装备保障计划规范化建模方法研究

采用UML对装备保障计划从静态和动态两个框架进行建模，直观形象地描述了装备保障计划的内容，为装备保障计划的自动生成提供了理论基础，并且以陆军师弹药保障计划为例进行说明。     

基于生存能力的作战方案评估仿真模型

导弹武器系统的生存能力是反映作战方案好坏的定量依据之一。给出了基于生存能力的导弹作战方案评估系统的模型体系和构成,通过对该系统评估模型中的指标分析,建立了伪装生存能力、防护生存能力、机动生存能力等多个模型,并将其综合为对作战方案的生存能力评估模型。经过一定的仿真试验证明,模型正确,运行结果符合实际。     

Statistical equivalency and optimality of simple step‐stress accelerated test plans for the exponential distribution

Accelerated life testing (ALT) is commonly used to obtain reliability information about a product in a timely manner. Several stress loading designs have been proposed and recent research interests have emerged concerning the development of equivalent ALT plans. Step‐stress ALT (SSALT) is one of the most commonly used stress loadings because it usually shortens the test duration and reduces the number of required test units. This article considers two fundamental questions when designing a SSALT and provides formal proofs in answer to each. Namely: (1) can a simple SSALT be designed so that it is equivalent to other stress loading designs? (2) when optimizing a multilevel SSALT, does it degenerate to a simple SSALT plan? The answers to both queries, under certain reasonable model assumptions, are shown to be a qualified YES. In addition, we provide an argument to support the rationale of a common practice in designing a SSALT, that is, setting the higher stress level as high as possible in a SSALT plan. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

美国“深绿”计划对指挥控制的影响

“深绿”计划是美国国防部高级研究计划署为满足现代战争对快速决策的需求而提出的.“深绿”计划的目的是将仿真嵌入指挥控制系统,利用仿真支持正在进行的军事行动.通过对深绿体系结构、实现深绿的关键技术以及深绿实施方案的分析,重点研究了深绿计划对指挥控制的影响.该研究力图为我军作战指挥决策支持系统的建设提供方法和技术上的启发及借鉴.     

现代战争计划的设计

现代战争的战争形态和作战样式发生了巨大改变,传统战争计划的制定难以适应新的作战指挥方式。为提高作战指挥的时效性和作战决策的正确性,对现代战争的战争计划的设计要求和设计流程进行了分析,总结了需要解决的关键技术,对深入开展战争计划的设计研究具有一定的启示。     

绳系拖曳离轨过程中基于系绳张力的摆动抑制策略研究

绳系拖曳离轨过程,系统运行于非开普勒轨道,系绳摆动呈现复杂的动力学特性,大幅度的系绳摆动会引起拖船的扰动,进而影响整个系统的稳定,因此如何抑制系绳摆动是拖曳离轨任务的一个关键问题。本文以周向常值连续小推力作用下的绳系拖曳离轨为背景,针对离轨过程中的系绳摆动抑制问题,首先建立了系统质心轨道动力学方程及系绳摆动动力学方程,分析了无系绳收放控制时的系绳摆动特性以及系绳收放对系绳摆动的作用效果,然后构造了使系绳摆动衰减的期望绳长收放速率并设计了系绳张力控制律。仿真结果表明：无系绳收放控制时,系绳摆动表现为平衡位置附近的周期性往复运动;张力控制连续平滑,很好地实现了系绳实际长度对期望长度的跟踪,同时有效地抑制了离轨过程中的系绳摆动。     

火箭弹道学发动机推力模拟方法

发动机工作性能对火箭飞行性能的严重影响已引起众多研究人员的重视,尤其是火箭发动机推力总冲及其工作时间等重要参数.这里提出了一种在静态测定推力时间历程、总冲的基础上,通过实际飞行测试结果确定其扰动量来最终模拟推力时间历程的仿真方法.该方法简洁方便,易于编制程序及模拟仿真,便于工程人员掌握,可用于火箭发射动力学、外弹道学及射表编制等方面研究,具有一定应用价值.     

美国陆军面向2010年发展规划概述

概述美国陆军现阶段实施的2010年发展战略规划,分析阐明美军制定和实行该规划理论基础和指导方针,陆军结构调整与改革的思路和实施的内容,在军队建设上如何充分发挥科学技术优势等.     

紧固件用钢复验的动态抽验方案

本文针对现行紧固件原材料进厂抽样复验方法的不足,套改《ISO2859计数抽查程序和图表》,提出动态抽样方案,并对新旧方案实际应用进行了比较。以比较科学的决策,取得提高效益、降低消耗的结果.     

Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions with interval censored samples

This article studies the problem of designing Bayesian sampling plans (BSP) with interval censored samples. First, an algorithm for deriving the conventional BSP is proposed. The BSP is shown to possess some monotonicity. Based on the BSP and using the property of monotonicity, a new sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure is proposed. The resulting curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) can reduce the duration time of life test experiment, and it is optimal in the sense that its associated Bayes risk is smaller than the Bayes risk of the BSP if the cost of the duration time of life test experiment is considered. A numerical example to compute the Bayes risks of BSP and CBSP and related quantities is given. Also, a Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to illustrate the performance of the CBSP compared with the BSP. The simulation results demonstrate that our proposed CBSP has better performance because it has smaller risk. The CBSP is recommended. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 604–616, 2015