A trajectory for homeland ballistic missile defense

The Ground-based Midcourse Defense system is intended to protect the US homeland against limited attacks from intermediate- and long-range ballistic missiles. It has succeeded in intercepting target missiles and can engage a threat launched from North Korea or the Middle East, targeting any point in the USA. Nevertheless, high-profile struggles and program changes related to homeland ballistic missile defense (BMD) continue to make headlines. The most significant struggle has been a string of three straight intercept test failures over five years, followed by the recent successful intercept test in June 2014. This article first briefly reviews the current threats of concern. It then examines homeland BMD policy objectives, followed by the current major technical issues in supporting these objectives and, then, the likelihood of negating a warhead. Finally, it highlights major considerations that should be part of the trajectory the US government takes moving forward.     

一种结合弹道规律的模糊交互式多模型算法

针对交互式多模型算法中转移概率矩阵与实际运动不匹配而影响跟踪精度的问题,通过分析某型导弹的典型弹道,将弹道规律融合到模型概率转移矩阵中,然后将转移概率模糊化处理,提出了一种基于弹道规律的模糊交互式多模型算法,然后以导弹蛇形运动转至比例导引的机动过程为例进行了仿真验证,比较了典型交互式多模型算法和模糊交互式多模型算法的跟踪性能。仿真结果表明:该算法可显著提高导弹机动段的跟踪精度。     

基于差分进化算法的铁磁物体磁化率优化方法

针对工程中铁磁物体磁化率难以确定的问题,以单元表面积分铁磁物体感应磁场模型为基础,利用磁场测量值建立了多维磁化率数学优化模型,并运用具有全局多维寻优能力的进化差分算法对多维磁化率数学模型进行了求解,进而确定了铁磁物体的感应磁场分布。最后,设计了空心圆筒磁测实验,实验结果表明:该方法能有效获取铁磁物质多维磁化率,还能精确计算铁磁物体的感应磁场分布。     

稀疏卷积计算高效数据加载与输出缓存策略

针对现有神经网络加速器在处理稀疏神经网络时存在的数据加载效率低、乘加资源利用率低、输出缓存寻址逻辑复杂等问题,提出了稀疏卷积计算高效数据加载与输出缓存策略。将属于同一输入通道的非零输入特征图像数据和非零权重进行全对全乘累加运算,降低了非零数据配对难度,提高了乘加资源利用率;通过采用输入驻留计算,以及密集型循环加载特征图像数据,大幅减少了数据片外调取次数;优化了输出缓存设计,解决了现有方案中存在的输出缓存地址访问争用、存储拥塞等问题。实验表明,与采用类似架构的细粒度脉动加速器相比,在处理单元面积上减少了21.45%;在数据加载速度方面平均提高了117.71%在平均乘法器利用率方面提高了11.25%,达到89%。     

基于改进IMM-UKF的弹道导弹再入段跟踪数据滤波?

针对弹道系数未知的弹道导弹再入段跟踪雷达测量数据滤波这类非线性强的滤波问题,提出可变多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波算法。利用无迹卡尔曼滤波逼近精度高,计算量小,适应于任意非线性模型的特点,将其作为多模型的基本滤波器;滤波算法根据各模型正确描述目标状态的概率,动态地改变多模型数量和模型参数。上述方法的综合运用,提高对目标状态估计精度,降低了计算的复杂度,仿真实验验证了方法的有效性。     

战术导弹对机场跑道多波次打击时的瞄准点选择方法

为了解决使用战术导弹对机场跑道实施多波次打击时的瞄准点选择问题,在考虑具有先前毁伤效果的累积效应基础上,按照优先打击最小起降窗口、使最小维修窗口中维修工作量最大的思路,设计了一种瞄准点选择方法,可为相应的导弹作战运用提供参考。所附算例说明了文中方法的可行性。     

ADVANCED US CONVENTIONAL WEAPONS AND NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT

The Obama administration has made a great effort to increase the role of advanced conventional weaponry in US national security thinking and practice, in part to help reinvigorate the global nuclear disarmament agenda by reducing the role played by nuclear weapons in the US defense posture. However, such a strategy is fundamentally flawed because increases in US conventional superiority will exacerbate US relative strength vis-à-vis other powers, and therefore make the prospect of a nuclear weapon-free world seem less attractive to Washington's current and potential nuclear rivals. Consequently, it is highly likely that the impact of efforts to increase US advanced conventional superiority through ballistic missile defense and a conventional “prompt global strike” program will ensure that the Obama administration is adopting a pathway to nuclear abolition on which it is the sole traveler for the foreseeable future.     

UNDER THE RADAR?

Missile Contagion: Cruise Missile Proliferation and the Threat to International Security, by Dennis M. Gormley. Praeger Security International, 2008. 272 pages, $54.95.     

地球外部空间扰动引力并行计算

针对传统的司托克斯积分方法计算量大、模型复杂的缺点,通过将地球球面以适当的经纬度差进行划分及合理简化,实现了司托克斯积分法计算外部空间扰动引力的积分方程的离散化,建立了地球扰动引力的快速计算模型,并在快速计算模型的基础上采用并行计算技术,实现扰动引力的实时计算。仿真结果表明,提出的快速并行计算模型能较好地实现地球扰动引力的快速、高精度计算。     

运载火箭摄动制导导引系数实时计算方法

对于新型运载火箭,没有相近型号导引系数数据供参考,采用传统试探法计算量大,在制导方案初期论证中不能满足多方案快速计算的需求。在引入理想弹道剩余飞行速度概念的基础上,提出导引系数实时计算方法。本方法对当前实时状态参数和后续飞行段弹道进行了综合考虑,通过数字仿真表明导引精度高于传统常系数导引方法。由于本方法对导引能力进行了预估,因而制导指令不会剧烈变化,易于姿态控制系统的设计实现。同时,由于采用完全解析法,对箭载计算机计算能力要求几乎没有增加,易于工程实现。