Characterizations of the exponential distribution by higher-order gap

Suppose X₁,X₂, ?,X_n is a random sample of size n from a continuous distribution function F(x) and let X_1,n, ≦ X_2,n ≦ ? ≦ X_n,n be the corresponding order statistics. We define the jth-order gap g_i,j as g_i,j = X_i+j,n ? X_i,n, 1 ≦ i < n, 1 ≦ j ≦ n ? i. In this article characterizations of the exponential distribution are given by considering the distributional properties of g_k,n-k, 1 ≦ k ≦ n.     

Confidence intervals for ranked means

Suppose that observations from populations π₁, …, π_k (k ≥ 1) are normally distributed with unknown means μ₁., μ_k, respectively, and a common known variance σ². Let μ_[1] μ … ≤ μ_[k] denote the ranked means. We take n independent observations from each population, denote the sample mean of the n observation from π₁ by X _i (i = 1, …, k), and define the ranked sample means X _[1] ≤ … ≤ X _[k]. The problem of confidence interval estimation of μ₍₁₎, …,μ_[k] is stated and related to previous work (Section 1). The following results are obtained (Section 2). For i = 1, …, k and any γ(0 < γ < 1) an upper confidence interval for μ_[i] with minimal probability of coverage γ is (? ∞, X _[i]+ h) with h = (σ/n^1/2) Φ^?1(γ^1/k-i+1), where Φ(·) is the standard normal cdf. A lower confidence interval for μ_[i] with minimal probability of coverage γ is (X _i[i] – g, + ∞) with g = (σ/n^1/2) Φ^?1(γ^1/i). For the upper confidence interval on μ_[i] the maximal probability of coverage is 1– [1 – γ^1/k-i+1]ⁱ, while for the lower confidence interval on μ_[i] the maximal probability of coverage is 1–[1– γ^1/i] ^k-i+¹. Thus the maximal overprotection can always be calculated. The overprotection is tabled for k = 2, 3. These results extend to certain translation parameter families. It is proven that, under a bounded completeness condition, a monotone upper confidence interval h(X ₁, …, X _k) for μ_[i] with probability of coverage γ(0 < γ < 1) for all μ = (μ_[1], …,μ_[k]), does not exist.     

Estimating value in a uniform auction

Consider an auction in which increasing bids are made in sequence on an object whose value θ is known to each bidder. Suppose n bids are received, and the distribution of each bid is conditionally uniform. More specifically, suppose the first bid X₁ is uniformly distributed on [0, θ], and the i^th bid is uniformly distributed on [X_i?1, θ] for i = 2, …?, n. A scenario in which this auction model is appropriate is described. We assume that the value θ is un known to the statistician and must be esimated from the sample X₁, X₂, …?, X_n. The best linear unbiased estimate of θ is derived. The invariance of the estimation problem under scale transformations in noted, and the best invariant estimation problem under scale transformations is noted, and the best invariant estimate of θ under loss L(θ, a) = [(a/θ) ? 1]² is derived. It is shown that this best invariant estimate has uniformly smaller mean-squared error than the best linear unbiased estimate, and the ratio of the mean-squared errors is estimated from simulation experiments. A Bayesian formulation of the estimation problem is also considered, and a class of Bayes estimates is explicitly derived.     

On estimating the reliability of a component subject to several different stresses (strengths)

This paper is concerned with estimating p = P(X₁ < Y …, X_n < Y) or q =P (X < Y₁, …, X < Y_n) where the X's and Y's are all independent random variables. Applications to estimation of the reliability p from stress-strength relationships are considered where a component is subject to several stresses X₁, X₂, …, X_N whereas its strength, Y, is a single random variable. Similarly, the reliability q is of interest where a component is made of several parts all with their individual strengths Y₁, Y₂ …, Y_N and a single stress X is applied to the component. When the X's and Y's are independent and normal, maximum likelihood estimates of p and q have been obtained. For the case N = 2 and in some special cases, minimum variance unbiased estimates have been given. When the Y's are all exponential and the X is normal with known variance, but unknown mean (or uniform between 0 and θ, θ being unknown) the minimum variance unbiased estimate of q is established in this paper.     

Testing fit with nuisance location and scale parameters

For each n, X₁(n),…, X_n(n) are independent and identically distributed random variables, each with cumulative distribution function F(x) which is known to be absolutely continuous but is otherwise unknown. The problem is to test the hypothesis that \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ F(x) = G\left( {{\textstyle{{x - \theta _1 } \over {\theta _2 }}}} \right) $\end{document}, where the cumulative distribution function G_x is completely specified and satisfies certain regularity conditions, and the parameters θ₁, θ₂ are unknown and unspecified, except that the scale parameter θ₂, is positive. Y₁ (n) ≦ Y₂ (n) ≦ … ≦ Y_n (n)are the ordered values of X₁(n),…, X_n(n). A test based on a certain subset of {Y_i(n)} is proposed, is shown to have asymptotically a normal distribution when the hypothesis is true, and is shown to be consistent against all alternatives satisfying a mild regularity condition.     

A note on a prediction interval for a first-order Gauss Markov process

Let X_t, t = 1,2, ?, be a stationary Gaussian Markov process with E(X_t) = μ and Cov(X_t, X_t+k) = σ²ρ^k. We derive a prediction interval for X_2n+1 based on the preceding 2n observations X₁,X₂, ?,X_2n.     

The asymptotic distribution of order statistics

For each n., X₁(n), X₂(n), …, X_n(n) are IID, with common pdf f_n(x). y₁(n) < … < Y_n (n) are the ordered values of X₁ (n), …, X_n(n). K_n is a positive integer, with lim K_n = ∞. Under certain conditions on K_n and f_n (x), it was shown in an earlier paper that the joint distribution of a special set of K_n + 1 of the variables Y₁ (n), …, Y_n (n) can be assumed to be normal for all asymptotic probability calculations. In another paper, it was shown that if f_n (x) approaches the pdf which is uniform over (0, 1) at a certain rate as n increases, then the conditional distribution of the order statistics not in the special set can be assumed to be uniform for all asymptotic probability calculations. The present paper shows that even if f_n (x) does not approach the uniform distribution as n increases, the distribution of the order statistics contained between order statistics in the special set can be assumed to be the distribution of a quadratic function of uniform random variables, for all asymptotic probability calculations. Applications to statistical inference are given.     

Pseudo-monotonic interval programming

A pseudo-monotonic interval program is a problem of maximizing f(x) subject to x ε X = {x ε Rⁿ | a < Ax < b, a, b ε R^m} where f is a pseudomonotonic function on X, the set defined by the linear interval constraints. In this paper, an algorithm to solve the above program is proposed. The algorithm is based on solving a finite number of linear interval programs whose solutions techniques are well known. These optimal solutions then yield an optimal solution of the proposed pseudo-monotonic interval program.     

Openshop scheduling under linear resources constraints

Consider n jobs (J₁, …, J_n), m working stations (M₁, …, M_m) and λ linear resources (R₁, …, R_λ). Job J_i consists of m operations (O_i1, …, O_im). Operation O_ij requires P_k(i, j) units of resource R_k to be realized in an M_j. The availability of resource R_k and the ability of the working station M_h to consume resource R_k, vary over time. An operation involving more than one resource consumes them in constant proportions equal to those in which they are required. The order in which operations are realized is immaterial. We seek an allocation of the resources such that the schedule length is minimized. In this paper, polynomial algorithms are developed for several problems, while NP-hardness is demonstrated for several others. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 51–66, 1998     

Decomposition algorithms for minimal cut problems

Consider a network G(N. A) with n nodes, where node 1 designates its source node and node n designates its sink node. The cuts (Z_i, =), i= 1…, n - 1 are called one-node cuts if 1 ? Z_i,. n q Z_i, Z₁-_? {1}, Z_i ? Z_i+1 and Z_i and Z_i+l differ by only one node. It is shown that these one-node cuts decompose G into 1 m n/2 subnetworks with known minimal cuts. Under certain circumstances, the proposed one-node decomposition can produce a minimal cut for G in 0(n² ) machine operations. It is also shown that, under certain conditions, one-node cuts produce no decomposition. An alternative procedure is also introduced to overcome this situation. It is shown that this alternative procedure has the computational complexity of 0(n³).     

Estimation of ordered parameters from k stochastically increasing distributions

There are given k (? 2) univariate cumulative distribution functions (c.d.f.'s) G(x; θ_i) indexed by a real-valued parameter θ_i, i=1,…, k. Assume that G(x; θ_i) is stochastically increasing in θ_i. In this paper interval estimation on the i^th smallest of the θ's and related topics are studied. Applications are considered for location parameter, normal variance, binomial parameter, and Poisson parameter.     

An algorithm for separable piecewise convex programming problems

We present a branch and bound algorithm to solve mathematical programming problems of the form: Find x =|(x₁,…x_n) to minimize Σ?_i0(x₁) subject to x?G, l≦x≦L and Σ?_i0(x₁)≦0, j=1,…,m. With l=(l₁,…,l_n) and L=(L₁,…,L_n), each ?_ij is assumed to be lower aemicontinuous and piecewise convex on the finite interval [l_i.L_i]. G is assumed to be a closed convex set. The algorithm solves a finite sequence of convex programming problems; these correspond to successive partitions of the set C={x|l ≦ x ≦L} on the bahis of the piecewise convexity of the problem functions ?_ij. Computational considerations are discussed, and an illustrative example is presented.     

Finite Markov chain models skip-free in one direction

Finite Markov processes are considered, with bidimensional state space, such that transitions from state (n, i) to state (m, j) are possible only if m ≤ n + 1. The analysis leads to efficient computational algorithms, to determine the stationary probability distribution, and moments of first passage times.     

Distribution of sample correlation coefficients

Let (Y, X_l,…, X_K) be a random vector distributed according to a multivariate normal distribution where X_l,…, X_K are considered as predictor variables and y is the predictand. Let r_i, and R_i denote the population and sample correlation coefficients, respectively, between Y and X_i. The population correlation coefficient r_i is a measure of the predictive power of X_i. The author has derived the joint distribution of R_l,…, R_K and its asymptotic property. The given result is useful in the problem of selecting the most important predictor variable corresponding to the largest absolute value of r_i.     

Some properties and computational results for a general repair process

We consider a general repair process where the virtual age V_i after the ith repair is given by V_i = ϕ(V_i−1 + X_i), ϕ(·) is a specified repair functional, and X_i is the time between the (i − 1)th and ith repair. Some monotonicity and dominance properties are derived, and an equilibrium process is considered. A computational method for evaluating the expected number/density of repairs is described together with an approximation method for obtaining some parameters of the equilibrium process. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 391–405, 1998     

Mathematical aspects of the 3 × n job-shop sequencing problem

The paper discusses mathematical properties of the well-known Bellman-Johnson 3 × n sequencing problem. Optimal rules for some special cases are developed. For the case min B_i ≥ maxA_j we find an optimal sequence of the 2 × n problem for machines B and C and move one item to the front of the sequence to minimize (7); when min B_i ≥ max C_j we solve a 2 × n problem for machines A and B and move one item to the end of the optimal sequence so as to minimize (9). There is also given a sufficient optimality condition for a solution obtained by Johnson's approximate method. This explains why this method so often produces an optimal solution.     

IFR results for repairable systems

Consider a k-out-of-n system with independent repairable components. Assume that the repair and failure distributions are exponential with parameters {μ₁, ?,μ_n} and {λ₁, ?,λ_n}, respectively. In this article we show that if λ_i – μ_i = Δ for all i then the life distribution of the system is increasing failure rate (IFR).     

Technical note: Find a hidden “treasure”

This paper deals with a two searchers game and it investigates the problem of how the possibility of finding a hidden object simultaneously by players influences their behavior. Namely, we consider the following two‐sided allocation non‐zero‐sum game on an integer interval [1,n]. Two teams (Player 1 and 2) want to find an immobile object (say, a treasure) hidden at one of n points. Each point i ∈ [1,n] is characterized by a detection parameter λ_i (μ_i) for Player 1 (Player 2) such that p_i(1 ? exp(?λ_ix_i)) (p_i(1 ? exp(?μ_iy_i))) is the probability that Player 1 (Player 2) discovers the hidden object with amount of search effort x_i (y_i) applied at point i where p_i ∈ (0,1) is the probability that the object is hidden at point i. Player 1 (Player 2) undertakes the search by allocating the total amount of effort X(Y). The payoff for Player 1 (Player 2) is 1 if he detects the object but his opponent does not. If both players detect the object they can share it proportionally and even can pay some share to an umpire who takes care that the players do not cheat each other, namely Player 1 gets q₁ and Player 2 gets q₂ where q₁ + q₂ ≤ 1. The Nash equilibrium of this game is found and numerical examples are given. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

On the first time a separately maintained parallel system has been down for a fixed time

Consider a system consisting of n separately maintained independent components where the components alternate between intervals in which they are “up” and in which they are “down”. When the i^th component goes up [down] then, independent of the past, it remains up [down] for a random length of time, having distribution F_i[G_i], and then goes down [up]. We say that component i is failed at time t if it has been “down” at all time points s ?[t-A.t]: otherwise it is said to be working. Thus, a component is failed if it is down and has been down for the previous A time units. Assuming that all components initially start “up,” let T denote the first time they are all failed, at which point we say the system is failed. We obtain the moment-generating function of T when n = l, for general F and G, thus generalizing previous results which assumed that at least one of these distributions be exponential. In addition, we present a condition under which T is an NBU (new better than used) random variable. Finally we assume that all the up and down distributions F_i and G_i i = l,….n, are exponential, and we obtain an exact expression for E(T) for general n; in addition we obtain bounds for all higher moments of T by showing that T is NBU.     

Optimal arrangement of systems

To location L_i we are to allocate a “generator” and n_i “machines” for i = 1, …,k, where n₁ … n₁ ≧ … ≧ n_k. Although the generators and machines function independently of one another, a machine is operable only if it and the generator at its location are functioning. The problem we consider is that of finding the arrangement or allocation optimizing the number of operable machines. We show that if the objective is to maximize the expected number of operable machines at some future time, then it is best to allocate the best generator and the n₁ best machines to location L₁, the second-best generator and the n₂-next-best machines to location L₂, etc. However, this arrangement is not always stochastically optimal. For the case of two generators we give a necessary and sufficient condition that this arrangement is stochastically best, and illustrate the result with several examples.