The advantage of deeper pockets in Silverman's game on intervals

Silverman's game on (1, B) × (1, B) was analyzed by R. J. Evans, who showed that optimal strategies exist (and found them) only on a set of measure zero in the parameter plane. We examine the corresponding game on (1, B) × (1, D) with D > B, and show that optimal strategies exist in about half the parameter plane. Optimal strategies and game value are obtained explicitly. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

A chance-constrained distribution problem

The transportation model with supplies (S_i) and demands (D_i) treated as bounded variables developed by Charnes and Klingman is extended to the case where the S_i and D_i are independently and uniformly distributed random variables. Chance constraints which require that demand at the jth destination will be satisfied with probability at least β_i and that stockout at the ith origin will occur with probability less than α_i are imposed. Conversion of the chance constraints to their linear equivalents results in a transportation problem with one more row and column than the original with some of the new arcs capacitated. The chance-constrained formulation is extended to the transshipment problem.     

A network isolation algorithm

A set of edges D called an isolation set, is said to isolate a set of nodes R from an undirected network if every chain between the nodes in R contains at least one edge from the set D. Associated with each edge of the network is a positive cost. The isolation problem is concerned with finding an isolation set such that the sum of its edge costs is a minimum. This paper formulates the problem of determining the minimal cost isolation as a 0–1 integer linear programming problem. An algorithm is presented which applies a branch and bound enumerative scheme to a decomposed linear program whose dual subproblems are minimal cost network flow problems. Computational results are given. The problem is also formulated as a special quadratic assignment problem and an algorithm is presented that finds a local optimal solution. This local solution is used for an initial bound.     

Pricing bridges to cross a river

We consider a pricing problem in directed, uncapacitated networks. Tariffs must be defined by an operator, the leader, for a subset of m arcs, the tariff arcs. Costs of all other arcs in the network are assumed to be given. There are n clients, the followers, and after the tariffs have been determined, the clients route their demands independent of each other on paths with minimal total cost. The problem is to find tariffs that maximize the operator's revenue. Motivated by applications in telecommunication networks, we consider a restricted version of this problem, assuming that each client utilizes at most one of the operator's tariff arcs. The problem is equivalent to pricing bridges that clients can use in order to cross a river. We prove that this problem is APX‐hard. Moreover, we analyze the effect of uniform pricing, proving that it yields both an m approximation and a (1 + lnD)‐approximation. Here, D is upper bounded by the total demand of all clients. In addition, we consider the problem under the additional restriction that the operator must not reject any of the clients. We prove that this problem does not admit approximation algorithms with any reasonable performance guarantee, unless P = NP, and we prove the existence of an n‐approximation algorithm. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Sojourn times in G/M/1 fork‐join networks

We consider a processing network in which jobs arrive at a fork‐node according to a renewal process. Each job requires the completion of m tasks, which are instantaneously assigned by the fork‐node to m task‐processing nodes that operate like G/M/1 queueing stations. The job is completed when all of its m tasks are finished. The sojourn time (or response time) of a job in this G/M/1 fork‐join network is the total time it takes to complete the m tasks. Our main result is a closed‐form approximation of the sojourn‐time distribution of a job that arrives in equilibrium. This is obtained by the use of bounds, properties of D/M/1 and M/M/1 fork‐join networks, and exploratory simulations. Statistical tests show that our approximation distributions are good fits for the sojourn‐time distributions obtained from simulations. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Real-time task scheduling with overheads considered

n periodic tasks are to be processed by a single machine, where each task i has a maximum request rate or periodicity F_i, a processing time E_i, a deadline D_i, relative to each request of task i, a task-request interrupt overhead I_i, and a task-independent scheduling overhead S. Two scheduling strategies are considered for sequencing the execution of an arbitrary arrangement of task requests in time: the preemptive and the nonpreemptive earliest-deadline algorithms. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived for establishing whether a given set of tasks can be scheduled by each scheduling strategy. The conditions are given in the form of limited simulations of a small number of well-defined task-request arrangements. If all simulations succeed, the schedule is feasible for the given set of tasks. If any simulation fails, the schedule is infeasible. While interrupt handling and scheduling overheads can be handled by such simulations, context switching overhead resulting from preemption cannot. A counterexample illustrates how the simulations fail to uncover unschedulable task sets when context switching overhead is considered.     

A two-echelon multi-station inventory model for navy applications

The two inventory echelons under consideration are the depot, D, and k tender ships E₁, …, E_k. The tender ships supply the demand for certain parts of operational boats (the customers). The statistical model assumes that the total monthly demands at the k tenders are stationary independent Poisson random variables, with unknown means λ₁, …, λ_k. The stock levels on the tenders, at the heginning of each month, can be adjusted either by ordering more units from the depot, or by shipping bach to the depot an excess stock. There is no traffic of stock between tenders which is not via the depot. The lead time from the depot to the tenders is at most 1 month. The lead time for orders of the depot from the manufacturer is L months. The loss function due to erroneous decision js comprised of linear functions of the extra monthly stocks, and linear functions of shortages at the tenders and at the depot over the N months. A Bayes sequential decision process is set up for the optimal adjustment levels and orders of the two echelons. The Dynamic Programming recursive functions are given for a planning horizon of N months.     

Single batch machine scheduling with deliveries

We consider the problem of scheduling a set of n jobs on a single batch machine, where several jobs can be processed simultaneously. Each job j has a processing time p_j and a size s_j. All jobs are available for processing at time 0. The batch machine has a capacity D. Several jobs can be batched together and processed simultaneously, provided that the total size of the jobs in the batch does not exceed D. The processing time of a batch is the largest processing time among all jobs in the batch. There is a single vehicle available for delivery of the finished products to the customer, and the vehicle has capacity K. We assume that K = rD, where and r is an integer. The travel time of the vehicle is T; that is, T is the time from the manufacturer to the customer. Our goal is to find a schedule of the jobs and a delivery plan so that the service span is minimized, where the service span is the time that the last job is delivered to the customer. We show that if the jobs have identical sizes, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is minimum. If the jobs have identical processing times, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is asymptotically at most 11/9 times the optimal service span. When the jobs have arbitrary processing times and arbitrary sizes, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is asymptotically at most twice the optimal service span. We also derive upper bounds of the absolute worst‐case ratios in both cases. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 470–482, 2015     

Storage problems when demand is “all or nothing”

An inventory of physical goods or storage space (in a communications system buffer, for instance) often experiences “all or nothing” demand: if a demand of random size D can be immediately and entirely filled from stock it is satisfied, but otherwise it vanishes. Probabilistic properties of the resulting inventory level are discussed analytically, both for the single buffer and for multiple buffer problems. Numerical results are presented.     

Distribution of sample correlation coefficients

Let (Y, X_l,…, X_K) be a random vector distributed according to a multivariate normal distribution where X_l,…, X_K are considered as predictor variables and y is the predictand. Let r_i, and R_i denote the population and sample correlation coefficients, respectively, between Y and X_i. The population correlation coefficient r_i is a measure of the predictive power of X_i. The author has derived the joint distribution of R_l,…, R_K and its asymptotic property. The given result is useful in the problem of selecting the most important predictor variable corresponding to the largest absolute value of r_i.     

The asymptotic distribution of order statistics

For each n., X₁(n), X₂(n), …, X_n(n) are IID, with common pdf f_n(x). y₁(n) < … < Y_n (n) are the ordered values of X₁ (n), …, X_n(n). K_n is a positive integer, with lim K_n = ∞. Under certain conditions on K_n and f_n (x), it was shown in an earlier paper that the joint distribution of a special set of K_n + 1 of the variables Y₁ (n), …, Y_n (n) can be assumed to be normal for all asymptotic probability calculations. In another paper, it was shown that if f_n (x) approaches the pdf which is uniform over (0, 1) at a certain rate as n increases, then the conditional distribution of the order statistics not in the special set can be assumed to be uniform for all asymptotic probability calculations. The present paper shows that even if f_n (x) does not approach the uniform distribution as n increases, the distribution of the order statistics contained between order statistics in the special set can be assumed to be the distribution of a quadratic function of uniform random variables, for all asymptotic probability calculations. Applications to statistical inference are given.     

Numerical modelling of non-ideal detonation in ANFO explosives applying Wood-Kirkwood theory coupled with EXPLO5 thermochemical code

Ammonium nitrate and fuel oil (ANFO) based explosive is a classic example of non-ideal high explosives. Its detonation is characterized by a strong dependence of detonation parameters on explosive charge diameter, presence and characteristics of confinement, as well as incomplete consumption of explosive at the sonic point.In this work we propose a detonation model based on the Wood-Kirkwood (WK) theory coupled with the thermochemical code EXPLO5 and supplemented with reaction rate models. Our objective is to analyze the validity of the model for highly non-ideal ANFO explosives, with emphasis on effect of reaction rate models.It was found that both single-step and two-step pressure-based models can be calibrated to reproduce experimental detonation velocity-charge radius data of ANFO at radii significantly above the failure radius (i.e. for D/D_id > ∼0.6). Single-step pressure-based model, with the pressure exponent equal to 1.4, proved to be the most accurate, even in the vicinity of the failure radius. The impact of the rate models is most evident on temporal (and spatial) distribution of flow parameters in detonation driving zone, especially when it comes to the conversion and width of detonation driving zone.     

Characterizations of the exponential distribution by higher-order gap

Suppose X₁,X₂, ?,X_n is a random sample of size n from a continuous distribution function F(x) and let X_1,n, ≦ X_2,n ≦ ? ≦ X_n,n be the corresponding order statistics. We define the jth-order gap g_i,j as g_i,j = X_i+j,n ? X_i,n, 1 ≦ i < n, 1 ≦ j ≦ n ? i. In this article characterizations of the exponential distribution are given by considering the distributional properties of g_k,n-k, 1 ≦ k ≦ n.     

On labeling the vertices of products of complete graphs with distance constraints

Variations of Hale's channel assignment problem, the L(j, k)‐labeling problem and the radio labeling problem require the assignment of integers to the vertices of a graph G subject to various distance constraints. The λ_j,k‐number of G and the radio number of G are respectively the minimum span among all L(j, k)‐labelings, and the minimum span plus 1 of all radio labelings of G (defined in the Introduction). In this paper, we establish the λ_j,k‐number of ∏ K for pairwise relatively prime integers t₁ < t₂ < … < t_q, t₁ ≥ 2. We also show the existence of an infinite class of graphs G with radio number |V(G)| for any diameter d(G). © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Estimating the accuracy of the coverages of outer β-content tolerance intervals,which control both tails of the normal distribution

Tolerance limits which control both tails of the normal distribution so that there is no more than a proportion β₁ in one tail and no more than β₂ in the other tail with probability γ may be computed for any size sample. They are computed from X? - k₁S and X? - k₂S, where X? and S are the usual sample mean and standard deviation and k₁ and k₂ are constants previously tabulated in Odeh and Owen [3]. The question addressed is, “Just how accurate are the coverages of these intervals (– Infin;, X? – k₁S) and (X? + k₂S, ∞) for various size samples?” The question is answered in terms of how widely the coverage of each tail interval differs from the corresponding required content with a given confidence γ′.     

On the number of games played in a best of (2n – 1) series

Let p(⩾0.5) denote the probability that team A beats B in a single game. The series continues until either A or B wins n games. Assuming that these games are independent replications, we study some features of the distribution of X_n, the number of games played in the series. It is shown that X_n is unimodal, has an IFRA distribution, and is stochastically decreasing in p. Close approximations to its mode, mean, and variance are given. Finally, it is shown that the maximum-likelihood estimator of p based on X_n is unique.     

Applications of renewal theory in analysis of the free-replacement warranty

Under a free-replacement warranty of duration W, the customer is provided, for an initial cost of C, as many replacement items as needed to provide service for a period W. Payments of C are not made at fixed intervals of length W, but in random cycles of length Y = W + γ(W), where γ(W) is the (random) remaining life-time of the item in service W time units after the beginning of a cycle. The expected number of payments over the life cycle, L, of the item is given by M_Y(L), the renewal function for the random variable Y. We investigate this renewal function analytically and numerically and compare the latter with known asymptotic results. The distribution of Y, and hence the renewal function, depends on the underlying failure distribution of the items. Several choices for this distribution, including the exponential, uniform, gamma and Weibull, are considered.     

A compound measure of dependability for systems modeled by continuous-time absorbing Markov processes

The Markov analysis of reliability models frequently involves a partitioning of the state space into two or more subsets, each corresponding to a given degree of functionality of the system. A common partitioning is G ∪ B ∪ {o}, where G (good) and B (bad) stand, respectively, for fully and partially functional sets of system states; o denotes system failure. Visits to B may correspond to, for instance, reparable system downtimes, whereas o will stand for irrecoverable system failure. Let T_G and N_B stand, respectively, for the total time spent in G, and the number of visits to B, until system failure. Both T_G and N_B are familiar system performance measures with well-known cumulative distribution functions. In this article a closed-form expression is established for the probability Pr[T_G <> t, N_B ≤ n], a dependability measure with much intuitive appeal but which hitherto seems not to have been considered in the literature. It is based on a recent result on the joint distribution of sojourn times in subsets of the state space by a Markov process. The formula is explored numerically by the example of a power transmission reliability model. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Optimal arrangement of systems

To location L_i we are to allocate a “generator” and n_i “machines” for i = 1, …,k, where n₁ … n₁ ≧ … ≧ n_k. Although the generators and machines function independently of one another, a machine is operable only if it and the generator at its location are functioning. The problem we consider is that of finding the arrangement or allocation optimizing the number of operable machines. We show that if the objective is to maximize the expected number of operable machines at some future time, then it is best to allocate the best generator and the n₁ best machines to location L₁, the second-best generator and the n₂-next-best machines to location L₂, etc. However, this arrangement is not always stochastically optimal. For the case of two generators we give a necessary and sufficient condition that this arrangement is stochastically best, and illustrate the result with several examples.     

The discrete search problem and the construction of optimal allocations

Suppose one object is hidden in the k-th of n boxes with probability p(k). The boxes are to be searched sequentially. Associated with the j-th search of box k is a cost c(j,k) and a conditional probability q(j,k) that the first j - 1 searches of box k are unsuccessful while the j-th search is successful given that the object is hidden in box k. The problem is to maximize the probability that we find the object if we are not allowed to offer more than L for the search. We prove the existence of an optimal allocation of the search effort L and state an algorithm for the construction of an optimal allocation. Finally, we discuss some problems concerning the complexity of our problem.