战备物资储备统筹方法?

根据战备物资储备工作的特点和要求,分析了统筹工作的目的和意义,用于指导战备物资的储备工作。构建了战备物资储备统筹模型,运用定性和定量相结合的方法,综合考虑各种因素对储备的影响,对各方向的战备物资消耗需求量进行多层次的统筹,最终获得战备物资的储备限额量。     

军队战备物资储备应把握的几个问题

战备物资储备是军队“能打仗、打胜仗”的物质基础和重要保障。加强军队战备物资储备,应界定军队战备物资储备的概念与范畴,确立军队战备物资储备的指导原则,制订军队战备物资储备标准,对军队战备物资储备进行轮换更新,从整体上提升后勤保障能力,推进现代后勤三大建设任务的完成。     

战备物资储备探析

战备物资储备是国家和军队为保障国防战备和战争需要进行的各种物资储存,是保证国民经济部分或全部由平时向战时转换并争取时间进行战争动员的必要手段。文章在阐述战备物资储备的基本含义及高技术局部战争对战备物资储备的要求的基础上,重点对战备物资储备体制、储备布局、储备规模及储备结构等问题进行了探讨。     

武警部队后勤战备物资储备节点选址模型的构建

部队后勤战备物资储备节点是后勤战备物资储备的核心。着眼于武警部队后勤战备物资保障实际,结合物流节点选址的基本理论,构建了武警部队后勤战备物资储备节点的一元和多元选址模型,讨论了选址模型的应用思路。既是拓展武警部队后勤保障理论的有益探索,也能为武警部队后勤战备物资储备管理提供很好的决策依据。     

军民融合战备物资储备政策制度研究

权威有力、赏罚分明的政策制度是军民融合战备物资储备的重要保证，也是确保战备物资储备工作运行体制顺畅的遵循依据。本文从政策层面、法律制度层面就进一步完善军民融合战备物资储备政策制度进行了深入探讨，重点突出了投资政策、产业政策和扶持政策制度。在调整完善法律法规制度建议中，特别指出要出台与我海外军事行动后勤保障相适应的法律法规制度。     

基于储备模式选择的战备物资分类研究

对战备物资进行分类是选择储备模式的基础和重要前提。把战备物资分类问题抽象为战备物资的军事性和经济性评价问题,设计了物资分类评价指标体系,并对部分指标进行了说明;利用层次分析法确定各指标的权重,运用专家打分法完成指标打分,并对专家打分程序进行优化,增强战备物资分类的可操作性,由军事性和经济性两方面的得分确定战备物资所属类别;最后通过算例证明了分类方法的有效性。     

加强后勤战备建设管见

加强后勤战备建设,必须对后勤设施规划布局不合理、战备物资储备结构不合理、战备交通运输能力弱、应急保障力量建设与部队不同步等进行改革。要注重抓好后勤战备建设的重点和关键环节,调整适应新时期军事战略方针和作战需要的后勤战备布局;改革物资储备体制,优化物资储备结构;构建机动保障走廊与设施,建设全方位的综合立体战备交通网络。     

“虚拟储备”在后勤战备物资储备中的军事经济意义

长期以来,我军后勤战备物资储备只有实物储备一种方式,储备成本高,物资损耗大。而“虚拟储备”打破了这种单一的储备方式,也极大地降低了储备成本,减少了物资损耗,节省了大笔的军费开支。文章从节省军费开支,提高军事经济效益,建设“节约型后勤”的角度,对新形势下出现的“虚拟储备”方式、“虚拟储备”的军事经济意义、“虚拟储备”方式的应用作了探求和分析。     

国外战储法规建设及启示

为贯彻落实依法治军、依法治储要求,推动战备物资储备工作法治化,提高我军战备物资储备法规体系建设的科学化水平,本文探讨了加强战备物资储备法规体系建设的必要性,深入分析了美国、日本、俄罗斯战储法规制度建设情况以及立法特点、实践经验。结合我军战储建设实际,借鉴他国的立法思路,在法规体系建设上提出基于立法规划、法规制订、立法研究、立法队伍建设等方面的措施建议,对建立适应我军新的编制体制和战储建设实际的法规制度具有重要作用。     

信息化是我军提高战备物资采购与储备效益的重要途径

我军战备物资采购与储备效益不高的表现主要有:采购与储备结构不合理,重点不突出,各库区信息交流不足,管理手段落后,采购与储备成本过高,浪费严重等等。因此,要在高技术条件下提高我军战备物资采购与储备效益,应该积极筹建战备物资信息化管理指挥系统,利用信息技术加强信息交流,降低成本,提高效益,同时还要引进和培养相关人才,保证信息系统的快速建立和有效运行。     

弹药物资储备布局规划仿真模型＊

介绍了当前弹药物资储备布局规划的现状,对其涉及的要素进行分析,构建了弹药物资储备布局规划网络模型。在此基础上提出了分析模型,将弹药物资布局规划求解问题描述为有约束条件的多目标优化数学模型,解决了各仓库弹药存储量难以预测的问题,并通过实验进行了验证分析。     

弹药物资储备布局规划模型研究

介绍了当前弹药物资储备布局规划的现状,对其涉及的要素进行分析,构建了弹药物资储备布局规划网络模型。在此基础上提出了分析模型,将弹药物资布局规划求解问题描述为有约束条件的多目标优化数学模型,解决了各仓库弹药存储量难以预测的问题,并通过实验进行了验证分析。     

A theory of war finance

This paper analyses the financial and war‐spending policies of a state that faces a conflict in which defeat would result in the loss of sovereign power and in which the material consequences, conditional on avoiding defeat, are stochastic. The analysis takes explicit account of the historical experiences of lenders, who face debt repudiation if the state to whom they have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption intertemporally in response to temporary war spending, and the state also uses contingent debt servicing to insure realized consumption against the risk associated with the material consequences of the war. An important innovation in the analysis is to treat the equilibrium amount of war spending, the state's resulting probability of avoiding defeat, as well as the equilibrium amount of borrowing as a set of endogenous variables to be determined simultaneously.     

British intelligence and the Soviet atomic bomb, 1945–1950

With relations with the Soviet Union growing ever ‘hotter’, it became essential for the British to comprehend Soviet atomic development. However, British intelligence had to rely on more overt methods of intelligence collection, which provided an inadequate basis from which to proceed. This was further hindered by the interpretation of such information on the basis of Anglo-American development and by the 1946 McMahon Act. Accordingly the first Soviet atomic bomb in August 1949 was not accurately predicted by the British. Meanwhile British war planning centred on the year 1957, based – it was argued – on strategic forecasts. Yet the impact of recently released intelligence material throws this into question, and instead reveals that the date reflected British war readiness, rather than when British intelligence predicted the Soviet Union would have achieved the nuclear capability to wage a successful war.     

Of war plans and war guilt: The debate surrounding the Schlieffen Plan

This article outlines the controversy surrounding the thesis advanced by Terence Zuber that there never was a Schlieffen Plan and that German war planning in 1914, far from having the aggressive edge that historians have attributed to it for decades, was in fact designed to deal with a Franco-Russian attack on Germany. In addition to reviewing the debate precipitated by Zuber's thesis, this article also takes a closer look at how Germany prepared for war in the years 1906–14, and particularly how it ended up embarking on that war in August 1914. Such an investigation of German war planning, with particular emphasis on the war plans of the younger Moltke, will serve as a critique of Zuber's controversial thesis, and it will be shown that while Zuber maintains that there never was a Schlieffen Plan, Schlieffen, Moltke and their contemporaries were certain that such a plan existed. In 1914, Moltke did not shrink from implementing his own version of Schlieffen's strategic thinking when war broke out.     

基于供应链的军事物资保障系统研究

高技术条件下的局部战争,物资保障任务繁重,军事物流的地位日益突出。现代物流打破了储存、运输的传统职能,充分运用了系统、集成的思想,为进一步提高军队的物资保障能力,从供应链的角度,应用现代物流理论,分析了供应链理念对军事物资保障系统的改进和推动作用,指出了当前军事物资保障系统存在的问题,在此基础上,对如何整合优化军事物资保障系统的供应链,进行了分析和探讨。对如何应用供应链理念,提高军事物资保障效率,确保适时、适地、适量可靠保障,提供了充分的理论依据。     

I Fear,Therefore I Am: Victimhood and the Struggle for Ontological Security in the Liberia Truth Commission

Civil wars cause extreme insecurities, both physical and ontological. Ontological security is the state of identity stability and predictability, generated by social and cultural routines and the continuity of collective identities and the meanings they produce. What is the impact of civil war on dynamics of ontological security and insecurity? And is it possible to prevent the reconstruction of ontological security around exclusionary identities? The paper develops a theoretical framework for the analysis of ontological insecurity during and after civil wars, and examines it in the case of the Liberian civil war (1989–2003). The war saw the mobilisation and victimisation of large parts of the population in various ways, introducing unprecedented instability and unpredictability, and causing widespread ontological insecurity. Ontological insecurity in the wake of the war resulted in extreme mistrust and a lingering sense of victimisation. The Liberia TRC, among other attempts to address the injustices of the past, did not resolve these complexes, but rather led to the reconstruction of ontological security around the ‘victim’ identity in the country, with dire implications for transitional justice in the country.     

关于弹药贮存可靠性要求的若干问题

本文根据我国弹药产品的特点,提出了弹药贮存可靠性指标的确定程序、贮存可靠性指标的内容及其对应的贮存条件。从原材料的选择、元器件的控制、结构设计、包装设计,生产工艺、组装时间,贮存管理等方面,论述了贮存可靠性的保证措施,并提出了三种贮存可靠性预计方法。     

作战资源规划方案生成时间分析

资源规划是联合作战中一项重要环节,资源规划方案对提升联合作战的效率,达到更好的作战效果具有重要意义。现代战争的速度越来越快,如何在最短时间内能够生成较优的资源规划方案,提高决策反应速度,是联合作战中需考虑的关键问题。本文在基于MDLS算法的基础上,通过计算机仿真,分析了平台数量和平台优先权对资源规划方案生成时间的影响,得出了相关结论。     

Think again – supplying war: reappraising military logistics and its centrality to strategy and war

This article argues that logistics constrains strategic opportunity while itself being heavily circumscribed by strategic and operational planning. With the academic literature all but ignoring the centrality of logistics to strategy and war, this article argues for a reappraisal of the critical role of military logistics, and posits that the study and conduct of war and strategy are incomplete at best or false at worst when they ignore this crucial component of the art of war. The article conceptualises the logistics–strategy nexus in a novel way, explores its contemporary manifestation in an age of uncertainty, and applies it to a detailed case study of UK operations in Iraq and Afghanistan since 2001.