求解不确定型车辆路径问题的弱鲁棒优化方法

为降低鲁棒优化模型最优解的保守性,以最小化违约车辆数和总惩罚成本为目标,建立针对旅行时间不确定的开放式车辆路径问题的弱鲁棒优化模型。对于不确定数据集的每个取值,该模型的最优解可以使其目标函数值始终不超过某数值,进而改善最优解的保守性。为提高启发式算法发现最优解的概率,提出一种自设计遗传算法对模型进行求解,其主要思想是利用粒子群算法搜索出可使遗传算法预期产生最好解的算法要素,并将其进行组合,从而产生新的遗传算法。采用新产生的遗传算法对模型继续求解,输出最好解。计算结果表明:与以往的鲁棒优化方法相比,弱鲁棒优化方法的最优解的保守性显著降低。     

战役方向地面防空战斗部署优化研究

对战役方向地面防空战斗部署进行了详细分析,建立了兵力优化分配的数学规划模型.为了获得部署问题的全局最优解,将遗传算法(GA)用于战役方向地面防空部署优化研究中,并对传统遗传算法进行了改进,最后给出了模型求解的方法和步骤.经过应用实例的计算,取得了良好的部署效果.     

修正的响应面方法优化螺栓法兰连接结构几何参数

采用响应面法对螺栓法兰连接进行优化设计时,考虑到经典响应面模型的局限性,在获得结构优化参数与响应指标内在联系的基础上,提出了修正响应面模型;设计了数值试验并对比了数值试验值与前述两种响应面模型预测值,结果表明修正响应面模型的预测值不仅误差相对比较均匀,且最大误差绝对值要明显小于经典响应面模型的相应值。采用遗传算法对修正响应面模型进行了以法兰质量最轻为优化目标的参数优化,取得了比较理想的优化结果。     

基于改进遗传算法的神经网络控制

神经网络结构简单,但训练容易陷入局部最优解,而遗传算法依照生物进化理论将群体进行选择交叉变异从而求取全局解。首先讨论了神经网络与遗传算法的结合方法,并针对传统遗传算法中存在的问题,采取一种改进的遗传算法,将两种智能控制方法相结合进行研究,仿真结果表明此算法能有效改善系统的响应指标。     

基于改进遗传算法的测试性优化分配方法

测试性优化分配是在测试性分配中合理配置各项测试资源,以满足测试性分配要求和资源约束条件。一般的遗传算法存在最优解不易求解、初始参数值不易设置等缺陷,因此,为了更加高效合理地进行测试性优化分配,在传统遗传算法中引入迁移技术来优化遗传迭代过程,并运用AHP法对算法初始参数进行调整,从而提出了基于改进的遗传算法的测试性优化分配方法。算例分析表明该方法可快速有效地求得测试性优化分配问题的最优解。     

采用多岛遗传算法的某型狙击榴弹发射器参数优化

为进一步减小某型狙击榴弹发射器的后坐力,提高人机工效,对其参数优化开展了研究;以武器后坐力极值最小为目标,分析了模型各参数的灵敏度,确定了设计变量,以武器总质量不增大为约束条件建立了优化模型;应用Isight平台集成Adams软件的方式,采用多岛遗传算法对该武器的相关参数进行了优化计算,对所得到的最优解进行了仿真分析;结果表明:优化后其后坐力极值降低了18.6豫,武器质量减小了51.3 g,其导轨的振动次数有所减少;优化方案有效提高了该武器人机工效和系统平稳性。     

采用遗传算法的电控增压器电磁阀优化设计

运用Ansoft Maxwell软件建立电磁阀的动态响应特性仿真模型，并通过试验验证模型的准确性。利用模型集成ISIGHT软件的方法，对影响电磁阀动态响应特性的参数进行灵敏度分析，得出各个参数对动态响应特性的Pareto图。基于遗传算法对电磁阀进行多参数优化设计，获取最佳参数组合，并利用电磁阀动态响应特性试验台架，开展参数优化前后电磁阀动态响应特性的对比试验研究。试验结果表明：相比于原参数方案，参数优化后的电磁阀动态响应特性得到大幅度提升，其开启响应时间缩短了59.1%，关闭响应时间缩短了47.2%。     

基于遗传算法的湿陷性黄土地基灰土挤密桩优化设计

利用Visual C＋＋语言，定义了一个面向对象的基于实数编码遗传算法类。运用可最大限度保证遗传算法搜索到问题的全局最优解的深度搜索策略，编制了灰土挤密桩的优化设计和造价估算遗传算法程序，并针对兰州某地灰土挤密桩复合地基进行了计算分析，并与原有方案比较，结果表明：两种优化方案在满足承载力和变形的条件下，在降低造价成本方面优势非常明显。     

基于Kriging模型的环形桁架可展天线结构参数优化方法

针对传统结构动力学优化过程中求解效率较低的问题,以环形桁架可展天线结构参数优化为研究背景,在环形桁架可展天线结构的参数变量空间中,以试验设计方法选取样本点,通过有限元方法得到各个样本点的第一阶固有频率、固定载荷最大变形等响应值,利用样本点和响应值的关系建立Kriging近似模型进行优化算法的寻优,得到满足所有约束条件的最优解。结果表明,所得到的环形桁架可展天线第一阶固有频率、固定载荷最大变形的响应面呈现比较明显的非线性关系,基于Kriging模型的结构优化方法能比较准确地对环形桁架可展天线进行寻优设计。     

随机需求下供应商主导的多轮次协调模型

针对随机需求下供应链的供销订购冲突问题,提出一种基于Stackelberg主从对策的供应链多轮次协调订货机制,供应商作为主方制定批发价,零售商作为从方以最优订货量和零售价响应,供应商和零售商进行多轮次自主协调。利用粒子群优化算法和遗传算法对该模型进行仿真计算,仿真结果表明:批发价让步策略可以提高整个供应链的利润,验证了粒子群算法在最优解、求解速率和稳定性方面比遗传算法均要更优。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.