Growth recovery after civil conflict: a fractional integration approach

Using recent econometric techniques based on fractional integration, we find that developing countries recover their economic growth faster than developed countries in response to a shock. Following this methodology, we find that longer civil conflicts are associated with a faster recovery process. We further investigate this issue by exploring correlations with components of GDP, military spending, institutions and aid and find heterogeneous effects of these channels by duration of conflict. Higher government spending is correlated with faster recoveries post longer conflicts, and higher consumption spending is linked to faster recoveries following shorter conflicts. Military spending appears to be driving the government expenditure that makes countries recover from longer conflicts. More democratic institutions are associated with faster recoveries post short wars but slower recoveries following long wars.     

利用灰色理论与时间序列探讨我国物价指数的发展变化

本文根据装备建设的需要,对物价指数的变化进行了研究,首先依据原始数据利用灰色理论建立预测模型,在分析模型精度基础上,提出了灰色时间序列模型,使模型精度得到提高。并根据我国物价指数变化的特点,进一步建立了上包络线模型．使本文更具实际意义。     

高可靠、强实时分布式系统的切换技术研究

本文首先给出某高可靠、强实时分布式系统及系统的两种切换方案的简要描述，然后对切换技术的实现进行讨论；最后，在建立强实时双工系统的可靠性模型基础上，对系统的两种切换方案进行分析与比较。研究结果表明：对于本系统，机组级切换优于结点机级切换，且可以减少程序的复杂度，提高系统的可靠性与实时性。     

发射空对空导弹时目标进入角的确定

提出了一种确定目标进入角的原理和方法,这种原理和方法具有较高的计算精度和实时性,易于工程实现,可用于机载火力控制系统完成空对空导弹允许发射区计算.     

励磁突变对无刷励磁同步发电机整流系统负载电流的影响

分析了无刷励磁同步发电机整流系统突加/突卸励磁时的过渡过程,得到了影响负载电流上升和下降时间的主要时间常数,并对理论分析结果进行了仿真和实验研究,仿真结果与理论分析吻合良好.实验波形所反映的变化趋势亦与仿真及理论分析结果较为符合.     

论开放对改革的历史意义和现实作用

中国的改革始终并越来越置于开放的国际大环境和背景下 ,围绕开放来进行 ,改革的历史取向、实际步骤等方方面面都自觉不自觉地受到开放的很大影响 :开放引致改革、开放促进改革、开放制约改革、开放本身就是改革、开放保障改革。因此 ,中国的改革是一种典型的开放式改革 ,中国的“改革开放”也可以或越来越应当是“开放改革” ;就改革与开放的相互关系、作用及对整个社会发展的作用和意义而言 ,开放重于改革。     

空空导弹三维实时动态数字仿真

主要论述了某型空空导弹实现３维实时动态数字仿真的思路和方法,首先建立３维空战模型,然后通过一定的计算方法和编程技巧实现了数字仿真的实时性。在数字仿真实时性的基础上,实现了导弹攻击目标过程的３维动态图形显示。     

空空导弹导引头角预定精度研究

空空导弹导引头角预定是重要的导弹发射控制参数,其有效的计算精度分析,是导弹可靠截获和跟踪目标的重要保证。基于前置追踪攻击原理,给出了空空导弹导引头角预定的计算模型,建立了机载雷达误差对导引头角预定精度影响的误差分析仿真结构,并对仿真计算结果进行了讨论。     

电子战仿真系统中防空武器作战效能研究

介绍了电子战仿真系统总体结构,研究了空中拦截、地对空导弹及高炮等模块的作战效能模型,并用Ｍｏｎｔｅ Ｃａｒｌｏ 试验方法分析了系统的电子对抗作战效能     

Managing components for assemble‐to‐order products with lead‐time‐dependent pricing: The full‐shipment model

We study a component inventory planning problem in an assemble‐to‐order environment faced by many contract manufacturers in which both quick delivery and efficient management of component inventory are crucial for the manufacturers to achieve profitability in a highly competitive market. Extending a recent study in a similar problem setting by the same authors, we analyze an optimization model for determining the optimal component stocking decision for a contract manufacturer facing an uncertain future demand, where product price depends on the delivery times. In contrast to our earlier work, this paper considers the situation where the contract manufacturer needs to deliver the full order quantity in one single shipment. This delivery requirement is appropriate for many industries, such as the garment and toy industries, where the economies of scale in transportation is essential. We develop efficient solution procedures for solving this optimization problem. We use our model results to illustrate how the different model parameters affect the optimal solution. We also compare the results under this full‐shipment model with those from our earlier work that allows for multiple partial shipments. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007