未来数字化战场特点透析

随着信息技术在军事领域的广泛应用,如何把潮水般涌来的“信息”迅速转化为战斗力,已成为未来信息化战场上军队作战必须解决的重大课题。基于此,数字化战场的概念应运而生。数字化战场,是指以信息技术为基础,以信息环境为依托,用数字化设备将指挥、控制、通信、情报、电子对抗等网络系统联为—体,能实现各类信息资源共享、作战信息实时交换,以支持指挥员、战斗员、保障人员和各种武器系统与作战平台进行信息活动的作战多     

基于智能体技术的CGF行为模拟研究

为了有效模拟CGF物理行为和智能行为的不同特性,提出了一个复合CGF智能体模型,将CGF的行为模拟分为认知、内部环境、规划决策和行动四个模块,该模型综合了反应式行为模式和基于规划模式两方面优点.利用行为模式采用层次化方法建立CGF物理行为模型,使CGF智能体能对动态战场环境做出灵活的反应.结合CGF不同类型任务规划决策方法的分析介绍了基于规划模式的CGF智能行为模拟方法,使CGF智能体能按照战术原则进行作战任务规划.采用基于军事命令控制结构对CGF进行组织和控制,为CGF间的指挥协同提供了与实际作战环境相似的框架.     

战场信息资源动态组织与服务策略

在日趋复杂的战场环境下,信息具有海量和分布的特点,对于各级作战人员在这种复杂环境下适时地发现和获取所需的信息是一个极具挑战性的问题.提出了一种基于对等资源中心的战场信息动态组织和服务体系框架,并重点对一体化元数据描述、资源组织与索引策略、资源发现与分发服务流程等关键问题进行了描述,从而提供一种高效的战场信息发现和分发能力.     

坦克兵力行为智能体模型研究

为了有效模拟兵力物理行为和智能行为的不同特性,提出了一个复合结构坦克兵力智能体模型,该模型综合了反应式行为和慎思行为两方面的优点。采用层次化组合方法建立了基于行为模式的兵力物理行为模型,使兵力智能体能对动态战场环境作出灵活的反应。结合兵力不同类型任务的分析,设计了基于规划的兵力智能行为模拟方法,使兵力智能体能按照战术原则进行作战任务规划。     

一种基于用户画像的态势信息精准推荐技术

提出了一种基于用户画像的态势信息精准推荐技术.该技术根据用户在系统登录时所提供的包含身份、席位、编制等用户固有信息和用户浏览并反馈给系统的用户历史浏览记录,动态实时地对不同作战用户建立能反映该用户权限、职能、角色的可被计算机理解应用的用户画像,并根据该用户的个人画像,将战场上即时产生的态势信息智能化、精准化地推荐给每一个用户.     

基于多Agent战场仿真系统研究

设计战场虚拟仿真系统,分别将战场抽象为栅格化地图、作战单位抽象为智能体,将其映射到系统中,由此将战场指挥转换为多智能体协同控制及其决策问题。仿真系统中使用智能体进行战况推演,也可结合实际作战单位进行联合分析,可模拟多种战场情况,为决策提供参考。以战场覆盖性和特定目标搜索作为重要验证方法,测试结果表明系统能够有效仿真多Agent战场环境,通过决策推演与表达,为指挥人员提供重要决策参考。     

基于内容的战场信息分发系统研究

战场信息的按需分发技术是战场信息服务的关键技术。针对目前战场信息按需共享能力不足的问题,通过分析作战用户的信息需求特点,建立了一个基于内容的信息分发系统模型,并对战场信息的元数据描述、信息需求模型的构建以及信息推荐等系统实现的关键技术进行了研究。与其他传统信息分发系统相比,基于内容的信息分发系统能更好满足海量战场信息精准、按需共享的需求。     

基于大模型的态势认知智能体

针对战场态势信息众多、变化趋势认知困难的问题,提出基于大模型的态势认知智能体框架和智能态势认知推演方法。从认知概念出发,结合智能体的抽象性、具身性特点,明确了智能体构建的3个关键环节：学习环境、记忆方式和产生知识机制;设计了战场态势认知智能体架构,包括记忆部件、规划部件、执行部件、评估部件以及智能体训练要点。在长期记忆部件中,围绕战场复杂状态建模特点,分析大语言模型、多模态大模型、大序列模型的运用问题。     

基于用户兴趣的分布式智能信息检索系统的设计

DIIRICE是一个面向Internet的智能信息检索系统。该系统采用分布式智能体技术 ,用户兴趣学习算法和基于使用的聚类算法 ,有效地解决了现有系统在交互方式 ,自适应用户兴趣等方面的不足 ,满足人们在信息浏览时的个性化要求。该系统普遍适用于Internet、远程教育等分布式系统中的信息检索     

基于深度强化学习的作战实体智能感知与决策研究

为解决战场上作战实体的自主感知与决策问题,构建了一种基于深度强化学习的智能感知与决策框架,主要包括态势数据预处理、态势感知、行动优化和知识库4个模块,并通过单智能体无人机突防实验验证其应用效果,为解决作战实体的自主感知与决策问题提供了一种可行的技术途径。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.