Value management of diagnostic equipment with cancelation,no‐show,and emergency patients

Magnetic resonance imaging and other multifunctional diagnostic facilities, which are considered as scarce resources of hospitals, typically provide services to patients with different medical needs. This article examines the admission policies during the appointment management of such facilities. We consider two categories of patients: regular patients who are scheduled in advance through an appointment system and emergency patients with randomly generated demands during the workday that must be served as soon as possible. According to the actual medical needs of patients, regular patients are segmented into multiple classes with different cancelation rates, no‐show probabilities, unit value contributions, and average service times. Management makes admission decisions on whether or not to accept a service request from a regular patient during the booking horizon to improve the overall value that could be generated during the workday. The decisions should be made by considering the cancelation and no‐show behavior of booked patients as well as the emergency patients that would have to be served because any overtime service would lead to higher costs. We studied the optimal admission decision using a continuous‐time discrete‐state dynamic programming model. Identifying an optimal policy for this discrete model is analytically intractable and numerically inefficient because the state is multidimensional and infinite. We propose to study a deterministic counterpart of the problem (i.e., the fluid control problem) and to develop a time‐based fluid policy that is shown to be asymptotically optimal for large‐scale problems. Furthermore, we propose to adopt a mixed fluid policy that is developed based on the information obtained from the fluid control problem. Numerical experiments demonstrate that this improved policy works effectively for small‐scale problems. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 287–304, 2016     

对贫困大学生心理健康教育的思考

贫困大学生不仅经济上困难,而且还存在许多心理问题。研究高校贫困大学生的心理状况,并对他们进行心理健康教育,可为高校教育工作的针对性和有效性提供帮助。     

A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

用VB6.0实现分布式监控系统中的数据通讯

本文详细介绍了用VB实现分布式监控系统中的数据通讯,用数据通信将微机连在一起实现数据共享,从而对发射机状态进行集中监视管理和分散控制。     

基于网格技术的装备保障资源监控系统研究

研究了网格资源监控理论,介绍了端到端监控组件及LDAP协议。结合基于LDAP的资源监控模型,讨论了装备保障资源监控系统中监控对象的表示及系统的结构设计,并说明其工作机理。     

航迹关联算法在飞行计划管理中的应用

针对传统飞行计划管理中的缺限,基于MK－NN航迹关联算法思想,提出了一种利用方向因子、速度因子、偏航因子、时差因子和区域因子对综合航迹和计划航迹进行比较关联的方法,实现对飞行计划实施的动态监控,从而提高了飞行计划管理的准确性与科学性。     

核辐射监测技术的形势与发展

从军事社会需求与相关应用技术进展两个角度分析了当前核辐射监测技术面临的新形势．在此基础上,展望了核辐射监测技术各个领域的发展方向与趋势,指出核辐射监测技术标准化与国际化是技术发展的必然要求。     

基于监测数据的电磁频谱地图构建与验证

提出基于广义回归神经网络拟合和聚类克里金的构建方法,通过趋势面拟合,将电磁频谱地图构建分解为路径衰减和阴影衰落分量的估计问题,以提升构建精度;设计监测数据聚类和自适应最优邻域选取机制,在保证构建精度的条件下减小计算数据量,以提升构建速度,从而利用数量有限的电磁环境监测数据,在不需要先验信息的条件下实现电磁频谱地图的准确、快速构建。设计并实现电磁频谱地图验证系统,搭建车载数据采集设备,利用实测电磁环境监测数据,验证所提方法的可行性及构建性能。     

一种新的柴油机润滑油发射光谱数据综合评价方法

对两台船舶主柴油机润滑油进行了长期监测,应用原子发射光谱仪对采集的36个油样进行了测试。采用基于熵权法的模糊综合评价对各元素进行了权重赋值,并依据权重选取11个元素中的5个主要作用元素进行了数据综合评价,按照正常、注意、警告、异常4个状态对装备磨损状态进行了分类。研究结果表明:所提出的油液原子发射光谱数据综合评价方法能够客观、准确地获取装备磨损状态,其评价结果与实际磨损状态相符,为装备的使用与维护提供了有效的技术依据。     

基于灰色系统理论的设备状态监测系统设计

介绍了设备状态集中监测系统的构建和灰色系统理论在设备状态预测中的应用原理及方法．利用Matlab提供的基于最小二乘法的非线性曲线拟合函数能方便地求解一阶灰微分方程,从而得到原始数列的预测值表达式．应用实例表明,基于灰色系统理论的预测模型适用于小样本不确定问题的研究,预测精度高、实现容易．基于灰色系统理论的设备状态监测系统的研制对于科学制定维修计划,改进设备的管理维护手段,确保试验任务的质量和进度具有重要作用．