压制火控系统中有关最大射程角的应用探讨

通过对实际应用中,压制火控系统射击诸元中有关最大射程角的具体使用进行了分析,提出了在地面压制武器系统外弹道中距离-射角函数可能出现多个极点的观点,并给出了最大射程角具体计算方法,在火控系统的工程实践中提高了武器系统的性能。     

辐射传热时活塞式气缸中加热气体的最大膨胀功

对热辐射传热定律q∝Δ(T4)下,给定初态内能、体积,末态体积以及过程时间时,加热气体膨胀的最优构型进行了研究,利用最优控制理论得出最大膨胀功输出时膨胀的最优构型由两个瞬时绝热分支和一个E-L分支组成的结论.给出了各分支之间转换点参数的求解方法及最优构型的数值算例,最后将线性唯象传热定律、牛顿传热定律、平方传热定律、立方传热定律和辐射传热定律下加热气体膨胀的最优构型进行了比较.结果显示,随着传热指数的增加,理想气体的内能呈现出明显的整体增加趋势,而体积则呈现出明显的整体减小趋势.     

基于相关性函数的多站微动特征分析与提取

针对多站雷达精度跨度大、难以有效进行融合识别的问题,提出了基于相关性函数的多站加权融合方法。首先建立了弹道目标滑动散射模型,通过时延相乘重构回波,并利用扩展Hough变换提取出距离像的曲线参数,从而建立方程组以求取微动信息。然后利用相关性函数对各雷达的支持度进行分析,最终对支持度高的观测数据进行融合识别。仿真结果表明该方法计算简单,能有效提高微动参数的估计精度,客观地反映各部雷达的可靠度。     

地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型

利用粒子群优化算法和最小二乘支持向量机,建立地球静止轨道高能电子通量在线预测模型。针对粒子群优化算法,提出一种新的粒子群多样性测度计算方法,有效改善其早熟收敛现象。运用改进的粒子群优化算法优化最小二乘支持向量机的正则化参数和核参数。利用滑动时间窗口策略更新模型数据,选择触发机制以及模型的再学习机制为设计变量,实现模型的在线预测功能。对2000年电子通量监测数据和相关太阳风、地磁参数等实际数据进行的提前1~3天的预测实验,表明所建在线预测模型具有较高的预测性能,并具有一定的实用价值。     

模糊灰色关联模型在遮弹层防护性能评价中的应用

为对遮弹层防护性能进行综合评价,建立了遮弹层防护性能评价指标体系,采用多对象模糊综合评价和加权多层次灰色关联评价相结合的方法.得到了遮弹层防护性能的二级模糊灰色关联评价模型,并对五种遮弹层的防护性能进行了评估.结果表明,综合考虑直接成本、施工条件、伪装性能等因素,刚玉块石混凝土遮弹层防护性能最佳.该模型为遮弹层防护能力综合评估提供了理论依据.     

基于最大后验概率候选集更换法的多故障诊断策略研究

给出了一种基于最大后验概率候选集更换法的多故障诊断策略，并深入阐述了基于最大后验概率候选集更换法的形式化描述，分析了对单故障诊断和多故障诊断的计算模型，提出了基本的故障诊断算法——改进二进制粒子群算法，并对抽象实例进行验证，结果表明，采用改进BPSO算法能有效地求解基于最大后验概率候选集更换法的多故障诊断问题。     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans for log‐location‐scale distributions

This article presents new tools and methods for finding optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans. First, we present an approach to calculate the large‐sample approximate variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a quantile of the failure time distribution at use conditions from a step‐stress accelerated life test. The approach allows for multistep stress changes and censoring for general log‐location‐scale distributions based on a cumulative exposure model. As an application of this approach, the optimum variance is studied as a function of shape parameter for both Weibull and lognormal distributions. Graphical comparisons among test plans using step‐up, step‐down, and constant‐stress patterns are also presented. The results show that depending on the values of the model parameters and quantile of interest, each of the three test plans can be preferable in terms of optimum variance. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

公安高校计算机基础课程关联性分析

对＂1＋X＂双层课程体系下的计算机基础课程之间的关联性进行初步分析,揭示了教学目标一致性、教学内容互相渗透、人才培养逐层连续性等特点。     

A model for step‐stress accelerated life testing

Modern technology is producing high reliability products. Life testing for such products under normal use condition takes a lot of time to obtain a reasonable number of failures. In this situation a step‐stress procedure is preferred for accelerated life testing. In this paper we assume a Weibull and Lognormal model whose scale parameter depends upon the present level as well as the age at the entry in the present stress level. On the basis of that we propose a parametric model to the life distribution for step‐stress testing and suggest a suitable design to estimate the parameters involved in the model. A simulation study has been done by the proposed model based on maximum likelihood estimation. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003