最小、最大广义最优停止规则的特征

设(X_n,F_n)_1~∞是适应的报酬序列,(γ_n)是相应的snell 包,(A_n)是(γ_n)的Doob-Meyer 分解中零初值的可料增过程。本文继J.Klass 的研究证明了σ_1=inf{K≥1:X_k≥γ_k}是最小半最优的且是最大严格正则的广义规则,而K_0=sup{n≥0:A_n=0}<∞是最大正则的广义规则,从而得出了广义最优规则唯一性的另一表述。     

直接力/气动力复合作用动能拦截弹姿态控制方法

针对直接力/气动力复合作用动能拦截弹的姿态控制问题,建立了拦截弹俯仰-偏航通道短周期运动模型;利用线性二次型最优跟踪控制理论结合姿控固体小火箭点火逻辑设计了复合控制系统,通过分析非线性容限得出了该系统对直接力偏差具有强鲁棒性的结论;姿控回路仿真表明系统具有快速响应特性及良好的跟踪性能,考虑侧喷干扰效应等实际条件的六自由度弹道仿真表明所设计的控制系统能够满足拦截末段直接碰撞要求。     

软件无失效测试数据的统计分析

软件可靠性估计是软件可靠性研究的重要问题之一,文中对分布式软件系统可靠性的评估方法进行了研究,给出了软件系统可靠度的最优置信下限.最后以某大型软件的评估为例,说明该方法的应用.     

MAD,not Marx: Khrushchev and the nuclear revolution

The revival of nuclear strategy in US policy and scholarship has been strengthened by arguments that the ‘nuclear revolution’ – the assumption that thermonuclear bombs and missiles had made major war too dangerous to wage – does not affect international behaviour as much as nuclear revolution advocates claim. This article shows that the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev indeed regarded nuclear war as too dangerous to wage, a decision which manifested itself not so much in foreign policy or military doctrine but in his determination to avoid war when the possibility arose. We argue that Khrushchev’s experience provides us with a more useful way to characterise the nuclear revolution and suggest some implications of this argument for contemporary debates about nuclear weaponry.     

An exact analysis of a joint production‐inventory problem in two‐echelon inventory systems

We consider a two‐echelon inventory system with a manufacturer operating from a warehouse supplying multiple distribution centers (DCs) that satisfy the demand originating from multiple sources. The manufacturer has a finite production capacity and production times are stochastic. Demand from each source follows an independent Poisson process. We assume that the transportation times between the warehouse and DCs may be positive which may require keeping inventory at both the warehouse and DCs. Inventory in both echelons is managed using the base‐stock policy. Each demand source can procure the product from one or more DCs, each incurring a different fulfilment cost. The objective is to determine the optimal base‐stock levels at the warehouse and DCs as well as the assignment of the demand sources to the DCs so that the sum of inventory holding, backlog, and transportation costs is minimized. We obtain a simple equation for finding the optimal base‐stock level at each DC and an upper bound for the optimal base‐stock level at the warehouse. We demonstrate several managerial insights including that the demand from each source is optimally fulfilled entirely from a single distribution center, and as the system's utilization approaches 1, the optimal base‐stock level increases in the transportation time at a rate equal to the demand rate arriving at the DC. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

On the optimal detection of an underwater intruder in a channel using unmanned underwater vehicles

Given a number of patrollers that are required to detect an intruder in a channel, the channel patrol problem consists of determining the periodic trajectories that the patrollers must trace out so as to maximized the probability of detection of the intruder. We formulate this problem as an optimal control problem. We assume that the patrollers' sensors are imperfect and that their motions are subject to turn‐rate constraints, and that the intruder travels straight down a channel with constant speed. Using discretization of time and space, we approximate the optimal control problem with a large‐scale nonlinear programming problem which we solve to obtain an approximately stationary solution and a corresponding optimized trajectory for each patroller. In numerical tests for one, two, and three underwater patrollers, an underwater intruder, different trajectory constraints, several intruder speeds and other specific parameter choices, we obtain new insight—not easily obtained using simply geometric calculations—into efficient patrol trajectory design under certain conditions for multiple patrollers in a narrow channel where interaction between the patrollers is unavoidable due to their limited turn rate.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

无刷双馈电机原理及控制策略

详细分析了无刷双馈发电机的基本原理,基于不同的参考坐标系(转子轴dq0坐标系和同步坐标系),建立了无刷双馈发电机不同的数学模型.依据建立的数学模型,介绍了无刷双馈发电机的几种控制策略(标量控制、磁场定向控制、直接转矩控制、智能控制方法),并指出其优缺点.最后,指出了无刷双馈发电机运行控制中存在的难点和进一步研究的方向.     

电视侦察弹侦察效力的演化仿真优化研究

为了保证电视侦察弹能到达目标区域的上空并发挥最优的侦察效力,采用了基于遗传算法的启发式仿真优化方法来解决炮射电视侦察弹的优化使用问题.分析了电视侦察弹的主要影响因素,建立了用于计算目标侦察效力的仿真模型,引入了演化策略,实现了基于进化计算的启发式仿真优化系统,并求取了电视侦察弹的最大侦察效力及其主要影响因素的最优搭配....     

潜艇线式巡逻的最佳对策研究

本文先用面积法求出线式巡逻潜艇发现目标的概率,然后对潜艇发现目标距离作了分析。在此基础上,建立了潜艇线式巡逻的矩阵对策模型,并用计算机对此模型进行求解,得到了潜艇线式巡逻的最佳对策。最后,对最佳对策作了讨论。本文建立的矩阵对策模型和求得的结果以及求解方法可为组织潜艇进行线式巡逻提供决策的科学依据。     

基于遗传算法的防空兵群最优火力分配模型研究

结合战场目标价值分析,根据防空兵火力分配情况,运用遗传算法建立了最佳火力分配模型,使防空武器最大限度的发挥火力单位效能,达到最大毁伤效果。采用了实数编码方案,对选择,交叉,变异等操作进行了改进。最后通过计算,验证了方案的可行性和优越性.