The war after next is here – what does the elephant look like?

A comprehensive paradigm of future wars can be defined, and is called in this article “Extended conflicts.” These can be characterized by strategic attrition, to which all national resources and all possible international legitimacy are mobilized, in order to achieve a resolution by transformation of the opponent. The use of military force in this kind of conflict is limited. The understanding that we are facing an era of extended conflicts will improve the way it is utilized.     

一类反向混合单调算子方程组解的存在惟一性

运用锥与半序理论和非对称迭代方法,讨论半序Banach空间一类反向混合单调算子方程组解的存在惟一性,并给出了迭代序列收敛于解的误差估计,同时推广讨论了非反向混合单调算子方程组解的存在惟一性.所得结果改进和推广了混合单调算子方程某些已知的结果.     

警用脉冲防暴水炮新型喷嘴内部流场的大涡模拟

根据新型喷嘴的结构特点，构建了喷嘴的物理模型和数学模型，并采用Fluent6．2．16软件中的LES模型对喷嘴流场进行数值计算。模拟结果表明：射流进入喷嘴收缩段后会发生强烈的剪切作用，引起流场速度和压力的急剧变化。收缩角对喷嘴内部流场的影响较大，本模型中收缩角优化值取30°，圆柱段长度对喷嘴内部流场也存在影响，本模型中该长度优化值取32mm。     

四支板超声速引射器性能特性试验

对二维喷管构型的四支板超声速引射器进行冷流试验,分析启动、负载匹配方面的性能特性。试验结果表明:启动特性方面,四支板超声速引射系统的盲腔压力低于3 kPa,引射器入口腔压的迟滞压力比启动压力低15.9%。负载匹配特性方面,四支板引射器在小引射系数、大增压比状态下具有十分明显的优势,当引射系数为0.04时,增压比为11.21;当引射系数为0.10时,增压比为7.0。因此,二维喷管构型的多支板超声速引射器具有良好的启动、负载匹配性能,工程应用潜力较大。     

一种非对称鲁棒性盲水印算法

针对数字图像版权保护,提出一种非对称鲁棒性盲数字水印方法。通过将水印嵌入到最少受图像改变影响的子空间,使嵌入水印具有鲁棒性,且通过对特征子空间的选取限制,使算法具有较高的检测概率和安全性以及较低的虚警概率。同时,水印嵌入矩阵与提取矩阵不同,它可公开除密钥外的所有其它的信息,而且能实现水印盲提取。实验结果证明了该算法的鲁棒性。     

固体火箭发动机二次喷射控制矢量喷管流场仿真

采用基于Favre平均的三维N-S方程和k-ε湍流模型对固体火箭发动机二次喷射推力矢量喷管复杂干扰内流场进行数值模拟。空间上采用三阶精度差分格式进行求解,时间上采用隐式Jacobi点迭代方法进行迭代推进,直至流场收敛。数值模拟得到矢量喷管二次射流的激波系结构,以及复杂的主/次流干扰流动图像。二次喷射流场包含复杂的涡系结构和波系结构,还存在着边界层与激波的相互干扰、自由剪切层、激波、膨胀波和大尺寸分离。数值模拟还表明,高温燃气射流导致喷射孔附近喷管壁面处的温度相当高,需采取相应的热防护措施。     

应用新型Lanchester方程的非对称空战进程预测

针对未来空战中可能出现的非对称空战问题进行研究,在设定的非对称空战背景下构建新型Lanchester方程对问题进行建模分析,得到单一机种和多兵种非对称空战模型,并通过仿真试验验证了模型的有效性,对非对称空战指挥决策提供了一定的帮助。     

Trinitarian troubles: governmental,military, and societal explanations for post-1945 Western failures in asymmetric conflicts

It seems paradoxical that powerful Western states are at their most vulnerable when the disparity in military capabilities between them and their opponents is at its largest. Yet it is precisely in such ‘asymmetric conflicts’ that Western countries have failed to achieve their overall political objectives the most often. Focusing on the post-1945 world, this article will examine governmental, military, and societal reasons for Western failures in asymmetric conflicts. Politicians' lack of understanding regarding war's fundamental nature, militaries' tendency to dissociate operational goals from grand strategy objectives and citizens' moral aversion to warfare appear to be among the main obstacles to success.     

Proportional use of force in asymmetric military operation

This paper studies a strategic conflict between a state and a non-state military organization. The non-state military organization decides whether to attack or not to attack the state, while the state decides on its counter-measure. If the state uses a high level of violence against the non-state organization, it may be accused by the international community of ‘non-proportional’ use of force, and both sides of the conflict take this possibility into account. The model predicts that it may be rational for the non-state organization to attack the state, even if as a reaction the state will militarily destroy this organization, due to a positive probability the state will be punished by the international community for non-proportional use of violence.     

水喷淋对建筑外立面火灾烟气向室内蔓延控制的研究

高层建筑外保温材料发生火灾后,研究着火层房间内的自动喷水灭火系统对火灾烟气向室内蔓延的控制效果,为高层建筑性能化防火设计提供理论支持。运用火灾动力学软件FDS模拟高层建筑外保温材料火灾,对比分析在不同喷射位置的自动喷水灭火系统作用下的室内平均CO浓度和温度等烟气特性参数。综合比较发现,将喷头置于窗上方向下喷淋能有效地降低室内平均CO浓度和平均温度。对于由高层建筑外保温材料引起的火灾,室内自动喷水灭火系统喷头相对于窗户的位置决定其对火灾烟气蔓延控制的效果。