卫星位置视觉测量

目前卫星轨道参数的测量主要依靠地面测控站的无线电测量,使得测量受限于测控站的观测弧段;另一方面随着深空探测的不断深入,也对现有测控方法提出了新的挑战。利用卫星上已有的相机通过景象匹配对卫星自身位置进行精确测量,可以有效摆脱地面测量观测弧段和测量距离的约束。本文提出了一种基于星载实时图与基准图匹配的视觉测轨方法:通过景象匹配建立实时图中特征点与基准图的对应关系,再根据成像关系解算卫星的三维位置。利用卫星获取的立体图像和轨道测量数据进行了验证实验,证明了本文提出的方法具有较高的精度,实现了地基无线电测轨和视觉测轨的相互验证。本文提出的视觉测轨方法可以弥补现有测轨方式的不足,减轻地面测控系统负担,在深空探测等领域具有良好的应用前景。     

测控站布局对区域卫星导航系统的影响

建立区域卫星导航系统的测控网是卫星导航系统要解决的关键问题之一。讨论国内测控站的布设问题,采用网格计算方法分析国内测控站对导航星座的可观测性。引入位置精度衰减因子PDOP和定轨中的法矩阵条件数,分析测控网对导航星座的观测几何结构强度以及测站位置分布对轨道确定精度的影响,仿真结果表明,利用我国有限的国土跨度和航天测控资源可以确保对导航卫星的测控任务的完成。对在国外布设测控站进行讨论和仿真,结果说明位于国外的测控站(如可在澳大利亚的珀斯设站)的加入能明显改善观测的几何结构强度、提高导航卫星的轨道精度。     

“嫦娥二号”后续小行星飞越探测任务设计

为了实现对4179小行星飞越之后的嫦娥二号卫星的最大限度利用,提出了后续小行星飞越探测计划,研究了相关飞行任务设计。基于嫦娥二号卫星轨道、剩余燃料和测控距离等约束,设计了能量最优的转移轨道,给出了合适的小行星交会目标。研究了不同轨道控制方式下的转移轨道中途修正。基于我国深空测控网分布,分析了嫦娥二号后续小行星飞越探测任务的测控情况。研究结果表明,基于嫦娥二号剩余燃料,合适的飞越探测目标为小行星1997XF11和2005VS,转移过程中我国深空测控站每天可以实现8h以上跟踪,中途修正速度增量小于10m/s。     

地月转移轨道的天基测向初轨确定研究

研究了利用天基测向数据对地月转移轨道的初轨确定。天基平台分别考虑采用单颗卫星和星座卫星,研究了观测数据的噪声平滑,分析了观测弧段长度和观测几何对两种平台的定轨精度的影响,基于数值分析结果,研究了初定轨中系统差的消除。研究结果表明,星座双星同步定轨比较适用于地月转移轨道的天基测向初定轨。     

基于星间测距和地面发射源的导航星座整网自主定轨

导航卫星星座自主定轨技术是我国新一代卫星导航系统的关键技术之一.但是仅仅依靠星间相互测距定轨会因缺少地面基准而出现基准秩亏现象.针对这个问题,提出利用少量地面发射源随机工作的方式提供地面基准,将星间测距和地面发射源信息融合起来进行星座整网定轨,进一步提高定轨精度.最后利用仿真实验对该方法的合理有效性进行了验证.     

单站单圈卫星初轨确定方法研究

为实现低轨卫星轨道的快速确定和预报,基于单站单圈雷达站测量数据采用遗传算法和最小二乘法对卫星初轨确定及轨道预测问题进行了研究。通过比较分析不同观测误差下两种方法的仿真结果,验证了初轨确定过程中两种方法的可行性,同时指出了各自的优缺点和适用条件,为不同观测条件下卫星最优初轨确定的方法提供了参考。     

针对高空探测火箭的实时高精度定位算法

随着高空探测火箭探测高度的提升,GPS导航系统无法满足其在3 000 km以上的定位需求,且通常应用于卫星精密定轨的传统统计定轨理论也难以实现。从高空探测火箭快速实时定位解算需求出发,针对地基导航、箭上自主解算实时定位方式,结合导航系统误差模型和轨道动力学特性,提出了一种实时高精度定位解算的方法。采用试验数据和误差辨识,完善地基导航系统误差模型,建立动力学卡尔曼滤波算法方程对定位数据进行滤波,实现快速实时高精度定轨。该方法省去了轨道积分过程,提高定位精度和解算效率。     

单星对卫星的仅测角被动定轨跟踪方法研究

针对单星对卫星被动定轨时使用经典轨道根数作为状态变量可能存在奇点且测量方程变量及相应坐标转换缺乏物理意义等问题,提出一种新的基于J2000.0惯性系的单星对卫星扩展Kalman滤波仅测角被动定轨跟踪方法,并对测量方程中的变量及其坐标转换进行明确定义;同时对状态预测方程、状态转移矩阵及测量雅可比矩阵进行详细推导,最后通过STK6.0仿真场景产生的数据对算法在不同初始状态误差和测角精度下的性能进行对比分析和仿真验证。多次仿真结果表明:该算法实现了单颗高轨卫星(准同步轨道)通过仅测量角度对圆轨道(e=0)低轨卫星辐射源的被动定轨和跟踪,当测角精度优于平均角度变化量时,滤波收敛所需时间及估计误差都大大减小,且该算法对滤波初始误差也具有较好的适应性。     

基于X射线脉冲星的Halo轨道卫星自主导航和控轨

讨论x射线脉冲星自主导航（X—raypulsar-basedautonomousnavigation,XNAV）技术应用于halo轨道卫星的可行性。给出halo轨道卫星的6维状态方程和基于x射线脉冲星导航的6维观测方程,对用x射线脉冲星导航和小推力方法控轨后的日地系第一平动点halo轨道卫星进行了数值模拟。结果表明：在现有的测量精度下,可以将卫星保持在标准轨道附近。最后对实验参数数值的选择给出了相应的分析讨论。     

基于压缩估计的单星观测定轨方法研究

分析了单星观测模式下的天基测控系统的可行性,并针对该观测模式下轨道确定中法矩阵的特点,提出了一种基于压缩估计的定轨方法,该方法对法矩阵进行变换,避免了法矩阵奇异造成的误差传递。证明了当满足一定条件时,该压缩方法的估计精度要高于传统的定轨方法。并结合单星观测的特殊性,提出了误差传递因子,设计了单星观测下的压缩估计定轨算法。最后以单星模式下的天基测控系统作为仿真背景进行了仿真试验。结果表明,该压缩估计可有效提高单星观测模式下的轨道确定精度。     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.