基于构件的决策支持系统中模型组织集成框架IFMO

决策支持系统模型组织和表示是影响模型和建模效果的一个基本问题 ,也是实现模型管理的前提。在研究国内外建模技术以及开发CS -DSSP决策支持系统开发平台[1] [2 ] 的基础上 ,本文提出了一种基于构件的模型组织集成框架 ,包括模型构件化描述、构件化框架、集成框架体系结构等。IFMO提出了一种把先进建模技术应用到DSS中的方法     

一种支持原型法的应用软件开发环境

目前,各种应用软件日益庞大复杂,如各种管理信息系统(MIS)、决策支持系统(DSS)和正在研究的各种大规模综合集成系统等,这种日益增长的复杂性和传统的软件开发方式导致了漫长的软件开发周期。传统的“软件开发生命周期”(SDLC)方法已满足不了快速开发应用软件的要求。本文论述了SDLC方法及其存在的问题,原型法及其特点,最后提出了一种支持原型法的应用软件开发环境,并简要介绍了它在开发MIS中的一个应用。     

云环境条件下智能决策支持系统理论研究

随着具有智能化特征的信息化战争形态的出现,军事智能决策已发展成为能够影响战争胜负的关键环节。在介绍基于专家系统和人工神经网络的智能决策支持系统的基础上,对二者的优缺点进行了对比分析,提出了在云环境下,通过采取并行结构模式,将专家系统和人工神经网络集成的智能决策支持系统,并对该新型决策支持系统的工作原理和推理过程进行了分析,为军事智能决策支持系统的研究提供了一种新的思路和方法。     

基于STAGE平台的模型扩展方法

STAGE(Scenario Toolkit And Generation Environment)是用于开发想定战场环境和武器系统验证的仿真软件。用户可根据需求利用自己开发的仿真模型取代STAGE的内置仿真模型,也可以将开发的仿真模型与STAGE中现有模型进行集成。针对STAGE 6.0仿真开发平台,研究了STAGE模型扩展中的关键技术,实现了用户开发模型与STAGE仿真引擎的集成,从而为快速构建用户自定义战场环境提供了一种新途径。     

战略模拟、决策支持系统与战略决策综合集成研讨环境

本文阐述了战略决策模拟的基本特点 ,通过分析传统决策支持系统 (DSS)的发展过程与不足 ,说明了研究新型战略决策支持系统的必要性。以定性定量相结合的综合集成方法论为指导 ,从技术的视角讨论了“综合集成研讨厅”的有关问题 ,提出了一种可用于军事战略决策的综合集成研讨环境的XOD(XOnDemand)体系 ,并介绍了战略决策模拟系统 (SDE98)的体系结构、实现及功能特点。     

基于地域分析的智能空间决策支持技术

地域分析技术是作战指挥辅助决策的关键技术之一。详细介绍了基于多维战场环境条件下作战地域分析的智能空间决策支持系统的设计方法、系统结构、主要算法和实现。系统以军事地理信息系统、军用地图处理和态势信息系统为开发平台,设计过程中采用了联机分析处理、模型技术、数据挖掘、人工智能等辅助决策技术,实现了多约束条件下炮兵作战地域选择方案的自动生成和评估,提出了基于栅格元数据的地理信息表示模型、地域分析和评估模型、基于产生式规则的知识推理算法以及将模型、知识推理和实现方法紧密集成的决策支持模型,对基于地域分析的智能空间决策支持系统的系统结构和功能实现以及多层次决策支持技术进行了探索和研究。     

战场电磁环境可视化研究

对电磁空间的信息争夺是敌我双方争夺"信息优势"的主要战场。战场电磁环境的透明化及其作战研究是一个急需解决的问题。从作战指挥需要出发,提出了战场电磁环境可视化系统的设计原则及应满足的具体要求,列举了实现电磁环境可视化的几个基本要素,最后,对电磁环境可视化的技术实现做了详细介绍。     

联合任务计划决策支持系统研究与实现

分析联合任务计划决策支持系统概念和特征,以为联合任务计划制定全过程提供决策支持为牵引,研究联合任务计划决策支持系统军事需求,设计联合任务计划决策支持系统总体框架结构,介绍了在此基础上实现的原型系统及其应用。     

美军联合全资产可视化建设及其启示

美军在联合全资产可视化建设中成立了专门领导机构，综合集成自动化系统，并重视发展计划和研究论证，系统开发强调标准化、系列化，建设中运用全项目管理的方法。这些做法对我军建设带来有益启示，这就是：必须重视全资产可视化建设；要坚持试点先行；设立专门领导机构；重视标准制定工作；采取“军民融合”的组织模式。     

以数据为中心的C4ISR系统体系结构集成开发环境

体系结构设计是C4ISR系统总体设计的重要组成部分,针对以往体系结构设计中存在的问题和不足,研究了以数据为中心的C4ISR系统体系结构开发规范,并在此基础上,研制了相应的集成开发环境,分析了该环境的主要功能、集成框架以及相应的数据管理机制.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.