基于LAP的MHT算法在多目标跟踪中的应用

围绕弹道导弹多目标跟踪中的数据关联问题,分析了MHT算法的关联假设构建及概率计算的基本过程;而后为降低关联假设概率计算的复杂度,提出了基于线性分配方法(LAP)的MHT关联假设构建方法;仿真表明基于LAP的MHT算法对邻近发射和轨迹交叉的多弹道导弹目标具有较好的跟踪能力,进一步通过设置距离门限,该算法对变加速度的弹道导弹目标亦具有良好的跟踪能力。     

基于组合函数的弹药装填机器人轨迹规划

针对非确定环境下弹药装填机器人作业过程需满足平稳、连续及实时控制易于实现的要求,提出了基于三次多项式与五次多项式相结合的组合函数的弹药装填机器人轨迹规划方法,并对弹药装填机器人取弹作业进行了轨迹规划和仿真计算,实时得到各关节角度、角速度和角加速度,结果表明:该方法既能保证弹药装填作业过程的平稳性与连续性,又能满足作业轨迹高阶导数连续性的要求.     

一种时空数据流中范围聚集查询共享策略

根据查询谓词的相似性来实现计算共享是数据流查询优化的主要策略之一,主要针对时空数据流中基于滑动窗口的范围聚集问题进行查询优化,采用时间片段和空间片段分别描述滑动窗口之间和空间范围谓词之间的重叠。提出基于时空分片技术将时空数据流元组分成互不重叠的时空片段。范围聚集查询首先基于时空片段生成中间结果,然后根据查询条件与时空片段的映射关系生成查询结果。实验表明,提出的时空分片策略能大大提高时空数据流中范围聚集查询的性能。     

最小二乘滤波在目标跟踪中的应用

根据目标在运动过程中具有轨迹连续性的特点,基于最小二乘法通过设计综合预测器的方法,并结合坐标变换得出目标的预测位置信息。这种方法结合了线性预测器与平方预测器的特点,对于目标跟踪过程中的预测更加贴近,且能减少跟踪算法的计算量;对于实现导弹的稳定跟踪具有一定的应用价值。     

基于轨迹聚类的运动趋势分析

在军事应用中,群体目标的轨迹运动趋势在一定程度上反映了其作战意图。为此,提出了一种利用轨迹聚类来提取轨迹运动趋势的方法。该方法的计算过程包含轨迹划分、轨迹聚类及运动趋势提取三个阶段。在轨迹划分阶段,针对转向角大小不易确定的问题,提出了利用最小描述长度准则来确定转向角的方法;在轨迹聚类阶段,对TRACLUS算法的距离函数作了相关改进,该距离函数能更好地表达有向轨迹片段之间的距离。最后,进行了仿真实验,实验结果证明了该算法的合理性。     

一种基于交叉关联积分的功放无意调制识别方法

针对同频率连续波信号中的功放指纹分析问题,提出一种基于相空间交叉关联积分的无意调制识别方法(CCI-UMI).该方法通过对功放无意调制的机理分析和对重构矢量沿轨迹概率(PDT)的理论分析,建立了相轨迹比较的基本理论依据和参数选择方法.采用多尺度交叉关联积分算法,在重构相空间实现了对信号细微差别的灵敏比较.对任意波发生器两路通道实测数据的分类实验表明:本方法识别率较高,经合理选择参数,在低信噪比下可获得比功率谱方法和相空间微分方法更好的分类性能.     

分布式干扰下分布式雷达网目标跟踪技术

针对分布式干扰下雷达对目标的检测概率降低导致跟踪航迹不连续的问题,提出了一种分布式干扰下分布式雷达网目标跟踪技术。首先将组网各雷达跟踪滤波后的航迹数据上报到融合中心进行时空对准,然后在融合中心对分布式干扰下上报的不同航迹类型进行关联检验,最后对通过关联检验的航迹滤波融合。该技术能提高分布式干扰下目标跟踪航迹的连续性和稳定性,仿真结果证明了该技术的可行性和有效性。     

时间序列关联维数快速算法及实现

针对关联维数计算耗时量大的问题,通过改进点对距离的度量方法,以及采用K-NN技术进行点对的搜索实现了关联和的快速计算,较大程度地提高了关联维数的计算速度.验证表明对于长度为20 480的时间序列,采用快速算法计算关联维数,其耗时量是G-P算法的1/60.     

关联维数在齿轮箱振动信号特征提取中的应用

论述了关联维数的基本概念和性质,给出了定量描述分形特征的重要参数———关联维数的计算方法,分析了齿轮箱故障时振动的特点.通过对试验获取的齿轮故障振动信号进行分析计算,确定了关联维数与齿轮箱故障程度之间的联系.结果表明,齿轮箱的不同运行情况对应的关联维数有明显不同.因此,可用关联维数作为区分齿轮箱工作状态的特征参数.     

火箭助飞鱼雷入水点测量系统的设计与实现

火箭助飞鱼雷入水点测量系统用于鱼雷试验中鱼雷入水点大地坐标和鱼雷水下二维弹道轨迹测量,首次采用了矢量换能器技术对入水信号进行测量,深入研究矢量信号的处理方法,给出系统总体方案设计、工作原理及系统组成等,并对系统中采用的时空关联等关键技术进行了分析,实验测试结果表明系统采用方法可行、设计合理,可为同类系统设计提供参考。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

SIM—LISP:一个通信网络管理专家系统外壳的设计与实现

本文介绍了笔者为开发名为OONMES的网络管理专家系统所实现的一个简单专家系统工具SIM-LISP。SIM-LISP是一个用C/C++语言来实现的模拟LISP语言的可调用函数集,它短小精巧,速度快,可以完成针对网管专家系统的事实或规则知识的表示、匹配、合一和推理等基本操作,并有与知识对象的连接功能,是网管专家系统内核实现的支撑环境。     

Al Qaida on the US invasion of Afghanistan in their own words

This article consists of selected translations from captured interviews and dairies of Al Qaida members. The time period covered is from mid-2001 to early 2002 and concerns their operations in Afghanistan. The material clearly conveys a range of emotion, from confident to despondent, as well as efforts to contest the US actions. The first several pages give the reader context and some possible “lessons learned,” but the story(ies) are best told by the Al Qaida members themselves. All names are pseudonyms.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.