基于云模型-AHP的制导弹药射击效能评估

对制导弹药的射击效能进行评估在仿真试验领域具有重要的意义。依据某制导弹药的工作原理及影响其射击精度的主要因素,制定了其射击效能评估指标体系。运用层次分析法(AHP)计算了各级指标的权重,划分了评估等级,并在各个指标隶属度的计算中引入了云模型算法。最后,将评估结果以隶属云的数字特征的形式表示出来。     

基于三级数据关联的红外点目标跟踪方法

介绍了目前红外系统的目标跟踪方法；在目标跟踪时的数据关联阶段，提出了三级门限数据关联算法，根据门限级别所划分的疑似目标点位置，算法采用不同的数据关联策略。该算法能减少轨迹分叉时的计算量，能有效地检测出速度〈1像素／帧的运动点目标。实验结果证明了该算法的有效性。     

流的大小与传输速率相结合的双门限检测算法

提出基于流传输速率与数据量的双门限检测算法。为满足高速网络传输的性能要求,使用Hash表存储流检测的数据结构,将Hash表的冲突处理与基于流速率的缓存替换相结合以实现高效的大流检测,通过限制Hash桶的容量,确保报文的处理性能。真实网络数据的仿真测试结果表明:所提算法在相近的存储开销下,保持了较高的处理性能,准确性优于基于最近最少使用算法的大流检测及其派生算法以及基于统计计数的紧凑型空间节省算法。     

采用瞬态球状热斗篷方法的浅层地下目标红外隐身技术

由于浅层地下目标与背景土壤的热物性不同,影响了整个区域表面的温度场分布,容易被敌方探测系统发现并击毁。针对这一问题,考虑太阳辐射、天空辐射以及风速的影响,建立了埋藏地下目标的区域温度分布传热模型,揭示了不同时段埋藏地下目标对区域表面温度场的影响。在变换热力学的基础上,通过坐标变换的方法,推导出球状瞬态热斗篷的导热系数的通解表达式。根据等效介质理论,对设计的热物性参数进行均质化,并通过数值实验方法验证了基于热斗篷地下目标红外隐身技术的可行性。     

热障涂层厚度及其涂敷下材料内部缺陷的红外定量识别

针对热障涂层结构材料红外定量检测存在的不足,提出基于脉冲相位的LM(LevenbergMarquardt)识别算法。针对研究问题,建立了轴对称圆柱坐标下热障涂层结构材料的瞬态导热模型,利用有限体积法计算出检测表面的温度场,经快速傅里叶变换得到检测表面的相位分布,分析待检测参数对检测表面相位差的影响。以相位为识别条件,采用LM反演算法对热障涂层厚度及其涂敷下材料内部缺陷位置大小进行定量识别,并采用数值实验方法验证了基于相位的LM识别方法的有效性。     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

数据链系统效能评估框架研究

研究了数据链系统效能评估相关概念及其对作战的影响机制,给出了数据链系统效能评价指标体系以及不同层次指标的计算、聚合方法。在此基础上形成数据链系统的效能评估框架,通过该框架可以指导数据链系统的效能评估,为数据链装备的发展及应用提供科学依据。     

反空空导弹的导引头研究

从反空空导弹的导引头对空空导弹的最大探测距离方面论述了其不适宜采用雷达导引头的原因,并指出了反空空导弹可采用红外导引头来跟踪空空导弹的可能性。同时又分析了空空导弹的红外辐射特性,说明了反空空导弹红外导引头探测器响应工作波段应为3μm～5μm。