基于排队论的机要保障装备系统建模与优化

运用排队论的理论和方法对由机要保障装备构成的随机服务系统进行建模和优化.首先通过建模分析得出该系统符合M/G/c/c/(模型,进而从不用的应用角度建立系统效能模型和愿望模型来实现系统的优化设计,最后通过对实验数据的分析得到一些有用的结论并给出效能模型中参数的参考取值范围.     

基于利益共享的军事供应链协作模型研究

供应链协作是指供应链成员为了满足用户的需求将合适的产品、以恰当的方式、在恰当的时间送达到合适的地点的所有活动。文章拟定由军队采购部门和一级供应商组成军事供应链,根据军事效用与军事需求的相关性构造了军事需求函数,并借助报童模型重点分析了利益主体之间的利益分配决策,最后得出利益共享合约参数的取值范围。     

常系数αβ滤波器参数的计算机优化设计研究

给出了αβ滤波器的参数α和β与方差压缩系数、阻尼系数和阻尼振荡频率的关系公式,从系统稳定的角度对αβ滤波器的参数取值范围进行了讨论,对αβ参数的优化设计方法进行了研究,建立了优化设计模型,用Matlab编写了优化设计程序,并通过两个设计实例检验了模型的正确性。     

气动参数不确定度对防空导弹制导精度的影响北大核心

防空导弹制导精度的提高对气动参数的精确性提出了更高的要求。在导弹的方案论证阶段,针对数值计算气动参数的不确定度进行了分析,并利用区间分析法得出不确定度范围。建立导弹制导控制六自由度仿真模型,完成不同速度区间下气动参数不确定度对防空导弹制导精度的影响分析。根据对仿真结果的分析,给出了在制导精度约束下,数值计算气动参数精细化设计方案。     

基于灰色关联决策的雷达组网四抗能力综合评估

雷达组网四抗能力的综合评估是一个多属性决策问题.要指挥员明确给出不同指标的权重常常有些困难,指挥员通常只能给出评价指标权重的大致取值范围.基于灰色关联决策理论,建立了四抗能力的综合评估模型,避免了求取属性权重估计值的计算,并能反应指挥员对组网方案的偏重.     

气动参数不确定度对防空导弹制导精度的影响

防空导弹制导精度的提高对气动参数的精确性提出了更高的要求。在导弹的方案论证阶段,针对数值计算气动参数的不确定度进行了分析,并利用区间分析法得出不确定度范围。建立导弹制导控制六自由度仿真模型,完成不同速度区间下气动参数不确定度对防空导弹制导精度的影响分析。根据对仿真结果的分析,给出了在制导精度约束下,数值计算气动参数精细化设计方案。     

基于不完全信息空战的火力分配建模与应用

为了解决不完全信息空战中的火力分配问题,分析了常规空战火力分配模型,指出了其中的不足,建立了一种改进的火力分配模型。针对不完全信息空战特点,给出了其中关键参数的确定方法。该改进模型可有效利用战机在不完全信息条件下容易获取的有限参数进行火力分配,具有很强的实用性。最后通过典型应用实例验证了模型的有效性。     

基于不完全信息空战的火力分配建模与应用

为了解决不完全信息空战中的火力分配问题,分析了常规空战火力分配模型,指出了其中的不足,建立了一种改进的火力分配模型.针对不完全信息空战特点,给出了其中关键参数的确定方法.该改进模型可有效利用战机在不完全信息条件下容易获取的有限参数进行火力分配,具有很强的实用性.最后通过典型应用实例验证了模型的有效性.     

舰载无人机光电载荷对海上目标搜索决策分析

构建了光电载荷对海面目标收容能力分析模型,提出了＂收容畸变率＂的概念,给出了光电载荷在不同视场角下的最小可用视轴俯角和理论最大探测距离,为光电载荷对海搜索理论与方法的研究确定了逻辑起点;构建了＂搜索参数＂限制分析模型,给出了光电载荷的理论＂搜参＂范围,为实用＂搜参＂范围的确定奠定了基础;提出了光电载荷＂海面分辨力＂的概念,建立了海面分辨力计算模型,给出了光电载荷针对不同的海面目标的实用＂搜参＂范围。     

基于改进遗传算法的防空火力优化分配方法

结合地空导弹部队防空作战的特点,提出了基于改进遗传算法的防空火力优化分配模型,给出了模型求解的方法和步骤,详细阐述了改进遗传算法在防空火力分配中的应用,通过在计算机上仿真运行实例得出了火力分配方案,通过仿真证明本方法运算速度较快,结果精度较高,对地面防空火力分配决策研究具有一定的参考价值。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

SIM—LISP:一个通信网络管理专家系统外壳的设计与实现

本文介绍了笔者为开发名为OONMES的网络管理专家系统所实现的一个简单专家系统工具SIM-LISP。SIM-LISP是一个用C/C++语言来实现的模拟LISP语言的可调用函数集,它短小精巧,速度快,可以完成针对网管专家系统的事实或规则知识的表示、匹配、合一和推理等基本操作,并有与知识对象的连接功能,是网管专家系统内核实现的支撑环境。     

Al Qaida on the US invasion of Afghanistan in their own words

This article consists of selected translations from captured interviews and dairies of Al Qaida members. The time period covered is from mid-2001 to early 2002 and concerns their operations in Afghanistan. The material clearly conveys a range of emotion, from confident to despondent, as well as efforts to contest the US actions. The first several pages give the reader context and some possible “lessons learned,” but the story(ies) are best told by the Al Qaida members themselves. All names are pseudonyms.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.