Introduction

ABSTRACT

The new nuclear history can make a critical contribution by forcing us to reconsider or reframe the theoretical premises of the concepts we apply to our understanding of the present – and with which we try to navigate the future. It bears on fundamental questions, such as: How should the US manage its alliances? Should it establish a multilateral nuclear policy dialogue in Asia? In what depth should it discuss issues of doctrine and targeting with its Asian allies? What capabilities might reassure European allies in light of current Russian revisionism? Could nuclear war be limited and controlled in an East Asian maritime arena? Do nuclear weapons strengthen an alliance, or do they introduce a divisive bone of contention? Is extended nuclear deterrence (END) stabilizing or is it on the contrary pushing the allies to ask for more? What is the relationship between nuclear and conventional forces in END credibility? How do nuclear alliances contribute to international security and international order? The lessons and insights from these papers, which look at five historical cases of US extended deterrence during the Cold War, should help us think about crucial current issues, and be of use both to historians who want to have a better understanding of the Cold War past and to policymakers who are currently grappling with these issues.     

Nuclear weapons and alliance institutions in the era of President Trump

The swearing in of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States presages, at the very least, a period of flux in American strategy with respect to the relationship between nuclear weapons and alliances. In this response to three thoughtful rejoinders to our article, “Nuclear weapons, the United States and alliances in Europe and Asia: Toward an institutional perspective,” we clarify key aspects of our argument and discuss why alliance institutions are likely to be relatively robust in the face of change, how they can influence national decision-making, and argue that they may exert a moderating influence over the new administration.     

N元光纤光栅传感器阵列解调信号的最低可见度分析

研究了非平衡光纤Mach-Zehnder干涉仪解调N元光纤光栅传感器阵列时的偏振衰落问题.运用邦加球和光纤偏振光传输理论,利用简化模型,通过详细的理论分析,得到优化控制下阵列传感信号最低可见度的下限表达式,并通过计算机仿真,验证了结果的正确性,并详细分析了仿真实验的结果.     

日本遗弃化学武器紧急处置中挖掘清理技术研究

就日本遗弃化学武器紧急处置中的挖掘清理技术进行了论述。着重论述了紧急处置现场的设置、挖掘方法步骤、程序、初始位置的挖掘以及污染物的包装等技术。同时,介绍了该技术在南京黄胡子山等地日本遗弃化学武器紧急处置中的应用情况。并对挖掘方法、进度及现场管理等工作提出了探讨性建议。     

基于同心筒结构的共架发射系统武器发射空域协调方法

为保证舰艇和武器系统安全,针对多武器共架发射时的发射协调问题,提出了空域协调的方法。首先,定义了空域协调的概念,分析了燃气排导、初始飞行弹道交叉对空域协调的影响;然后,通过判断发射活动、隔舱距离排序、隔舱属性赋值、判断隔舱相邻及弹道交叉等影响因素提出了空域协调的具体步骤;最后,对空域协调方法进行了算例验证。结果表明:通过空域上合理地选择武器(弹位)可以有效避免共架武器发射时产生干涉,保证系统安全。该方法对解决多类型舰载武器发射协调问题有借鉴意义。     

复杂战场环境下的防空反导光学成像制导技术

光学成像制导技术是提升精确制导武器防空反导能力的核心技术之一,对提高复杂战场环境下精确制导武器的防空反导能力具有十分重要的作用。针对复杂战场环境下防空反导的需求,首先深入分析了各种复杂战场环境要素给光学成像制导武器带来的挑战,然后对未来光学成像制导技术发展趋势进行预测,最后结合我国光学成像制导技术发展现状,介绍了未来几年间需重点探索的几种新型光学成像制导技术。     

The Chinese and Asian impact on Russian nuclear policy

Asia, where nuclear powers already interact (including North Korea), exerts a growing influence on the thinking and policy underlying Russia's current and future nuclear (and overall defense) posture. China's rise is forcing Russia into a greater reliance on strategic offensive weapons and tactical nuclear weapons. These in turn will reinforce its opposition to US missile defenses, not only in Europe but also in Asia. Russia must now entertain the possibility of nuclear use in regional conflicts that would otherwise remain purely conventional. It cannot be postulated blindly that nuclear weapons serve no discernible purpose other than to deter nuclear attacks by other nuclear powers. The strategic equation in Asia and in the Russian Far East convincingly demonstrates the falsity of this approach. Nuclear weapons will be the essential component of Russia's regional defense policy if not of its overall policies – and this also includes contingencies in Europe.     

Are non‐lethal weapons a viable military option to strengthen the hearts and minds approach in Afghanistan?

Commanders of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) have repeatedly stressed the hearts and minds approach in Afghanistan, in saying that the human terrain is decisive for a successful outcome of the mission. Avoidance of civilian casualties is considered of strategic importance, and by nature highly dependent on the management of tactical level Escalation of Force (EoF) situations. Non‐lethal weapons (NLWs) are expected to enable tactical commanders to avoid innocent civilian casualties in such situations. This article considers a selected NLW on its potential to accomplish this requirement. It uses a defence technology assessment approach to analyse EoF situations experienced by Dutch ISAF forces in which the NLW is inserted. The analysis demonstrates that a range of contextual factors in the Afghanistan high‐risk environment tend to narrow down the window of opportunity for the NLW to help defuse the risk of unintended civil casualties.     

轻柴油的氧化及其与组成的关系

考察了按照不饱和烃含量不同而芳香烃含量近似、芳香烃含量不同而不饱和烃含量近似的要求配制的3个系列27个0号轻柴油油样在95℃强化氧化条件下实际胶质质量浓度的变化规律。探讨了实际胶质的变化与不饱和烃和芳香烃含量之间的关系。结果表明:在95℃强化氧化条件下,0号轻柴油的实际胶质随氧化时间呈直线变化;0号轻柴油中不饱和烃是引起实际胶质变化的主要因素,在其他组成相近时,实际胶质变化率随不饱和烃含量增加呈二次曲线关系增大;0号轻柴油中的芳香烃对实际胶质变化有一定的影响,但是规律尚不明确。