开流形的曲率与拓扑

应用比较几何的方法研究了完备非紧且具有特定曲率条件的黎曼流形,证明了在一定Pinching条件限制下,流形具有有限拓扑型或者微分同胚于Rn。     

火灾安全评价方法研究

火灾安全评价是利用系统工程的方法对拟建或已有工程、系统可能存在的危险性及可能产生的后果进行综合评价和预测,并根据可能导致的火灾事故风险的大小,提出相应的安全对策措施,以达到工程、系统安全的过程。主要论述了火灾安全评价的目的、火灾安全评价的意义、火灾安全评价的一般程序、火灾安全评价方法选择、火灾安全评价方法的比较及火灾安全评价方法在消防中应用。     

Performance evaluation of a production/inventory system with periodic review and endogenous lead times

This paper considers a discrete time, single item production/inventory system with random period demands. Inventory levels are reviewed periodically and managed using a base‐stock policy. Replenishment orders are placed with the production system which is capacitated in the sense that there is a single server that sequentially processes the items one at a time with stochastic unit processing times. In this setting the variability in demand determines the arrival pattern of production orders at the queue, influencing supply lead times. In addition, the inventory behavior is impacted by the correlation between demand and lead times: a large demand size corresponds to a long lead time, depleting the inventory longer. The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, we present an exact procedure based on matrix‐analytic techniques for computing the replenishment lead time distribution given an arbitrary discrete demand distribution. Second, we numerically characterize the distribution of inventory levels, and various other performance measures such as fill rate, base‐stock levels and optimal safety stocks, taking the correlation between demand and lead times into account. Third, we develop an algorithm to fit the first two moments of the demand and service time distribution to a discrete phase‐type distribution with a minimal number of phases. This provides a practical tool to analyze the effect of demand variability, as measured by its coefficient of variation, on system performance. We also show that our model is more appropriate than some existing models of capacitated systems in discrete time. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Some probability functions in reliability and their applications

There has been much research on the general failure model recently. In the general failure model, when the unit fails at its age t, Type I failure (minor failure) occurs with probability 1 ? p(t) and Type II failure (catastrophic failure) occurs with probability p(t). In the previous research, some specific shapes (constant, non‐decreasing, or bathtub‐shape) on the probability function p(t) are assumed. In this article, general results on some probability functions are obtained and applied to study the shapes of p(t). The results are also applied to determining the optimal inspection and allocation policies in maintenance problems. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于模糊综合评判的地空导弹阵地选择

在现代防空中,由于精确制导技术在空袭兵器当中的运用,使防空作战中兵力机动显得格外重要.为实现机动作战,阵地选择就成为机动作战中的重要环节.运用模糊数学原理和方法,结合地空导弹部队阵地选择的特点,给出了阵地选择评价因素指标体系,建立了阵地选择方案的二级模糊综合评判模型,并采用层次分析法(AHP)对阵地选择评价因素的权重进行了确定,最终得出阵地选择合理的评价结果.     

基于DS/AHP的导弹发射阵地选择方法

战术导弹发射阵地选择是导弹作战兵力运筹的重要组成部分,其本质是一多准则多属性决策问题。传统的层次分析法无法明确描述这类问题中所蕴涵的不确定性,通过DS证据理论的引入,研究了战术导弹发射阵地选择的DS/AHP方法,应用实例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

探测平台目指精度对反舰导弹捕捉效能影响分析*

随着反舰导弹射程的不断增加,反舰导弹远程攻击需要使用远程探测平台提供目标指示。针对反舰导弹与远程探测平台的协同使用问题,提出反舰导弹采用"现在点"射击方式时,探测平台的目指精度与反舰导弹捕捉效能的相关分析模型。通过对模型的仿真计算,得出在不同使用条件下,影响导弹捕捉效能的目指精度。研究表明,导弹射击所需要的目指精度是一个随多个因素变化的量,应根据导弹射击的具体情况,确定相应的目指精度。     

基于GQM的装备软件可靠性参数选取方法

针对装备软件无可靠性定量要求以及开发过程缺少监管的问题,提出基于GQM(Goal-Question-Metric)的装备软件可靠性参数选取方法。首先构建了软件可靠性通用参数集和装备软件可靠性特有参数集,然后按照GQM方法的框架,从不同角度出发,制定装备软件可靠性度量目标,列出为实现目标需要回答的一系列问题,进而以回答问题的方式,确定不同情况下适用的软件可靠性参数,最终建立装备软件可靠性参数体系。     

末端防御武器平台炮控性能检测方法

末端防御武器平台炮控系统性能的好坏直接影响首发命中率和射击反应时间等重要战技指标,在设计试验阶段,对其炮控性能进行检测是必不可少的环节。采用基于三棱锥模型的炮控性能检测方法,建立了三棱锥计算模型并进行Matlab仿真分析以及检测精度分析,从而验证了其工作原理及可行性,满足武器平台炮控性能检测的要求。     

作战仿真系统开发平台研究及应用

作战仿真已成为人们对军事问题进行研究的重要手段。从作战仿真需求出发,研究了作战仿真系统的开发平台的组成、功能和应用模式,给出了面向作战仿真的平台解决方案。平台的核心是作战仿真引擎HYCGF,HYCGF提出了一种可组装的实体模型框架和基于"计划"的实体行为建模方法,基于该框架的实体状态和行为能力完全由装配的状态池和模型组件所决定。最后,介绍了应用该平台开发一个典型作战仿真应用的案例。