Nonperiodic preventive maintenance for repairable systems

As a complex system with multiple components usually deteriorates with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to keep the system functioning in a good state to prolong its effective age. In this study, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deterioration of a repairable system, and the optimal nonperiodic PM schedule can be determined to minimize the expected total cost per unit time. However, since the determination of such optimal PM policies may involve numerous uncertainties, which typically make the analyses difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data, a Bayesian decision model, which utilizes all available information effectively, is also proposed for determining the optimal PM strategies. A numerical example with a real failure data set is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results show that the optimal schedules derived by Bayesian approach are relatively more conservative than that for non‐Bayesian approach because of the uncertainty of the intensity function, and if the intensity function are updated using the collected data set, which indicates more severe deterioration than the prior belief, replacing the entire system instead of frequent PM activities before serious deterioration is suggested. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

浅析思维品质的谋略思想基础——《孙子兵法》对武警指挥员战术思维品质的启示

作为举世公认的兵学宝典，《孙子兵法》蕴涵着丰富的谋略思想，表现出高超的思维艺术，成为思维品质的基础性来源。武警指挥员战术思维品质的预见性、经验性、灵活性、辩证性、系统性，正是其谋略精华在新时期武警执勤作战中的运用和发展。     

两栖型指控车非线性横摇安全盆侵蚀研究

采用单自由度系统研究了两栖型指控车在规则波激励下的非线性横摇和倾覆,非线性横摇控制方程应用四阶龙格库塔法进行数值积分;以波浪扰动力矩的幅值和波浪的频率作为变量,研究了两栖型指控车的安全盆侵蚀问题。以波浪扰动力矩的幅值为变量的安全盆侵蚀研究结果表明:当波浪扰动力矩大于0.01时,安全盆开始出现侵蚀现象,当波浪扰动力矩大于1.84时,安全盆的安全域已经变成了几个离散的点,随着波浪扰动力矩继续增大,安全盆的安全域将继续严重侵蚀,直到消失为止。以波浪频率为变量的安全盆侵蚀研究结果表明:两栖型指控车的安全盆侵蚀对波浪的频率敏感,安全盆出现明显的侵蚀;随着频率的增大,安全盆侵蚀将不会发生,表明两栖型指控车对高频波浪是安全的。     

从"误伤事件"原因分析,看战术数据链战略地位

以伊拉克战争为背景,介绍了美军及北约的战术数据链发展情况、技术概要,重点论述了不同时期的战术数据链在技术体制上的差异,以及由此可能导致互联、互通和互操作的分析.最后,结合我军的一些现状,在汲取外军教训的基础上,提出我军在战术数据链建设方面的一些建议.     

建筑消防设施三化建设要点及需要解决的突出问题

通过总结归纳社会单位开展建筑消防设施建立标准化管理体系,落实标识化建设,形成规范化管理机制过程中应当把握的几个要点,并客观分析在推动＂三化＂建设持续有效落实过程中存在的主要问题,提出相应的改进措施和建议,以形成建筑消防设施＂三化＂建设的长效机制,努力提升社会单位防控火灾事故发生的能力和水平。     

Investigate the effects of magnetic fields on the penetration ability of a shaped charge jet at different standoffs

The influence of a magnetic field on the stability of a shaped charge jet is experimentally investigated at standoffs of 490, 650 and 800 mm. The experimental results without and with the magnetic field are compared in terms of the shaped charge jet form, stability and penetration ability. A theoretical model based on one-dimension fluid dynamics is then developed to assess the depth of penetration of the shaped charge at those three standoffs and magnetic conditions. The results show that the penetration capability can be enhanced in more than 70% by the magnetic field. The theoretical calculations are compared with the experimental results with reasonably good correlation. In addition, the parameters introduced in the theory are discussed together with the experiments at three standoffs studied.     

水面舰艇"自助式"模拟训练环境生成研究

分析了当前水面舰艇战术背景条件下综合对抗模拟训练存在的主要不足,在此基础上,本文提出通过外接便携式计算机构建水面舰艇“自助式”模拟训练环境并验证了其可行性。提出了该模拟训练环境的基本功能、系统组成、工作流程;探讨了舰艇实装设备驱动、实时多任务仿真环境、舰艇机动过程仿真、训练过程重演等关键技术。这一方法有助于提高水面舰艇战术背景条件下综合对抗对抗模拟训练的有效性和针对性,具有较好的推广应用前景。     

油料装备中发动机与油泵的匹配设计探讨

油料装备中发动机与油泵的合理匹配是设计中需解决的一个重要问题。介绍 了油料装备发动机与油泵的匹配原则,分析了油泵和发动机工作时所需的动力,发现发动机 在驱动油泵时具有一定的功率储备,尤其是共用发动机具有较大的功率储备,提出利用发动 机万有特性曲线进行匹配设计。     

悬臂式围护桩受力性状与内力传递特征试验

为研究悬臂式围护桩结构的内力、弯矩、位移和嵌固段的变化规律及特点,结合西宁火车站综合改造工程,对该深基坑支护结构在不同开挖工况条件下悬臂桩的受力性状与内力传递特征进行现场动态测试试验。试验结果表明:悬臂桩的受力特征与理论值有所差异,在实际设计中可对其在配筋方式、混凝土强度设计、嵌固段长度等方面进行优化。试验结果可以有效优化桩身设计,为复杂基坑在开挖过程中的支护结构受力及变形提供参考性依据。     

基于单元体设计的装甲装备弹目交会建模方法

为了提高作战仿真效果的可信度,提出了一种基于单元体的解决思路,并通过弹头终点弹道特性、装备几何特征、弹头与目标的关系分析,建立了陆军作战仿真的弹目交会模型。试验测试结果表明:该模型能够仿真作战过程中的弹头命中点坐标,满足作战仿真系统的准确性、实时性要求。