影响维修器件需求率的主要因素.利用系统建模和仿真的方法,分别针对耗损类型器件和可修复类型器件建立了相应的需求数学模型,最后给出了维修备件需求率的预计方法.