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Capacity expansion models typically minimize the discounted cost of acquisition and operation over a given planning horizon. In this article we generalize this idea to one in which a capital supply curve replaces the usual discount rate. A capital supply curve is a means to model financial outlook, investment limits, and risk. We show that when such a curve is included in a capacity expansion model, it will, under certain conditions, provide a less capital intensive solution than one which incorporates a discount rate. In this article, we also provide an algorithm that solves capacity expansion models that incorporate a capital supply curve. The attractive feature of this algorithm is that it provides a means to utilize the “discount rate” models efficiently. Throughout, we give applications in power generation planning and computational experience for this application is also presented. 相似文献
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Marcel F. Neuts 《海军后勤学研究》1978,25(3):445-454
This paper discusses a class of analytically and numerically tractable renewal processes, which generalize the Poisson process. When used to describe interarrival or service times in queues, these renewal processes lead to computationally explicit solutions which involve only real arithmetic. Previous modifications of the Poisson process, based on the Erlang or the hyperexponential distributions, appear as particular cases. 相似文献
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A transportation system has N vehicles with no capacity constraint which take passengers from a depot to various destinations and return to the depot. The trip times are considered to be independent and identically distributed random variables. The dispatch strategy at the depot is to dispatch immediately, or to hold any returning vehicles with the objective of minimizing the average wait per passenger at the depot, if passengers arrive at a uniform rate. Optimal control strategies and resulting waits are determined in the special case of exponentially distributed trip time for various N up to N = 15. For N ? 1, the nature of the solution is always to keep a reservoir of vehicles in the depot, and to decrease (increase) the time headway between dispatches as the size of the reservoir gets larger (smaller). For sufficiently large N, one can approximate the number of vehicles in the reservoir by a continuum and obtain analytic experession for the optimal dispatch rate as a function of the number of vehicles in the reservoir. For the optimal strategy, it is shown that the average number of vehicles in the depot is of order N1/3. These limit properties are expected to be quite insensitive to the actual trip time distribution, but the convergence of the exact properties to the continuum approximation as N → ∞ is very slow. 相似文献
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Adequate prediction of a response variable using a multiple linear regression model is shown in this article to be related to the presence of multicollinearities among the predictor variables. If strong multicollinearities are present in the data, this information can be used to determine when prediction is likely to be accurate. A region of prediction, R, is proposed as a guide for prediction purposes. This region is related to a prediction interval when the matrix of predictor variables is of full column rank, but it can also be used when the sample is undersized. The Gorman-Toman ten-variable data is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the region R. 相似文献
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New closure theorems for shock models in reliability theory are presented. If the number of shocks to failure and the times between the arrivals of shocks have probability distributions of phase type, then so has the time to failure. PH-distributions are highly versatile and may be used to model many qualitative features of practical interest. They are also well-suited for algorithmic implementation. The computational aspects of our results are discussed in some detail. 相似文献
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在飞行器隐身技术的研究中发现,机(弹)载雷达天线将在飞行器鼻锥方向产生很强的RCS贡献,如何降低雷达天线的RCS而又保证自身雷达正常工作已成为目标隐身技术中的一个关键课题.文中介绍了由十字型振子单元构成的带阻式频率选择表面的选频特性,探讨了该表面在低RCS抛物面天线和低RCS卡塞格伦天线中的工程应用,分析了应用于主、副反射面天线的隐身性能,最后得出两点结论,指出在副反射面天线的工程应用中更容易实现。 相似文献
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