Model parameter estimation and residual life prediction for a partially observable failing system

We consider a partially observable degrading system subject to condition monitoring and random failure. The system's condition is categorized into one of three states: a healthy state, a warning state, and a failure state. Only the failure state is observable. While the system is operational, vector data that is stochastically related to the system state is obtained through condition monitoring at regular sampling epochs. The state process evolution follows a hidden semi‐Markov model (HSMM) and Erlang distribution is used for modeling the system's sojourn time in each of its operational states. The Expectation‐maximization (EM) algorithm is applied to estimate the state and observation parameters of the HSMM. Explicit formulas for several important quantities for the system residual life estimation such as the conditional reliability function and the mean residual life are derived in terms of the posterior probability that the system is in the warning state. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the estimation procedure and failure prediction method. A comparison results with hidden Markov modeling are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 190–205, 2015     

基于快速傅里叶变换的扫描单发单收面阵近场成像技术

近年来,扫描单发单收面阵近场成像技术在安检、医疗等民用领域中引起了广泛关注.然而,传统的距离徙动算法在对回波进行处理的过程中无法避免多步近似和插值操作,并且忽视了信号传播衰减带来的不利影响.因此,提出了一种基于快速傅里叶变换的扫描单发单收面阵近场成像技术,该技术通过保留回波模型中的幅度衰减因子,并根据目标回波方程特性对...     

高分辨率UAV SAR的三维运动误差分离与补偿

在基于SAR回波的数据处理中,多普勒调频率具有很高的估计精度且对场景的依赖性很小,可以更广泛地用于自聚焦处理。基于多普勒调频率参数估计,针对回波包络及相位分别提出了误差提取模型,并通过包络误差校正和相位误差补偿两个步骤实现了高精度的运动补偿处理。实测数据表明,本文方法可以在低精度导航信息情况下获取高分辨率雷达图像。     

反舰导弹靶场试验精度评定方法

为了对小子样条件下反舰导弹靶场试验精度作出合理的评定,研究了自助法和随机加权法的原理。针对自助法和随机加权法存在的不足,研究了一种改进的方法,仿真结果表明新方法获得了更加稳健、精确的评定。最后,给出一些有益的工程应用建议。     

Some aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components

In this article, we study aging properties of parallel and series systems with a random number of components. We show that the decreasing likelihood ratio property is closed under the formation of random minima. We also show, by counterexamples, that other aging properties are not closed under the formation of random minima or maxima. Some mistakes in the literature are corrected. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 238–243, 2014     

Some comparisons of residual life of coherent systems with exchangeable components

Most of the research, on the study of the reliability properties of technical systems, assume that the components of the system operate independently. However, in real life situation, it is more reasonable to assume that there is dependency among the components of the system. In this article, we give sufficient conditions based on the signature and the joint distribution of component lifetimes to obtain stochastic ordering results for coherent and mixed systems with exchangeable components. Some stochastic orders on dynamic (or conditional) signature of coherent systems are also provided. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 549–556, 2014     

一种新的数组逻辑结构猜想方法

许多编译优化技术都依赖于数组的逻辑结构,然而在实际的应用中,有相当多的数组是无结构的一维数组,从而妨碍了编译器的优化工作。提出了一种新的数组逻辑结构猜想算法,它能将无结构的一维数组自动变换成具有多维逻辑结构的数组,从而使编译器的优化工作成为可能。首先给出一个引理,指出猜想后的多维数组应满足的基本性质,然后基于该引理给出了猜想数组的逻辑结构应遵循的两条基本规则,最后基于这两条基本规则给出了猜想数组逻辑结构的算法。实验结果验证了所提出的数组逻辑结构猜想算法的有效性。     

A general approach to the shape of failure rate and MRL functions

Failure rate and mean residual life are two important characteristics for studying reliability of products. In literature, some work studied the shape of failure rate function based on the knowledge of the associated probability density function; some other work investigated the shape of mean residual life function based on the shape of the associated failure rate function separately for continuous case and discrete case. In this article, a general approach is developed which can be applied to the aforementioned studies. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

箱式屏蔽效能测试方法及影响因素分析

为测试强电磁场作用下材料的屏蔽效能,基于屏蔽材料的屏蔽原理,提出一种在GTEM室内置屏蔽箱测试材料屏蔽效能的新方法,构建实验平台,仿真分析屏蔽箱窗口尺寸及测试探头位置对测试结果的影响．实验结果表明：测试窗口大小和测试位置对测试材料的屏蔽效能有影响．其主要影响因素是屏蔽效能的测试频率下限,并确定了0．6m×0．6m窗口的测试频率下限为55MHz,0．3m×0．3m测试窗口的测试频率下限为250MHz．     

纯引力轨道验证质量辐射计效应与气体阻尼耦合模型的数值分析

辐射计效应和气体阻尼是纯引力轨道验证质量的重要干扰力,是影响纯引力轨道构造水平的重要因素.在纯引力轨道飞行器中,这两种力分别描述了由腔体中温度梯度和验证质量相对运动引起的气体分子作用,两者从不同角度描述了气体分子作用力,均是气体分子作用力的一部分,而两者的耦合模型则可以反映验证质量受到的气体分子作用力总和.针对耦合模型形式复杂的特点,本文以内编队系统为例,利用数值方法分析了耦合模型中的影响因素,这些因素包括内卫星相对运动速度、内卫星半径、外卫星腔体半径、腔体平均温度、腔体温差和腔体平均压力等.对大量计算结果进行了数据拟合,给出了内卫星气体分子作用力与各物理参数关系的拟合公式,和原始计算结果相比,拟合误差在20％以内.