基于备件需求预测的两步法理论?

在对备件需求时间序列研究的基础上,结合指数平滑法和Croston法的特点,分析了指数平滑法与两步法的原理,通过对指数平滑法和两步法方差的研究,得到两步法是指数平滑法的一般形式的结论,为两步法的进一步研究提供一定的理论支撑。     

保凸插值样条曲线的一种构造方法

本文提出了一种描述保凸三次参数插值曲线的新算法。算法构造局部、计算简单有效,算法对开曲线和闭曲线都适合,最后给出了几个曲线构造的例子。     

指数分布下可靠性参数的样条经验 Bayes 估计

基于可靠性参数的验前密度函数的样条密度估计，本文推导出指数分布失效率和可靠性函数的经验Ｂａｙｅｓ估计，并采用数学仿真将其与传统的Ｂａｙｅｓ方法，如Ｇａｍ ｍ ａ 验前分布的情况，进行了比较。仿真结果表明，本文的方法是有效的     

加肋凹锥-环-柱结合壳结构参数分析

采用分区样条等参元法,分析了加肋凹锥 环 柱结合壳的应力和稳定性特点,研究了各项结构参数变化对结合壳应力和稳定性的影响,认为加肋凹锥 环 柱结合壳能有效降低锥柱结合部的纵向弯曲应力,但对于降低环向应力效果有限,建议在环壳段中部增加一档肋骨;半锥角的凹结合壳越大,嵌入环壳段的优势越明显;增大环壳与柱壳半径比可以有效降低环壳段中部的纵向弯曲应力.     

Signal‐to‐interference‐plus‐noise ratio estimation for wireless communication systems: Methods and analysis

The Signal‐to‐Interference‐plus‐Noise Ratio (SINR) is an important metric of wireless communication link quality. SINR estimates have several important applications. These include optimizing the transmit power level for a target quality of service, assisting with handoff decisions and dynamically adapting the data rate for wireless Internet applications. Accurate SINR estimation provides for both a more efficient system and a higher user‐perceived quality of service. In this paper, we develop new SINR estimators and compare their mean squared error (MSE) performance. We show that our new estimators dominate estimators that have previously appeared in the literature with respect to MSE. The sequence of transmitted bits in wireless communication systems consists of both pilot bits (which are known both to the transmitter and receiver) and user bits (which are known only by the transmitter). The SINR estimators we consider alternatively depend exclusively on pilot bits, exclusively on user bits, or simultaneously use both pilot and user bits. In addition, we consider estimators that utilize smoothing and feedback mechanisms. Smoothed estimators are motivated by the fact that the interference component of the SINR changes relatively slowly with time, typically with the addition or departure of a user to the system. Feedback estimators are motivated by the fact that receivers typically decode bits correctly with a very high probability, and therefore user bits can be thought of as quasipilot bits. For each estimator discussed, we derive an exact or approximate formula for its MSE. Satterthwaite approximations, noncentral F distributions (singly and doubly) and distribution theory of quadratic forms are the key statistical tools used in developing the MSE formulas. In the case of approximate MSE formulas, we validate their accuracy using simulation techniques. The approximate MSE formulas, of interest in their own right for comparing the quality of the estimators, are also used for optimally combining estimators. In particular, we derive optimal weights for linearly combining an estimator based on pilot bits with an estimator based on user bits. The optimal weights depend on the MSE of the two estimators being combined, and thus the accurate approximate MSE formulas can conveniently be used. The optimal weights also depend on the unknown SINR, and therefore need to be estimated in order to construct a useable combined estimator. The impact on the MSE of the combined estimator due to estimating the weights is examined. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

在柴油机放热曲线计算中两个关键问题的解决方法

对影响柴油机放热曲线精度计算的因素进行了讨论 ,并对影响放热率计算的主要问题如动态上止点修正、示功图光顺处理两个主要环节进行了分析研究 ,提出了解决方法 .     

基于实际飞行数据插值的INS/GNSS组合导航仿真轨迹发生器

针对INS/GNSS组合导航仿真中,捷联惯导系统陀螺、加速度计信号高精度模拟问题,提出了基于实际飞行数据插值的动态轨迹解析生成仿真算法。对转换到地心惯性坐标系中的载体姿态、位置和重力场数据进行关于时间的样条函数插值,得到载体坐标系下陀螺角速率、角增量以及加速度计比力积分增量的高精度分段解析表达式。使生成的陀螺、加速度计信号符合载体运动学和动力学特性,反映杆臂效应影响,同时与经事后处理的实测GNSS伪距、伪距率等数据特征保持一致。提出了四元数约束插值算法,可满足四元数解析插值时范数为1的约束限制条件。基于某实际无人机飞行数据,验证了所提出算法的有效性,完全满足组合导航动态仿真精度要求。该算法也适用于其他高精度高动态导航系统和刚体运动控制仿真中的角运动、线运动传感器信号模拟。     

某型大口径狙击步枪闭锁系统优化设计

对某型大口径狙击步枪的闭锁系统进行优化分析,利用三次样条曲线得出了合理的机头开闭锁曲线,以及优化的导气装置和闭锁机构结构参数,其结果为进一步改进该枪的结构参数提供了理论依据。     

样条函数康特诺维奇法在复合材料板和圆柱曲板弯曲及线性稳定性分析中的应用

样条函数康特诺维奇法是作者首先提出的一种结构数值计算方法。它实质上是一种离散形式的康特诺维奇法,将二维问题化为一维问题,使问题的自由度数大幅度减少。在本文中,基于Mindlin假设,将样条函数康特诺维奇法应用于金属、复合材料单层板及圆柱曲板的弯曲及线性稳定性分析。     

单调光滑函数的保形插值算法

对于给定的单调数组,本文描述了一种保形二次插值样条函数。插值函数结构简单、计算方便。最后估计了插值函数的误差。