基于Petri网的信息作战指挥协同流程建模与分析

信息作战指挥协同流程是影响其作战效能的重要因素。研究了信息作战指挥协同的基本内容,设计了信息作战指挥协同流程的框架,建立了基于Petri网的信息作战指挥协同流程模型,并利用仿真软件分析了模型的可用性、状态可达性、信息利用率等性能指标。结果表明,使用Petri网方法对信息作战指挥协同流程建模具有可行性。     

地空导弹作战单元指挥控制系统初始化探讨

地空导弹作战单元指挥控制系统初始化数据模型是围绕防空作战各阶段的战术行动数据需求而建立的,是自动化指挥系统初始化软件设计的依据,也是指挥机关和指挥所作战指挥必须遵守的条令.针对作战单元指挥控制系统初始化中的掩护对象信息、射击指挥区、主要责任扇区、作战空域、指挥控制方式、作战准则等主要问题进行了初步探讨,为指挥控制系统研制和作战使用提供有价值信息.     

基于系统动力学的防空作战指挥关键因素分析

防空作战指挥效能的高低,对整个防空作战结局有着重要的影响.基于系统动力学的方法对防空作战指挥效能进行评估,分析了影响指挥效能的关键因素.进而提出加强对防空作战指挥不确定决策方法的研究和优化防空作战指挥体制两项对策措施以提高指挥效能.     

掩护潜艇展开组织指挥的研究

为正确指挥掩护潜艇展开到敌封锁区后作战,对潜艇展开过程进行简要分析,根据潜艇展开的敌情威胁确定掩护兵力的作战任务,从而研究并确定了对潜艇展开掩护行动的指挥组织关系、指挥方式和指挥内容.有助于作战、训练时组织和指挥掩护潜艇展开的作战行动.     

网络空间作战计划要素分析

为适应未来网络空间作战指挥需求,结合网络空间作战行动实际,基于作战指挥基础理论,通过保留共有、删除不涉及和增加独有的方法,将网络空间作战计划要素的种类划分为作战态势分析、任务划分和指挥保障3个部分,并对各要素内容进行了分析,研究结果可为网络空间作战计划相关研究提供理论参考。     

联合作战条件下指挥信息系统建设研究

指挥信息系统是联合作战条件下军队指挥的主要手段。为了推动我军指挥信息系统的建设,分析了基于信息系统的作战体系,阐明了指挥信息系统在作战体系中的基础支撑作用;在新的联合作战指挥体制下,对指挥信息系统的建设内容进行了说明;从联合系统构建、作战数据建设与管理、系统持续改进和系统培训与应用等方面,阐述了指挥信息系统构建与使用的建议。     

作战指挥实验室是走向未来胜利的起点

美军为了应付未来的战争,建立了“２１世纪的军队”。为了探索“２１世纪军队”的战斗力,美军建立了一系列作战指挥实验室。本文讨论了“作战指挥”这个术语的内涵和作用,介绍美军的作战指挥实验室;为提高陆军未来指挥能力,对作战指挥的新方法、新体制和新技术进行的研究和实验。     

基于信息流的作战指挥流程优化探析

作战指挥流程从一定意义上说,是传递指挥信息,形成指挥信息流的过程。文章基于信息流的时效性、准确性、关联性等特点,着重从缩短指挥流程时间、提高指挥流程质量和增强指挥流程效能等方面对作战指挥流程进行了优化研究。     

面向无人化陆战的指挥控制系统智能化运用

针对面向无人化陆战的智能指挥控制系统开展研究,并分析其智能化运用方式.从作战样式、作战任务、装备编配4个方面对未来无人化陆战的特征进行分析.从情报数据挖掘、态势融合共享、指挥自主决策等方面,分析了指挥控制系统智能化发展能力需求,建立智能指挥控制系统能力型谱.最后,构建了包含基础层和决策层的智能指挥控制系统架构,在此基础上提出了遵循OODA的智能指挥控制系统模型,并以作战活动视图对智能指挥控制系统的作战活动过程进行描述.通过对智能指挥控制系统能力需求、系统架构以及智能化运用方式的分析研究,可为指挥控制系统智能化发展提供参考和借鉴,为智能指挥控制系统在未来陆战场的合理应用指明了方向与突破口.     

数字化条件下野战炮兵的未来

通过对近几场局部战争中野战炮兵使用现状的分析,探讨数字化给野战炮兵作战指挥、作战方式、武器装备、生存能力及后勤保障等带来的影响,分析数字化战场对野战炮兵使用提出的新需求,以及在这种新需求的推动下,野战炮兵装备、指挥、使用等研究的进展情况和发展趋势.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

SIM—LISP:一个通信网络管理专家系统外壳的设计与实现

本文介绍了笔者为开发名为OONMES的网络管理专家系统所实现的一个简单专家系统工具SIM-LISP。SIM-LISP是一个用C/C++语言来实现的模拟LISP语言的可调用函数集,它短小精巧,速度快,可以完成针对网管专家系统的事实或规则知识的表示、匹配、合一和推理等基本操作,并有与知识对象的连接功能,是网管专家系统内核实现的支撑环境。     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Al Qaida on the US invasion of Afghanistan in their own words

This article consists of selected translations from captured interviews and dairies of Al Qaida members. The time period covered is from mid-2001 to early 2002 and concerns their operations in Afghanistan. The material clearly conveys a range of emotion, from confident to despondent, as well as efforts to contest the US actions. The first several pages give the reader context and some possible “lessons learned,” but the story(ies) are best told by the Al Qaida members themselves. All names are pseudonyms.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.