Exact likelihood inference for the exponential distribution under generalized Type‐I and Type‐II hybrid censoring

Chen and Bhattacharyya [Exact confidence bounds for an exponential parameter under hybrid censoring, Commun Statist Theory Methods 17 (1988), 1857–1870] considered a hybrid censoring scheme and obtained the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean of an exponential distribution along with an exact lower confidence bound. Childs et al. [Exact likelihood inference based on Type‐I and Type‐II hybrid censored samples from the exponential distribution, Ann Inst Statist Math 55 (2003), 319–330] recently derived an alternative simpler expression for the distribution of the MLE. These authors also proposed a new hybrid censoring scheme and derived similar results for the exponential model. In this paper, we propose two generalized hybrid censoring schemes which have some advantages over the hybrid censoring schemes already discussed in the literature. We then derive the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator as well as exact confidence intervals for the mean of the exponential distribution under these generalized hybrid censoring schemes. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

R-C系统中由表面散射引起的视场内杂散光分布

推导了R-C系统焦平面上由主镜和次镜表面散射引起的视场内杂散光分布的近似解析表达式.针对典型R-C系统的视场内杂散光分布,由近似表达式得到的计算结果与利用商业光学仿真软件得到的模拟结果具有较好的一致性,说明了近似表达式的正确性.与焦平面上无像差衍射光分布相比较,可以方便地分析强光入射时R-C系统焦平面上不同区域的饱和机制.研究结果表明,对于典型的R-C系统,探测器表面上以几何像点为中心,半径为2.5mm的范围内,衍射光是引起探测器饱和的主要因素;在此范围外,表面散射造成探测器的饱和.该结果为进一步研究强光饱和实验,解释有关现象提供理论分析基础.     

A spatial rank‐based multivariate EWMA control chart

Nonparametric control charts are useful in statistical process control when there is a lack of or limited knowledge about the underlying process distribution, especially when the process measurement is multivariate. This article develops a new multivariate self‐starting methodology for monitoring location parameters. It is based on adapting the multivariate spatial rank to on‐line sequential monitoring. The weighted version of the rank‐based test is used to formulate the charting statistic by incorporating the exponentially weighted moving average control scheme. It is robust to non‐normally distributed data, easy to construct, fast to compute and also very efficient in detecting multivariate process shifts, especially small or moderate shifts which occur when the process distribution is heavy‐tailed or skewed. As it avoids the need for a lengthy data‐gathering step before charting and it does not require knowledge of the underlying distribution, the proposed control chart is particularly useful in start‐up or short‐run situations. A real‐data example from white wine production processes shows that it performs quite well. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 59: 91–110, 2012     

弹丸爆炸仿真与破片质量统计软件开发

针对利用试验研究弹丸爆炸过程难度大的问题,采用ANSYS／LS-DYNA有限元软件对弹丸爆炸过程进行了仿真,设计开发了破片质量分布统计软件,再现了弹丸爆炸的宏观过程,并且得到了破片质量分布的定量结果．     

静止条件下多种轨道-电枢形状的轨道炮电流分布仿真

针对等轨道截面、等炮口截面、等长度、等材料和等电流8种典型的轨道-电枢结构,在电枢速度为0 m／s的情况下,采用Ansoftl 2有限元分析软件,仿真分析电流分布特征,得到：矩形截面轨道一长方体结构电枢的轨道炮有最不均匀的电流分布特征,电流主要分布在轨道外表面和电枢后部凹表面,并且分别对应于趋肤效应和电流短路径聚集现象,跑道形截面的轨道一回转体结构电枢的轨道炮有最均匀的电流密度分布．     

漏磁检测的励磁装置优化设计

为了提高漏磁检测的灵敏度,利用ANSYS软件建立了漏磁检测励磁装置的三维有限元模型,研究了钢板的厚度、永磁体厚度、磁极面积以及磁化间隙等因素对钢板局部磁化效果的影响,得到了钢板磁化强度随永磁体几何参数改变时的变化规律,提出了永磁磁化方式下励磁装置优化设计的基本方法,对励磁装置各部分参数进行了优化设计．实验证明,优化设计的励磁装置能改善磁化效果,提高检测灵敏度．     

电传动车辆牵引电机弱磁控制与半实物仿真

为使车用牵引电机在弱磁控制模式下的输出转矩跟随电机最大输出能力,在采用基于磁链的定子电流控制方法的基础上,提出一种最优转矩控制算法,实现时间最优控制,提高系统响应的快速性。基于dSPACE构建了快速控制原型半实物仿真系统,对控制算法进行了多种工况下的仿真试验验证。试验结果表明：该控制系统能够快速、无差地跟踪速度给定信号,实现弱磁区转矩优化控制。     

Involving the elephant: technical isolation and the role of India in a possible solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis

Apart from North Korea, no state's nuclear program in the twenty-first century has raised more concern to international security than Iran's. While Iran insists that its nuclear program is strictly for civilian purpose in line with Article IV of non-proliferation treaty, the USA and its allies insist that Iran has military intentions and called for sanctions. The failure of sanctions to deter Iran from its nuclear agenda had made many scholars and policy-makers call for a preemptive attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. Situated within this debate, this paper positions itself as an antagonist to the preemptive airstrike option and argues that involving India in a possible nuclear “iron curtain” against Iran – a move known as technical isolation – remains the best option to the current nuclear crises.     

小户型公寓设计与分析

公寓房是我军住房保障体系的重要组成部分,其中又以小户型公寓房为主体,加强小户型公寓的设计研究对提高其保障效能具有现实意义。解读军队公寓住房建筑设计方案竞赛一等奖作品,指出小户型公寓采用一梯两户多层的形式在营造营区环境、降低建筑全寿命费用、改善室内舒适度等方面具有比较优势;应合理分配小户型公寓房面积,适当提高卫浴和厨房所占面积比例,控制客厅和卧室规模;应在门厅空间布局与卫浴空间分室设置、储藏空间多样化、布置多用途小空间、管井集中出户等方面提高设计的精细化程度。     

地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型

利用粒子群优化算法和最小二乘支持向量机,建立地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型。针对粒子群优化算法,提出一种新的粒子群多样性测度计算方法,有效改善其早熟收敛现象。运用改进的粒子群优化算法优化最小二乘支持向量机的正则化参数和核参数。利用滑动时间窗口策略更新模型数据,选择触发机制以及模型的再学习机制为设计变量,实现模型的在线预测功能。对2000年电子通量监测数据和相关太阳风、地磁参数等实际数据进行的提前1~3天的预测实验,表明所建在线预测模型具有较高的预测性能,并具有一定的实用价值。