Gauss伪谱法的再入可达域计算方法

为了加快优化速度和提高优化质量,提出一种基于Gauss伪谱法的再入可达域计算方法。鉴于再入时一般采用固定的攻角剖面,将攻角作为状态变量,仅对倾侧角进行单变量寻优。优化过程中,再入纵程被视为终端约束,以获取不同纵程下的最大横程,将速度倾角视为过程约束,以消除弹道的跳跃现象。通过仿真,求解出了通用航空飞行器的再入可达域,结果与间接法的理论证明一致。     

垂发超近程导弹弹道优化设计

垂发超近程导弹弹道优化设计是通过设计飞行攻角和发动机推力参数使得导弹性能指标达到最优或次优。针对超近程导弹垂直发射的特点给出发动机推力的分段准则,设计导弹初始飞行状态、飞行过程状态和终端弹道状态参数等约束条件,建立导弹运动学模型和多约束条件下弹道优化模型。基于hp-伪谱法将弹道优化问题转变成非线性规划问题。最后将优化方案所得的结果和遗传算法的优化结果进行对比分析验证优化方案的合理性。仿真结果表明可为垂发超近程导弹弹道设计提供参考。     

助推-滑翔飞行器可达区域影响因素研究

利用Radau伪谱法将连续的助推-滑翔飞行器轨迹优化问题转化为非线性规划问题,通过仿真得到了飞行器完整的可达区域,着重分析了升阻比、终端速度以及终端倾角对飞行器可达区域的影响.研究结果表明,可达区域呈现出类椭圆结构,其地理区域覆盖能力由助推火箭关机点速度决定;与终端倾角对飞行器可达区域的影响相比,飞行器升阻比特性和终端速度的影响相对较大.     

冲压发动机导弹轨迹/总体参数一体化优化设计

对以冲压发动机为动力导弹的轨迹/总体参数一体化优化设计问题进行了研究。建立了一体化优化的相关数学模型,提出采用高斯伪谱法将一体化优化中的轨迹最优控制问题参数化,然后用序列二次规划方法求解该一体化优化问题。仿真结果表明,经过一体化优化设计,起飞质量比不考虑轨迹优化的方案减少了4.06%。总体参数优化结合轨迹优化最大程度地挖掘了导弹总体设计的潜力,提高了总体性能。其结果可为冲压发动机导弹总体优化设计研究提供理论参考。     

高斯伪谱法在变推力导弹弹道优化中的应用

为实现对可变推力固体火箭发动机推进剂的充分利用,以近程导弹拦截目标为特定研究场景,在推进剂质量给定的情况下采用Gauss伪谱法进行弹道优化设计。该方法采用变推力控制,选用固体火箭发动机实现推力可调,由比例导引给出制导指令,研究Gauss伪谱法在变推力导弹弹道优化中的应用方法,最终得到目标函数及约束条件下的比例导引变推力优化方案。仿真结果表明了高斯伪谱法应用于可变推力导弹弹道优化设计的有效性,同时与传统发动机方案下的弹道进行对比,表明了变推力控制在导弹弹道性能上的优越性。     

潜射导弹无动力运载器规避弹道仿真

基于无动力运载器规避弹道方案的可行性,建立了潜射导弹无动力运载器水弹道数学模型和海流模型,运用模拟退火法优化得出满足出水约束条件的预设偏航角可行域,并分别对艇速和海流影响下的规避弹道进行了仿真研究。仿真结果表明,发射艇速对规避弹道影响较为微弱;在预设偏航角可行域内偏航角越大,偏移距离则越大,且与规避方向相同的海流增大了预设偏航角可行域,使规避任务更容易实现,而方向相反的海流很可能对规避弹道产生颠覆性影响。仿真结论具有重要的工程参考价值。     

基于NMPC的战斗机末端机动规避策略

利用非线性模型预测控制（nonlinear model predictive control,NMPC）的思想建立了战机末端规避导弹的机动策略求解方法。根据导弹与战机的空战态势,建立了导弹与战机的相对运动微分方程;将导弹的导引律引入到导弹运动模型中,与飞机模型一起构建了系统预测模型,并对飞机和导弹的运动约束进行了分析。通过对导弹结构限制和战术特性的分析,给出了飞机机动规避导弹的性能指标,进而建立了机动规避导弹的最优控制模型。利用高斯伪谱法对模型进行求解,采用滚动优化策略实现了对机动规避策略的闭环求解。针对导弹气动参数和导航比未知以及相对测量量具有噪声的问题,利用极大似然法对导弹的气动参数和导航比进行估计,实现了对系统预测模型的反馈校正。仿真结果表明,此方法能够实现对导弹的机动规避。     

战斗机末端机动的非线性模型预测控制规避策略

利用非线性模型预测控制的思想建立了战斗机末端规避导弹的机动策略求解方法。根据导弹与战机的空战态势,建立了导弹与战机的相对运动微分方程;将导弹的导引律引入到导弹运动模型中,与飞机模型一起构建了系统预测模型,并对飞机和导弹的运动约束进行了分析。通过对导弹结构限制和战术特性的分析,给出了飞机机动规避导弹的性能指标,进而建立了机动规避导弹的最优控制模型。利用高斯伪谱法对模型进行求解,采用滚动优化策略实现了对机动规避策略的闭环求解。针对导弹气动参数和导航比未知以及相对测量量具有噪声的问题,利用极大似然法对导弹的气动参数和导航比进行估计,实现了对系统预测模型的反馈校正。仿真结果表明,此方法能够实现对导弹的机动规避。     

助推-滑翔飞行器弹道最优控制研究

从多阶段多约束最优控制的角度对助推-滑翔飞行器弹道最优控制问题进行研究。首先建立了无量纲化的弹道动力学方程组并提炼出总体设计参数;其次使用Radau伪谱方法将多约束的弹道最优控制问题转化为非线性规划问题,通过引入连接点概念处理多阶段不连续问题,并采用序列二次规划方法进行求解;最后通过数值算例验证了方法的实用性和有效性。数值优化算例表明,通过多阶段Radau伪谱方法可较好处理助推-滑翔飞行器全射程最优问题,所得计算结果与理论最优解一致。     

滑翔导弹再入拉起段弹道优化设计与制导

对滑翔导弹再入弹道进行了分段,根据再入拉起段的特性建立了弹道优化设计模型,认为导弹在再入拉起段弹道终点时应处于纵向力平衡状态,使用Gauss伪谱法进行了再入拉起段的能量最优弹道优化计算;利用基于伪谱法优化的弹道在线生成,实时产生控制指令,实现了再入拉起段的闭环弹道控制.仿真结果表明,Gauss伪谱法弹道优化具有精度高、计算时间短等特点,闭环弹道控制能较好地消除风、再入参数偏差等干扰的影响,具有应用于在线制导的潜力.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.