多层次信息融合技术在燃气轮机故障诊断中的应用

探讨了信息融合技术在燃气轮机故障诊断中的应用,构建出一种燃气轮机多层次信息融合故障诊断模型.在模型的数据融合层,采用了自适应加权融合算法,以最小化传感器测量不确定度为目标对同源测量数据进行了融合,其结果再经特征层进行故障特征的提取和融合,最终通过决策层给出诊断判定.数值实验结果证明,该故障模型能有效减小传感器测量不确定度对于诊断的不良影响,所得诊断结果的合理性和精度均得到了提高.     

自动测试系统多层次模糊综合评价方法

针对自动测试系统(ATS)多层次、多指标综合评价问题,提出了一种多层次模糊综合评价方法。首先通过德尔菲法确定系统的评价指标体系,并通过领域专家确定底层指标的隶属度矩阵;然后采用层次分析法确定各层指标的权重,并经过一致性检验;将底层的评价结果作为其上一层的隶属度矩阵,再根据相应层的权重进行评价,得到该层的评价结果。依次类推到最顶层,得到系统的最终评价结论和量化结果。最后以某型ATS为例验证了其有效性。     

电感测微仪检定装置不确定度评定

不确定度是测量工作的质量和测量结果可信赖程度和评价。按JJF 1059-1999、GJB 3756-1999标准规定,对我计量站的标准装置不确定度进行了详细分析,并按GJB/J 2749-1996要求对计量标准进行了重复性和稳定性考核以及不确定度的验证,最后给出了计量标准装置不确定度评定。     

三等量块标准装置不确定度评定

不确定度是测量工作的质量和测量结果可信赖程度和评价。按JJF 1059-1999、GJB 3756-1999标准规定,对我计量站的标准装置不确定度进行了详细分析,并按GJB/J 2749-1996要求对计量标准进行了重复性和稳定性考核以及不确定度的验证,最后给出了计量标准装置不确定度评定。     

混合总线网络化ATS硬件结构与组网方案设计

混合总线网络化ATS可整合多种总线测试仪器/设备功能,发挥不同总线测试平台优势,增强系统灵活性,节约新系统的构建成本.针对靶场测试设备现状,研究了基于网络化测试技术的混合总线ATS构建方法.提出了混合总线网络化ATS硬件结构并设计了利用接口适配器和利用网关设备2种组网方案.     

通用自动测试系统(ATS)体系结构及关键技术

自动测试系统(ATS)的出现为复杂装备系统的测试诊断开辟了一个新途径,它正朝着标准化、模块化、通用化方向发展.针对目前通用ATS不能通用的问题,研究了ATS的结构组成,描述了通用ATS的逻辑模型,然后就ATS通用化所涉及的关键技术进行了深入探讨,最后从工程应用的角度阐述了通用ATS的集成开发过程.     

基于辐照度标准传递的辐亮度校准系统

介绍了一种新型辐亮度校准系统,通过溯源至国家辐照度标准,构建了军用光辐射校准平台。对系统的测量不确定度分析表明,该系统可以满足装备计量保障对测试不确定度比的通用要求,适用于装备专用检测设备的辐亮度校准。     

基于Monte-Carlo方法的火炮瞄准校验系统精度评定

基于双经纬仪的火炮瞄准校验系统需要给出其校验精度,但传统的测量不确定度传递公式需要大量微分运算,校验精度计算很复杂,为此,提出了基于Monte-Carlo方法的火炮瞄准校验系统测量不确定度的评定。以调炮精度校验为例分析了校验系统的原理,结合调炮精度校验过程设计了基于Monte-Carlo方法的测量不确定度评定过程,分析比较了计算量的大小,并将评定结果与传统评定方法的结果进行比较。结果表明:二者一致性良好,Monte-Carlo方法能够完成对瞄准校验系统各校验项目的校验精度评定,并且简化了计算,节省了时间。     

同一块百分表采用不同检定方法产生示值误差的不确定度分析

本文分析了采用两种不同的计量检定系统对同一种测量器具进行检定,其引入的不确定度来源及测量不确定度,旨在分析计量检测结果量值的准确性和一致性。     

野战核爆探测主要参数测量不确定度的计算

以核爆炸探测中各参数测量偏差同时存在为定义条件（前提）,以各参数的综合测量偏并所产生的不吻合率在规定限值以内为要求,提出了核爆炸当量和爆心投影点不确定度（允许偏差）的计算方法,给出了核爆炸探测的不确定度在当量和爆心投影点两参数中的分配数据。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

SIM—LISP:一个通信网络管理专家系统外壳的设计与实现

本文介绍了笔者为开发名为OONMES的网络管理专家系统所实现的一个简单专家系统工具SIM-LISP。SIM-LISP是一个用C/C++语言来实现的模拟LISP语言的可调用函数集,它短小精巧,速度快,可以完成针对网管专家系统的事实或规则知识的表示、匹配、合一和推理等基本操作,并有与知识对象的连接功能,是网管专家系统内核实现的支撑环境。     

Al Qaida on the US invasion of Afghanistan in their own words

This article consists of selected translations from captured interviews and dairies of Al Qaida members. The time period covered is from mid-2001 to early 2002 and concerns their operations in Afghanistan. The material clearly conveys a range of emotion, from confident to despondent, as well as efforts to contest the US actions. The first several pages give the reader context and some possible “lessons learned,” but the story(ies) are best told by the Al Qaida members themselves. All names are pseudonyms.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.