基于排队论的反舰导弹突防概率研究

根据水面舰艇对海导弹攻击中作战指挥的需要,提出了基于排队论中随机服务理论的反舰导弹突防概率解算模型.综合研究了目标舰艇编队采用各种手段进行抗击帮助条件下,反舰导弹突防概率的计算问题,并且结合想定装备参数进行了算例分析.为指挥员实施导弹攻击提供辅助决策和量化支持.     

车辆悬挂系统的主动优化控制器设计及仿真

基于特征结构配置参数化结果,提出了车辆悬挂系统的主动优化控制器设计方法。该方法直接基于车辆悬挂系统的参数矩阵,便于工程应用。车辆悬挂系统的仿真实例表明所提主动优化控制器设计方法简单且有效。     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

一种改进的事件驱动系统框架

在给出事件驱动系统安全漏洞的基础上,指出了产生漏洞的根本原因是:系统忽视了输入系统的事件序列之间存在的相关性;系统无条件信任任何事件源产生的事件.针对这两个原因,相应提出了事件序列形式安全分析模型及基于事件源的可信度评估模型,依据这两个模型,构建了一种改进的事件驱动系统框架.     

基于ADC的炮兵激光观测仪侦察效能分析

运用了效能分析方法,针对复杂战场环境下炮兵侦察系统的效能进行分析,特别是炮兵激光观测仪,揭示其内在规律,为提高现有侦察装备的作战效能找到重要途径,也为指挥员的决策提供可靠的战略支持.在侦察系统效能分析理论的基础上,对典型的激光观测仪侦察装备进行了计算评估验证,其方法和成果可供其他武器系统效能评估时借鉴参考.     

船体结构刚度对桅杆振动特性的影响及控制

采用Euler Bellouli梁理论推导出桅下船体结构旋转刚度和桅杆首阶固有频率参数之间的关系.用桅下船体结构的旋转刚度kα和桅杆参数EIl的比值判断桅下船体结构的旋转刚度对首阶固有频率的影响,对一个安装在不同旋转刚度基础上的桅杆实例进行了有限元计算,找出了桅下船体结构旋转刚度的合理设计范围.有限元软件仿真计算结果表明,合理地选择kα值可使桅杆首阶振动频率得到主动控制.     

提高我国坦克防护能力的思考

分析了现代战场条件下坦克生存面临的重要威胁，强调了加强坦克主动式防护系统研究的重要性，并提出了加强我军坦克主动式防护系统的研究应遵循的原则和技术途径。     

有源照射箔条对相控阵雷达复合干扰效应分析

箔条在与有源干扰结合使用时会比使用单一手段更有效。应用箔条可能会强迫雷达采用MTI或多普勒处理,这样可使雷达无法使用脉间频率捷变,而且箔条扩展到无模糊距离以外会使雷达无法使用脉冲重复频率参差,这两种因素为对相控阵雷达复合干扰开辟了道路。比较了复合干扰与有源和箔条分别干扰相控阵雷达后的压制比,仿真结果表明:复合干扰效果比箔条干扰效果在随距离的变化过程中至少在3倍以上。与有源干扰相比,在30 km之内复合干扰比有源干扰具有明显的优势。这为实战条件下提高飞机生存率,具有较强参考价值。     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

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