The impact of military spending cutbacks on economic activity in an incentive‐wage two‐sector aggregative economy∗

We examine the theoretical outcomes of disarmament on economic activity in a two‐sector model of endogenous equilibrium unemployment rate. Three main shocks are analyzed: Exogenous cutbacks in military spending on the capital good and employment, and a reduction in public sector debt. The first shock is contractionary for equilibrium employment if the capital‐goods producing sector is relatively labour‐intensive but expansionary under the alternative factor intensity assumption. The second shock is contractionary for employment under either relative factor intensity assumption. If Ricardian equivalence fails, a reduction in public sector debt is likely to expand long‐term employment (JEL E24).     

基于小波神经网络的货运量预测

选取我国1979—2011年国民生产总值、能源生产总值、进出口贸易额、社会消费品零售总额和固定资产投资总额5项指标作为货运总量的主要影响因素,以货运总量为输出,建立了基于Morlet小波函数的小波神经网络预测模型。该模型能够揭示货运量与相关变量之间的非线性映射关系,经实例分析得到了较满意的结果,并通过与实际货运量和BP神经网络预测结果的对比,证明了小波神经网络在货运量预测方面应用的可行性。     

低速凤洞均匀抽吸地板系统

在KD－03低速风洞中研制了一种附面层可人为地控制的均匀抽吸地板系统。在不同来流速度和不同抽吸系数条件下，对均匀抽吸地板上附面层速度分布进行了实验研究。实验结果与理论计算结果一致。在该地板上的高速列车模型风洞实验的结果与国外同类模型在移动带地板上的实验结果一致。利用均匀抽吸地板可有效地消除阻面层的影响，从而提高模型风洞实验气动力的试验精度。     

奇异积分方程在裂纹板条动态断裂分析中的应用(II)

采用Ｄｕｒｂｉｎ反演法,将Ｌａｐｌａｃｅ变换域中的动态应力强度因子转换为时域中的解。给出了数值算例,证实了本文方法的合理性。通过对计算结果的分析,得出了一系列有趣而有意义的结论     

动力车纵向气动力风洞试验及数值模拟

采用风洞试验(在地板抽吸和不抽吸情况下)和数值模拟计算对200km/h动力集中型电动旅客列车组动力车纵向气动力进行了研究,得到了动力车作为头、尾车的纵向气动力系数。结果表明,地板抽吸后,头、尾车空气阻力均有明显增加,头车负升力增加,尾车正升力减少;动力车头、尾两车联挂时底部空气阻力占总的空气阻力的25.9%,列车减阻的重点在车体底部空气阻力。     

空投鱼雷入水点影响因素研究

航空自导鱼雷具有命中精度高、威力大、攻潜效果好等特点。针对反潜直升机空投鱼雷作战使用的特点,深入分析了空投鱼雷的空中弹道、直升机的运动态势和风速风向等影响空投鱼雷入水点位置的关键因素,并得到了各要素的数学描述,进而通过仿真分析得到了直升机运动态势和风速风向对空投鱼雷入水点的影响。     

飞行器动态滑翔的受力平衡状态

为了研究动态滑翔的物理本质,从受力平衡的角度出发,根据物理定律推导平衡方程,从数学上求解出方程解集构成的平衡曲线。以信天翁和某小型无人机在不同风梯度下滑翔为例对平衡曲线进行仿真。分析和仿真结果表明:平衡曲线是满足受力平衡的所有速度状态的集合,由上升和下降两个分支构成;上升分支只有当风梯度足够大时才存在,是动态滑翔的关键。     

某微型车的噪声分析及进气消声器的应用

通过整车车外噪声分离实验和发动机台架声强实验,发现造成某型车外加速噪声偏高的主要噪声源是其发动机的进气噪声。在对发动机进气噪声进行频谱分析后,得出了构成进气噪声的主要频率成份,在此分析的基础上设计了一种亥姆赫兹(Helmholtz)共振式进气消声器。安装进气消声器后,根据国家相关标准进行了发动机台架实验和整车车外加速噪声实验,结果表明进气噪声得到有效控制,从而使整车车外加速噪声降噪声量达6 6dB(A)。     

Hypersonic impact flash characteristics of a long-rod projectile collision with a thin plate target

Impact flash occurs when objects collide at supersonic speeds and can be used for real-time damage assessment when weapons rely on kinetic energy to destroy targets.However,the mechanism of impact flash remains unclear.A series of impact flash experiments of flat-head long-rod projectiles impacting thin target plates were performed with a two-stage light gas gun.The impact flash spectra for 6061 aluminum at 1.3-3.2 km/s collision speeds were recorded with a high-speed camera,a photoelectric sensor,and a time-resolved spectrometer.The intensity of the impact flash exhibited a pulse charac-teristic with time.The intensity(I)increased with impact velocity(V0)according to I∝Vn0,where n = 4.41 for V0 ＞ 2 km/s.However,for V0 ＜ 2 km/s,n = 2.21,and the intense flash duration is an order of magnitude less than that of higher V0.When V0 ＞ 2 km/s,a continuous spectrum(thermal radiation background)was observed and increased in intensity with V0.However,for V0 ＜ 2 km/s,only atomic line spectra were detected.There was no aluminum spectral lines for V0 ＜ 2 km/s,which indicated that it had not been vaporized.The initial intense flash was emission from excited and ionized ambient gases near the impact surface,and had little relationship with shock temperature rise,indicating a new mechanism of impact flash.     

组合预测法在战时单兵日均物资需求预测中的应用

分析、研究、预测战时物资需求量,进而拟制相应的物资保障方案,是提高战时物资保障计划性和有效性的客观要求。利用灰色预测法和趋势预测法建立模型并进行预测,在对比分析各种物资需求预测方法的基础上,建立了基于最小二乘法加权的战时单兵日均物资需求的组合预测模型,为我军进行战时物资需求预测提供了一种可借鉴的方法。