多目标模糊微分对策

多目标问题是微分对策研究的一个重要而困难的方面.多目标微分对策是动态向量对策,结合了多目标规划与动态对策,扩大了微分对策在分析冲突问题时解决问题的范围,多具有非线性和不确定性特点.为避免非线性带来求解上的困难和处理不确定信息等,基于T-S模糊微分对策思想,构造出多目标微分对策的模糊线性化模型,然后在模糊线性多目标微分对策系统下对控制器的设计方法作出探讨.对一个1∶2对策问题做了仿真,其效果说明了解决问题方法的可行.     

基于多目标动态威胁的潜艇航路规划建模与求解

为增强航路规划算法的适用性,充分考虑潜艇面临的动态威胁,建立并求解了基于多目标动态威胁的潜艇航路规划模型.首先,介绍了微分对策的基本理论,指出其在处理航路规划问题方面的优越性;其次,引入了基于单目标威胁的航路规划模型,并采用微分对策对其进行了描述和求解;最后,在单目标威胁模型的基础上,推导了基于多目标动态威胁的潜艇航路规划模型,建立了对策的状态变量、控制变量及其约束、状态方程与微分对策模型,并给出了其微分对策的系统解.数值求解结果表明:该算法可较好地解决动态对抗问题,只需确定界栅和最优策略即可,同时该航路规划算法简便易行,具有较强的适用性.     

求解微分对策问题的混合法

微分对策理论在定量研究军事问题中有着重要作用.针对微分对策的求解问题,将最优控制的数值算法和静态优化算法相结合,提出了求解微分对策问题的一类数值算法,称为混合法,并将这种算法用在火力支援分配问题上,得出了与解析解相同的数值解.     

面向机动威胁单目标定性微分对策的航路重规划

航迹规划是飞行器规划系统的一个重要子任务.针对具有主动性而非纯粹动态的敌方威胁类型,以单目标定性微分对策解决航路的动态重规划问题.在假设对静态威胁的参考航迹和安全走廊已预规划确定基础上,构建了基于单目标定性微分对策面向主动威胁安全走廊内飞行器航路对策的数学模型,并对航路的单目标定性微分对策系统进行了求解.     

基于微分对策理论的信息战模型

基于兰彻斯特作战理论,提出了一个新的微分对策模型来研究在交战双方均有信息战系统协助作战的条件下的最优火力分配策略。又运用微分对策理论对该模型进行分析和求解,并对所得到的结论作出符合战术意义的解释。     

高超声速再入轨迹跟踪控制的微分变换方法

针对多约束条件下高超声速飞行器再入制导问题,提出一种基于微分变换法求解最优反馈控制的全状态标准轨迹跟踪制导律。利用滚动时域控制方法设计易于在线执行的闭环跟踪制导策略,在每个制导周期内将标准轨迹跟踪问题转化为线性时变系统状态调节器问题,并通过最优控制理论进一步转化为两点边值问题,采用微分变换法进行求解获得最优反馈控制律。数值仿真表明微分变换法的引入有效解决了传统两点边值问题求解的数值不稳定性与耗时问题,所设计的闭环制导律对状态偏差与模型不确定性具有较强的鲁棒性,可为工程设计提供有益参考。     

改进的微分进化算法求解空战火力分配问题

为了提高空战火力分配问题的求解性能,提出了一种新的基于微分进化算法的求解方法.首先介绍了基本微分进化算法求解火力分配问题的思路;然后指出了基本微分进化算法存在的不足,并进行了必要的改进;接着给出了改进的微分进化算法求解空战火力分配问题的一般流程;最后进行了遗传算法、基本微分进化算法对比测试,结果表明改进的微分进化算法对于求解空战火力分配问题更加有效.     

PD反馈特征结构配置在最优控制问题中的应用

考虑了二阶线性系统的比例微分(PD)反馈特征结构配置问题以及其在最优控制问题中的应用。基于比例微分特征结构配置参数化方法,将二阶线性系统的最优控制问题转化为一个便于求解的有约束条件的极小值问题,并给出了相应的求解算法。三自由度质量弹簧阻尼系统算例及其仿真结果表明所提算法简单、有效。     

基于射流微分方程组的水炮命中问题求解

船用高压水炮的自动控制系统实现关键在于对目标命中问题的求解,即通过给定相关参数信息,求解水炮射击时的射击诸元(方位角和高低角)。建立了基于牛顿第二定律的水炮射流微分方程组,给出了使用四阶龙格库塔法实时解算的流程。并针对命中求解过程中的不同情况,利用matlab进行数值仿真对比,验证了利用微分方程组求解水炮命中问题的可行性,可为消防水炮的智能控制研发提供借鉴意义。     

基于松弛序列凸优化的轮式机器人协同轨迹规划

针对威胁环境下的多智能体协同轨迹规划问题,以轮式机器人为对象,研究了基于序列凸优化方法的协同轨迹规划方法。首先通过对轮式机器人模型的分析,给出单独轮式机器人实际物理约束,同时以状态量、控制量加权为性能指标,考虑运动学方程、避障避碰约束、个体物理性能约束、终端约束,建立多轮式机器人协同轨迹规划问题;其次,对运动学方程、避障避碰约束进行凸化,证明了满足凸化后的避障避碰约束的解也满足原始避障避碰约束,并进行了几何直观解释;然后,将凸优化子问题进行离散化与松弛化,采用序列凸优化架构进行问题求解;最后,通过数值仿真,对比了松弛序列凸优化方法与现有非线性优化求解器的求解效率。结果表明,松弛序列凸优化方法在尽可能保证最优性的同时大大缩短了计算时间,具有一定工程意义。     

An Unlikely Alliance: Portuguese and South African Airpower in Angola, 1968–1974

The war that Portugal was obliged to fight in Africa began in 1961 and immediately stretched the resources of its armed forces. Nowhere was this thinness more apparent than in policing the vast territory of Angola. The east and southeast of Angola were particularly vulnerable, as the area was a vast, sparsely populated region characterised by enormous featureless plains or chanas covered in tall grass and broken by an extensive river system and mountainous forests. The only military solution to policing these immense spaces was aviation and specifically the helicopter that could carry troops into battle, protect them with a gunship and bring them home when the operation was concluded. The immediate problem for the Portuguese Air Force (Força Aérea Portuguesa or FAP) in Angola and elsewhere was a scarcity of helicopters. The solution was an alliance with South Africa, which had a strong inventory of Alouette IIIs, to help in policing the east. This move was likewise in the interest of South Africa, as its threat came from Zambia through south-eastern Angola. This article examines the strategic and tactical development of this unusual, cross-cultural alliance and the symbiotic relationship that resulted in destruction of the enemies of both in Angola.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

国内外结构钢焊条研究的现状与发展

本文主要介绍了国外焊条的现状和发展趋势,包括焊条的高韧性、高效率、低尘低毒和耐吸潮性能,为国内的焊条研究提供了参考依据。     

A Sign of Victory?: ‘Scottish Swords’ and Other Weapons in the Possession of the ‘Auld Innemie’

Many late medieval documents, notably inventories of arms and armour, of Englishmen contain references to ‘Scottish swords’ and other weapons. What did the compilers of these documents mean when they described a weapon as ‘Scottish’? How did such weapons come to be in the possession of these men? This article will attempt to explain this phenomenon drawing on primary documentary sources and surviving material culture from Glasgow Museums’ collections and others, as well as artworks from the period.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Cyberpower in Strategic Affairs: Neither Unthinkable nor Blessed

Abstract

This article explores the effect of connectivity on strategic affairs. It argues that the effect on war's character is potentially, although not yet shown in practice, considerably large. Its effect upon the distribution of power among states in the international system is small, contrary to the claims of ‘cyberwar’ alarmists. All told, however, its effect upon strategic affairs is complex. On the one hand, it represents a significant advance in the ‘complexification’ of state strategies, understood in the sense of the production of intended effects. On the other hand, strategists today – still predominantly concerned with the conflicts and confrontations of states and organised military power – are generally missing the power which non-traditional strategic actors, better adapted to the network flows of the information age, are beginning to deploy. These new forms of organization and coercion will challenge the status quo.