The Relative Efficacy of the Biological and Chemical Weapon Regimes

The biological and chemical weapon nonproliferation and disarmament regimes are often put forward as models of what the nuclear nonproliferation regime could (or should) be. But are these regimes effective? If so, is one stronger and/or more effective than the other? What is it that makes them relatively stronger than the nuclear nonproliferation regime? In this article, we return to and expand upon a framework for assessing regime health and effectiveness. We utilize this framework to engage in a comparative analysis of the chemical weapon (CW) and biological weapon (BW) nonproliferation regimes, respectively. Our analysis reveals that these two regimes are comparatively healthier than their nuclear counterpart. While some of their behavioral features might be troubling—such as the disputes over stockpile destruction of CW—these tend to be mitigated by the presence of a strong norm against possession and proliferation of both CW and BW. This norm is adequately embedded into the existing institutional features of the regimes in ways that do not exist in the nuclear nonproliferation regime.     

日本防卫产业发展潜力问题分析

日本自卫队追求能力提升和活动范围扩大的努力受到其防卫产业发展的局限。防卫预算的有限直接导致防卫产业的市场规模狭小。部分核心技术自主研发的缺失限制了防卫产业独立发展的能力。融合式发展模式在成本核算、劳动生产率提升和产业发展稳定性等方面限制了防卫产业发展的潜力。     

对生化恐怖袭击抢险救援的思考

消防部队担负着处置生化恐怖袭击事件的抢险救援任务。在分析生化灾害及处置生化灾害的特点的基础上 ,提出提高消防部队处置生化灾害综合能力的措施。     

基于主成分分析法的危险化学品事故统计分析方法研究

通过对2002~2007年危险化学品事故数据进行统计分析,运用主成分分析法（Princ ipal Component Analysis,PCA）计算得到危险化学品事故发生的第一主成分,进一步分析得出危险化学品事故主要发生在使用环节和生产环节。利用主成分分析法得出的结论,针对危险化学品在使用、生产环节采取得当的预防措施,可以为有效减少危险化学品事故的发生提供科学决策依据。     

The effects of customer rebates and retailer incentives on a manufacturer's profits and sales

In some industries such as automotive, production costs are largely fixed and therefore maximizing revenue is the main objective. Manufacturers use promotions directed to the end customers and/or retailers in their distribution channels to increase sales and market share. We study a game theoretical model to examine the impact of “retailer incentive” and “customer rebate” promotions on the manufacturer's pricing and the retailer's ordering/sales decisions. The main tradeoff is that customer rebates are given to every customer, while the use of retailer incentives is controlled by the retailer. We consider several models with different demand characteristics and information asymmetry between the manufacturer and a price discriminating retailer, and we determine which promotion would benefit the manufacturer under which market conditions. When demand is deterministic, we find that retailer incentives increase the manufacturer's profits (and sales) while customer rebates do not unless they lead to market expansion. When the uncertainty in demand (“market potential”) is high, a customer rebate can be more profitable than the retailer incentive for the manufacturer. With numerical examples, we provide additional insights on the profit gains by the right choice of promotion.© 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

生化恐怖袭击及其应对策略

本文指出了生化恐怖活动发展的历史趋势、分析了大规模生化恐怖活动兴起的原因 ,并分析了恐怖分子获得生化武器的可能性 ,对于可能发生的大规模生化恐怖活动提出了的应对策略     

用LIIF法测量DF/HF化学激光器喷管混合性能的数值分析

激光诱导碘荧光(LIIF)是一种很好的流场测量技术,为了验证该方法测量化学激光器流场混合性能的精度,模拟得到连续波DF HF化学激光器的HYLTE喷管冷流场,并计算了用氦碘混合气体作为氧化剂流、用氦气作为燃料流的HYLTE喷管的流场。通过比较前一流场中的氟原子和后一流场中的碘分子的摩尔百分比分布情况得知,当作为氧化剂流的氦碘混合物中碘的质量百分比在54%左右时,用LIIF法测量DF HF化学激光器喷管的混合情况具有较高的精度。     

电激励HF/DF化学激光器放电管管径优化实验研究

减小现有电激励HF/DF化学激光器放电管的内径有利于多模块集成,并可能有利于提高激光器性能.对内径分别为28mm、20mm、16mm的三种放电管的辉光放电特性及激光器运行参数进行了实验研究.注入NF3后,三种放电管中等离子体发生了不同程度的收缩现象.内径20mm放电管收缩比率最小,而且总耗气量最低,激光器输出功率和电光...     

化学激光器环形与线形分流管道对比的数值分析

环柱型化学激光器中使用的分流管道的总管为环形弯曲管道,支管分布在内侧圆弧或外侧圆弧上,结构与线形分流管道有较大差别。应用计算流体力学方法,对上述各分流管道进行了三维的数值模拟及对比分析。结果表明,线形分流管道总管内的总压高于支管分布在外侧圆弧上的环形管道,但低于支管分布在内侧圆弧上的环形管道;无论是支管分流,抑或环形管道内的二次流现象都会使总管截面上产生径向速度,使得流体流动呈现明显的三维特征;分流管道各支管流量沿主流流动方向基本上是上升的,这与总管的总压分布趋势相反,而与总管的静压分布趋势相似;比较而言,支管分布在外侧圆弧上的环形分流管道的支管流量波动幅度最小,在均匀分配气流方面最具优势,线形分流管道居中,支管分布在内侧圆弧上的环形分流管道最差。     

不同初始条件下乙醇-空气预混合气层流燃烧火焰结构分析

给出了一个扩展的乙醇化学反应动力学机理并给予了验证。利用此扩展机理分别计算了不同初始条件下乙醇-空气混合气一维层流自由传播火焰中反应物、自由基、碳基中间产物和燃烧产物的分布规律,预测了NOx的浓度分布曲线。对于乙醇-空气火焰,得到的主要结论有：主要自由基OH、H和O浓度随初始压力增加而减小;随初始温度增加而增加;随氮气稀释度的增加而减小。自由基浓度随初始条件的变化规律部分地解释了实验和计算得到的层流燃烧速度随初始条件的变化规律。