金属射流欧姆加热效应的影响因素分析

为探究影响金属射流欧姆加热效应的因素,在被动电磁装甲系统等效电路模型的基础上,根据虚拟源点理论建立金属射流的作用时间模型,进一步明确金属射流在侵彻被动电磁装甲过程中每部分射流微元的作用时间;结合金属射流的比作用量模型,利用Matlab软件对金属射流的电流和比作用量波形随被动电磁装甲系统的电感、电容、电阻和充电电压的变化规律进行数值分析．仿真结果表明：随着系统电感的减小、电阻的减小、电容的增大和充电电压的增大,金属射流比作用量的峰值增大,有利于射流发生电爆炸．     

基于占有率的信号相位交通状态实时判别模型

在国内交通检测手段的现实背景下,各种道路交通状态判别模型的可靠性和实用性一直不足。因此基于车道战略检测器和战术检测器的时间占有率提出了一种新的实用的相位交通状态判别模型,其中包括检测器的布设,占有率阈值的确定,相位交通状态的判别方法。通过VISSIM4.2仿真实验证明,该模型可以准确地判定符合人们主观判断的相位交通状态,并且可以很好地应用目前普遍采用的检测手段,实用性强。     

基于XML的武器装备作战需求核心数据管理方法

武器装备作战需求核心数据管理是作战需求分析的基础。针对目前作战需求缺乏统一的底层数据管理标准的现状,制定了基于XML的核心数据存储、抽取和一致性检验策略,实现了作战需求核心数据的管理。实践应用表明,该方法能够为需求论证工程化提供有效的底层数据支撑。     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

火灾公众责任保险与消防治理问题研究

阐述了火灾公众责任保险的涵义,分析了火灾公众责任保险在消防治理中的作用,梳理了火灾公众责任保险的发展现状问题,进而提出消防治理视阈下火灾公众责任保险的发展思路。     

论全球化时代背景下的边境管理活动

在全球化时代背景下,边境管理活动已经和正在发生着明显的变化,不同的国家进行着迥异的管理,多样化的管理方式说明了边境管理活动本身的复杂性。过去有学者认为边境管理是武装警卫边境的活动,现在有学者认为边境管理是行政管理活动、甚至仅仅是一种服务行为。笔者认为,边境管理活动是一个综合体,边境管理可以是军事方式、行政方式或者其他方式,这完全取决于一国安全和发展的需要。     

实弹射击弹着点定位算法研究

弹着点定位是实弹射击中实现自动报靶的关键。利用弹头撞击钢质靶板产生的振动波到达四个顶点上的振动传感器的时间差,来实现弹着点的定位。弹着点的位置定位算法,利用两次加权的方法,消除噪声等因素产生的误差,最后经过实验测试,分别对一次、二次加权的结果进行仿真以及数据的拟合。结果证明,该算法对弹着点的位置估计随着加权次数的增加,也会更加接近实际值。     

机载雷达功率管理建模与仿真

分析了截获形成的条件,给出功率管理建模的4步通用流程,并得出影响功率管理策略的2个因素:雷达体制和目标类型。结合技战术环境及应用背景,对雷达的几种主要体制和目标类型进行组合,选取出4种典型的工作模式,分别建立功率管理数学模型。最后设定2种典型作战场景进行功率管理仿真。仿真结果证明了所建立的功率管理模型的准确性和有效性。     

Impact of tax reduction policies on consumer purchase of new automobiles: An analytical investigation with real data‐based experiments

We investigate and compare the impact of the tax reduction policies implemented in the United States and China to stimulate consumer purchase of new automobiles and improve manufacturers' profits. The U.S. policy provides each qualifying consumer with a federal income tax deduction on state and local sales and excise taxes paid on the purchase price (up to a cutoff level), whereas the Chinese policy reduces the vehicle sales tax rate for consumers. We observe that these policy designs are consistent with the tax management system and the economic environment in the respective country. We analytically determine the effects of the two tax reduction policies on the automobile sales and the manufacturer's and the retailer's profits. Numerical examples are then used to provide insights on the importance of certain factors that influence the effects of the two policies. Finally, a numerical experiment with sensitivity analysis based on real data is conducted to compare the merits and characteristics of the two policies under comparable conditions. We find that the U.S. policy is better than the Chinese policy in stimulating the sales of high‐end automobiles, whereas the Chinese policy is better than the U.S. policy in improving the sales of low‐end automobiles. The U.S. policy is slightly more effective in increasing the profitability of the automobile supply chain; but, in general, the Chinese policy is more cost effective. The methodology developed herein can be used to evaluate other tax reduction policies such as those related to the purchase of energy‐saving vehicles and to serve as a decision model to guide the choice of alternative tax reduction policies. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 577–598, 2014     

捷联惯导在线标定的时间延迟补偿方法影响分析

在捷联惯导在线标定过程中,由于主惯导的解算和传输延迟,子惯导解算信息与进行匹配的基准信息不能完全同步,有些情况下时间延迟较大,且对标定精度的影响很大。首先介绍了一种消除时间延迟的方法,而后重点仿真研究了该方法中同步误差△t对捷联惯导在线标定精度的影响,仿真结果表明忽略会△t导致个别参数轻微发散,故为了进一步提高标定精度,在标定过程中考虑同步误差△t是必要的。