一种新的柴油机润滑油发射光谱数据综合评价方法

对两台船舶主柴油机润滑油进行了长期监测,应用原子发射光谱仪对采集的36个油样进行了测试。采用基于熵权法的模糊综合评价对各元素进行了权重赋值,并依据权重选取11个元素中的5个主要作用元素进行了数据综合评价,按照正常、注意、警告、异常4个状态对装备磨损状态进行了分类。研究结果表明:所提出的油液原子发射光谱数据综合评价方法能够客观、准确地获取装备磨损状态,其评价结果与实际磨损状态相符,为装备的使用与维护提供了有效的技术依据。     

基于磨损的柴油机性能灰色预测

柴油机性能传统的预测方法需要大量的统计数据,在数据较少的情况下无法使用.文中对磨损与漏气量的关系以及漏气量对柴油机性能的影响进行了分析,基于一组磨损与漏气量的数据,采用灰色预测理论对柴油机性能进行了预测.结果表明,预测值与实测值两者基本一致.     

基于多信息的柴油机缸套磨损故障诊断研究

采用了模糊神经网络模型,对柴油机缸套磨损故障以及缸套破坏性磨损故障进行了诊断研究.通过缸套磨损故障的模拟实验,获取柴油机机身振动和铁谱分析等多源多维故障信息,并对融合故障信息进行预处理,解决了模糊神经网络输入矢量的模糊特性化、输出矢量的隶属函数及网络的学习训练问题,对缸套不同磨损故障进行了诊断.研究表明,这种基于多信息的诊断方法减小了故障诊断的不确定性,提高了诊断精度.     

柴油机“拉缸”故障监测及自行修复

本文在试验研究的基础上介绍了柴油机的人工“拉缸”故障,以及故障监测的主要方法。特别是利用柴油机滑油油样的光谱和铁谱联合诊断对“拉缸”故障进行的监测工作。可以看出:柴油机发生“拉缸”故障时,光谱分析铁含量及铁谱分析磨损严重度指数I_s值,都有明显的增长趋势。若通过故障监测多种手段的综合分析,可以对故障信息作出先期预报,从而防止严重事故的发生。文章的后一部分介绍了柴油机初期“拉缸”后,可以不拆卸柴油机通过合理的再磨合工况,利用可控的粘着磨损,获得新的匹配光浩度,达到自行修复的目的。     

基于转速分析的柴油机加速性能和气缸气密性的评价方法

对不同使用摩托小时的坦克柴油机的加速、减速时间进行检测和分析,利用Bayes Bootstrap模拟统计方法对转速特征值进行处理,获得了更准确的特征分布．采用动态聚类方法对样本特征进行分类,实现了对柴油机加速性能和气缸气密性的等级评价．     

某型柴油发动机油液监测光谱信息分析

运用油液监测技术连续5年对近600台次某型履带式车辆做了跟踪监测,并利用互信息理论对某型柴油发动机的光谱数据进行处理,发现了磨损元素的相关性,得出构成某型柴油发动机的主要磨损元素是铁、硅、铝和铬,比较重要的磨损部位发生在活塞—缸体部位。     

基于投影寻踪模型的装甲输送车发动机磨损监测

为分析某型装甲输送车发动机的磨损状态,针对油液监测中元素多、数据维数高的问题,应用投影寻踪法,对油液监测标准和监测样本进行分析,建立了投影寻踪模型,确定了投影特征值变化区域与磨损状态分类的对应关系,拟合了摩托小时和投影特征值的关系,实现了对监测样本的评价和对发动机状态的预测,为降低维修成本、实现装备预防性维修、提高战备完好率水平提供科学依据。     

电刷镀Ni镀层在海水中的腐蚀磨损试验

研究了电刷镀Ni镀层在海水中腐蚀磨损的失重情况。应用扫描电镜(SEM)和能谱仪(EDS)分别观测了Ni镀层在海水中腐蚀磨损后的形貌,并进行了成分分析,结果表明:Ni镀层腐蚀磨损后表面新增加了C、lO、Fe等元素,镀层表面除了有犁削沟槽,局部还出现了被海水腐蚀溶解的形貌。通过腐蚀磨损协同率计算得出:Ni镀层在海水中腐蚀磨损时,腐蚀与磨损发生了正协同作用,但磨损是材料流失的主要形式。     

基于声测法的齿轮箱齿轮故障诊断研究

分析了齿轮箱故障机理及其与噪声信号的内在联系 ,利用声检测原理对齿轮箱工作状态进行了监测实验 ,分析处理了系统正常和故障工况下的声学及振动信号 ,并通过倒频谱分析方法进行特征参量提取 ,成功地判断出了齿面磨损故障。     

基于比例危险模型的船用柴油机视情维修决策

针对船用柴油机视情维修决策问题,采用威布尔比例危险模型描述了系统状态与故障率之间的关系,利用核主成分分析对协变量进行了去相关和约简处理,以平均费用最小为决策目标,建立了视情维修的最优维修策略模型,并根据设备当前状态信息来判断是否需要进行维修。实例分析表明：该方法有效融合了历史故障信息和运行状态信息,提高了柴油机可用度,降低了维修保障费用。     

An Unlikely Alliance: Portuguese and South African Airpower in Angola, 1968–1974

The war that Portugal was obliged to fight in Africa began in 1961 and immediately stretched the resources of its armed forces. Nowhere was this thinness more apparent than in policing the vast territory of Angola. The east and southeast of Angola were particularly vulnerable, as the area was a vast, sparsely populated region characterised by enormous featureless plains or chanas covered in tall grass and broken by an extensive river system and mountainous forests. The only military solution to policing these immense spaces was aviation and specifically the helicopter that could carry troops into battle, protect them with a gunship and bring them home when the operation was concluded. The immediate problem for the Portuguese Air Force (Força Aérea Portuguesa or FAP) in Angola and elsewhere was a scarcity of helicopters. The solution was an alliance with South Africa, which had a strong inventory of Alouette IIIs, to help in policing the east. This move was likewise in the interest of South Africa, as its threat came from Zambia through south-eastern Angola. This article examines the strategic and tactical development of this unusual, cross-cultural alliance and the symbiotic relationship that resulted in destruction of the enemies of both in Angola.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

国内外结构钢焊条研究的现状与发展

本文主要介绍了国外焊条的现状和发展趋势,包括焊条的高韧性、高效率、低尘低毒和耐吸潮性能,为国内的焊条研究提供了参考依据。     

A Sign of Victory?: ‘Scottish Swords’ and Other Weapons in the Possession of the ‘Auld Innemie’

Many late medieval documents, notably inventories of arms and armour, of Englishmen contain references to ‘Scottish swords’ and other weapons. What did the compilers of these documents mean when they described a weapon as ‘Scottish’? How did such weapons come to be in the possession of these men? This article will attempt to explain this phenomenon drawing on primary documentary sources and surviving material culture from Glasgow Museums’ collections and others, as well as artworks from the period.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Cyberpower in Strategic Affairs: Neither Unthinkable nor Blessed

Abstract

This article explores the effect of connectivity on strategic affairs. It argues that the effect on war's character is potentially, although not yet shown in practice, considerably large. Its effect upon the distribution of power among states in the international system is small, contrary to the claims of ‘cyberwar’ alarmists. All told, however, its effect upon strategic affairs is complex. On the one hand, it represents a significant advance in the ‘complexification’ of state strategies, understood in the sense of the production of intended effects. On the other hand, strategists today – still predominantly concerned with the conflicts and confrontations of states and organised military power – are generally missing the power which non-traditional strategic actors, better adapted to the network flows of the information age, are beginning to deploy. These new forms of organization and coercion will challenge the status quo.