Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions with interval censored samples

This article studies the problem of designing Bayesian sampling plans (BSP) with interval censored samples. First, an algorithm for deriving the conventional BSP is proposed. The BSP is shown to possess some monotonicity. Based on the BSP and using the property of monotonicity, a new sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure is proposed. The resulting curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) can reduce the duration time of life test experiment, and it is optimal in the sense that its associated Bayes risk is smaller than the Bayes risk of the BSP if the cost of the duration time of life test experiment is considered. A numerical example to compute the Bayes risks of BSP and CBSP and related quantities is given. Also, a Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to illustrate the performance of the CBSP compared with the BSP. The simulation results demonstrate that our proposed CBSP has better performance because it has smaller risk. The CBSP is recommended. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 604–616, 2015     

试析战后日本政府对“慰安妇”问题的认识

日本"慰安妇"问题是第二次世界大战的遗留问题,自20世纪90年代初被揭露以来,特别是1993年日本"河野谈话"的发表,受到国际社会尤其是亚洲地区的强烈关注。但是在战争已经过去70年的今天,具有加害责任的日本政府,不但没有认罪并进行赔偿,还极力加以否认和篡改历史,这与日本社会在如何认识侵略战争历史和如何承担战争责任等原则问题上出现的右倾化趋势密不可分。日本政府只有正视历史罪行,才能得到世界人民的谅解和认同。     

基于非均匀调制函数模型的非平稳地震动模拟

通过对地震动演变谱模型化分析,在精确估计地震动时变功率谱的基础上,利用多元函数目标优化方法识别地震动的非均匀调制函数模型参数,从而建立了基于非均匀调制函数模型的时频非平稳地震动模拟方法。对给定初始地震波和直接给定模型参数2个算例的分析表明,应用本文方法模拟的地震波可以较好实现时频非平稳,而且对目标反应谱也具有较好的拟合精度。     

MoDTP作锂基润滑脂添加剂的摩擦学性能研究

考察二烷基二硫代磷酸氧钼(Mo DTP)作锂基润滑脂添加剂时的摩擦学性能,并与传统添加剂二硫化钼(Mo S2)进行对比;采用扫描电子显微镜(SEM)及能量色散X射线分析仪(EDX)对长磨后钢球磨斑表面形貌及元素进行观测和分析,探讨Mo DTP的润滑作用机理。结果表明:在不同荷载下,Mo DTP作添加剂比Mo S2具有更好的减摩抗磨性能和更高的PB值,但PD值较低;摩擦过程中Mo DTP与摩擦副表面发生反应,生成了摩擦学性能显著的润滑层。     

基于改进Morison公式的海上漂浮软管波浪载荷计算

针对海上漂浮软管波浪载荷计算,分析了软管在海上的形态和受力特点,建立了海上漂浮软管力学分析模型,指出直接运用现有Morison方程计算漂浮软管波浪载荷存在的不足,并根据基本原理提出了改进Morison方程。对海上软质管线处于一定海况,分别运用改进Morison方程与现有Morison方程计算海上波浪载荷,并运用ANSYS软件建立软管模型,结果表明现有Morison方程不适用于计算海上漂浮软管波浪载荷,载荷计算结果偏高约15%,从而验证了改进Morison方程的精确性,有利于准确分析波浪载荷对海上漂浮软管的作用情况。     

多源文本数据真值发现方法

针对传统真值发现算法无法直接应用于文本数据的问题,提出基于深度神经网络面向多源文本数据的真值发现算法(NN_Truth)。根据文本答案多因素性、词语使用多样性以及文本数据稀疏性等特点,将“数据源-答案”向量作为网络输入,识别答案真值向量作为网络输出,依据真值发现的一般假设,无监督学习各数据源答案向量间关联关系,并最终获得答案真值。实验结果表明,该算法适用于文本数据真值发现场景,较基于检索的方法及传统真值发现算法效果更优。     

Monitoring and Prediction of the Vibration Intensity of Seismic Waves Induced in Underwater Rock by Underwater Drilling and Blasting

All underwater drilling and blasting operations generate seismic waves.However,due to a lack of suitable vibration sensing instruments,most studies on the propagation of seismic waves have been limited to shorelines near construction areas or wharfs,whereas comparatively few studies have been conducted on the larger seafloor itself.To address this gap,a seafloor vibration sensor system was developed and applied in this study that consists of an autonomous acquisition storage terminal,soft-ware platform,and hole-plugging device that was designed to record the blasting vibration intensities received through submarine rocks at a given measurement point.Additionally,dimensional analyses were used to derive a predictive equation for the strength of blast vibrations that considered the in-fluence of the water depth.By combining reliable vibration data obtained using the sensor system in submarine rock and the developed predictive equation,it was determined that the water depth was an important factor influencing the measured vibration strength.The results using the newly derived equation were compared to those determined using the Sadowski equation,which is commonly used on land,and it was found that predictions using the derived equation were closer to the experimental values with an average error of less than 10％,representing a significant improvement.Based on these results,the developed sensor system and preliminary theoretical basis was deemed suitable for studying the propagation behavior of submarine seismic waves generated by underwater drilling and blasting operations.     

传统的方位定义应用局限性研究

本文分析了传统的方位定义与计算存在的应用局限性根源,提出了适合航海及各种规模军事演练需求的改进的方位定义和计算方法,并分析了两种方位定义下的方位计算误差及适用条件.     

Optimal inventory control policy for periodic‐review inventory systems with inventory‐level‐dependent demand

We consider a setting in which inventory plays both promotional and service roles; that is, higher inventories not only improve service levels but also stimulate demand by serving as a promotional tool (e.g., as the result of advertising effect by the enhanced product visibility). Specifically, we study the periodic‐review inventory systems in which the demand in each period is uncertain but increases with the inventory level. We investigate the multiperiod model with normal and expediting orders in each period, that is, any shortage will be met through emergency replenishment. Such a model takes the lost sales model as a special case. For the cases without and with fixed order costs, the optimal inventory replenishment policy is shown to be of the base‐stock type and of the (s,S) type, respectively. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

助推段反TBM装备发展构想

根据战术弹道导弹射程与助推段发动机关机高度和关机点距发射点斜距的关系,比较了2种周边国家和地区的战术弹道导弹助推段发动机关机数据,通过设想的反导武器,分析了对这2种战术弹道导弹拦截的可行性,结合可行性分析结果,提出助推段预警、指控、拦截等反导装备的发展构想。